64 St Charles St St · Johnson City, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 64 St Charles! This duplex property boasts 2 separate buildings, on one parcel! The front house with 4 Beds, 1 bath & the back with 2 beds 1 bath. Large spaces, rustic feel & close to a lot of amenities! Hospital, Pharm School, Restaurants, and easy access to on and off the highway! Add this property to your portfolio today!!!
Key facts
- 2 separate buildings
- Duplex property
- Close to amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-322 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (29.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (33.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (33.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 6.2% in Johnson City — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#238 in NY, #3,739 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Johnson City Central School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $195k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.07%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $220,146
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -11.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $92,657
- Equity at exit
- $175,671
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.61×
- Total profit
- $306,125
- Equity at exit
- $378,842
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13790
- Home prices YoY
- 6.8%
- Rents YoY
- 9.5%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,307 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$250 /mo · $3,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $-322
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248 Main St Unit 2 Johnson City, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $195,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 272 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 271 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 264 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $195,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 254 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $195,000 Active 253 DOM
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2026-04-28price $195,000 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to 64 St Charles! This duplex property boasts 2 separate buildings, on one parcel! The front house with 4 Beds, 1 bath & the back with 2 beds 1 bath. Large spaces, rustic feel & close to a lot of amenities! Hospital, Pharm School, Restaurants, and easy access to on and off the highway! Add this property to your portfolio today!!!
-
2026-03-23price $215,000 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to 64 St Charles! This duplex property boasts 2 separate buildings, on one parcel! The front house with 4 Beds, 1 bath & the back with 2 beds 1 bath. Large spaces, rustic feel & close to a lot of amenities! Hospital, Pharm School, Restaurants, and easy access to on and off the highway! Add this property to your portfolio today!!!
-
2026-02-09price $220,000 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to 64 St Charles! This duplex property boasts 2 separate buildings, on one parcel! The front house with 4 Beds, 1 bath & the back with 2 beds 1 bath. Large spaces, rustic feel & close to a lot of amenities! Hospital, Pharm School, Restaurants, and easy access to on and off the highway! Add this property to your portfolio today!!!
-
2025-09-19$225,000 Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to 64 St Charles! This duplex property boasts 2 separate buildings, on one parcel! The front house with 4 Beds, 1 bath & the back with 2 beds 1 bath. Large spaces, rustic feel & close to a lot of amenities! Hospital, Pharm School, Restaurants, and easy access to on and off the highway! Add this property to your portfolio today!!!
-
2024-11-25soldstatus $70,000
-
2018-09-12soldstatus $100,000
-
2000-09-22soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,005 · $250/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,150 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- +$145/yr (+$12/mo · 4.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$3,005
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,255
- − Management
- −$1,255
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$7,398
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,776
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnson City Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615900
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,514
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5545
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Johnson City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #238
- US rank
- #3739
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnson City, NY
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 18,739
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,739
- Household income
- $59,045
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1233.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.06%
- Current HPI
- 285.3668
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.47%
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+364.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $195,000 GBAOR
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $215,000 GBAOR
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $220,000 GBAOR
- 2025-09-19 Listed $225,000 GBAOR
- 2024-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,005 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…