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1524 Wolsey Dr
C- Composite 54.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$98,999

1524 Wolsey Dr · Socorro, TX 79836
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 544 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 367 Days on market
Built 2010 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FOUR BEDROOM HOME! With easy access to I-10 and close to El Paso this 4-bedroom, 2 bath home has a lot of potential. It needs some repairs but with some work can be a great home. It is located on a nice size lot. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 2010
  • Listed 367 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($995/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#830 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clint ISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #792 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 367 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,119 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 367 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.59%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$24,331
Equity at exit
$51,983
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$71,189
Equity at exit
$86,482

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79836

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,182/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,045
Max offer price $98,999
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,999 Active 367 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,999 Active 366 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,999 Active 365 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,999 Active 364 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,999 Active 362 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $98,999 Active 359 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,999 Active 358 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,999 Active 357 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,999 Active 356 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,999 Active 352 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,999 Active 351 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,999 Active 350 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,999 Active 349 DOM
  14. 2025-06-16
    listed $98,999 Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    FOUR BEDROOM HOME! With easy access to I-10 and close to El Paso this 4-bedroom, 2 bath home has a lot of potential. It needs some repairs but with some work can be a great home. It is located on a nice size lot. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,182 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,182 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,800
− Mortgage interest
−$5,545
− Property taxes
−$3,182
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$123
After-tax cash flow
$1,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clint ISD
NCES district ID
4814430
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$37,490
Composite
15.03/100
National rank
#9356
State rank
#792 of 826 in TX

Livability — Socorro

Score
63/100
State rank
#830
US rank
#14960

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
44,444
Population (ZIP)
7,481

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
897,899 people
By 2030
922,694 · +2.8%
By 2040
960,492 · +7.0%
By 2050
982,919 · +9.5%
By 2075
997,266 · +11.1%
By 2100
900,630 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 90% Two or more races 40% White 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 87%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
20% English-only · Spanish 79%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.31%
Current HPI
166.8578
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $98,999 HARMLS

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,182 · +39.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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