2503 W Vandalia Rd · Greensboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Open House Cancelled 5/28. Welcome to 2503 W Vandalia Rd, a 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style fixer-upper set on approximately 0.48 acres and full of potential! This spacious property is a fantastic opportunity for investors or homeowners eager to create their dream home. Major updates have already been started by the seller, including removal of flooring down to the subfloor, a brand-new roof installed in November 2024, and a freshly painted exterior giving you a strong head start on renovations. The home also features a covered front porch, a back deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and a storage shed for added convenience. Ideally located with easy access to shopping, dining, and publ
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Storage shed
- Back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with gravel; See remarks regarding additional parking details
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One-story
- Construction: Built in 1980; Vinyl siding; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Cleared and level lot; Public transportation nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: See remarks (flooring details not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.97%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $230,436
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3261 Anvil Pl | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,366 (+3%) | 2mo | $235,900 | $173 | 75 |
| 3607 Mccuiston Rd #66 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,218 (-9%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $164 | 64 |
| 2311 Vandalia Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,365 (+2%) | 24mo | $213,000 | $156 | 63 |
| 4120 Elmyra Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,134 (-15%) | 6mo | $137,500 | $121 | 62 |
| 3011 Darden Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,250 (-6%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $180 | 47 |
| 3822 Simmons Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,207 (-9%) | 14mo | $226,500 | $188 | 45 |
| 2903 Lamroc Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,450 (+9%) | 10mo | $287,000 | $198 | 43 |
| 3100 Pinecroft Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,205 (-10%) | 18mo | $235,000 | $195 | 37 |
| 3925 Sedgegrow Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,151 (-14%) | 20mo | $100,000 | $87 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $11,432
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $56,464
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27407
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,805 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,345/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $522
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3607 McCuiston Rd #52 Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2 Pipers Glen Ct Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3818 Maribeau Woods Dr Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $1,900 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3501 Farmington Dr Greensboro, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1017 | $1,910 | $1.88 | 14d | 34 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $140,000
-
2026-03-09price $155,000
-
2026-02-13status Active
-
2026-01-17status Pending
-
2026-01-15historical Due Diligence Period
-
2026-01-12$165,000 Active
-
2025-11-17price $150,000
-
2025-10-31price $165,000
-
2025-09-20price $175,000
-
2025-09-08price $350,000
-
2025-05-21price $350,000
-
2025-01-02price $185,000
-
2024-10-18$219,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,345 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,345 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,345
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,733
- − Management
- −$1,733
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $4,237
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greensboro, NC
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 329,421
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,697
- Household income
- $59,427
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2360.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 32% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 4% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.48%
- Current HPI
- 223.3145
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.50%
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-36.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $140,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $155,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — Triad MLS
- 2026-01-17 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2026-01-15 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $165,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $150,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $165,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-09-20 Price Changed $175,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $350,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-05-21 Price Changed $350,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-01-02 Price Changed $185,000 Triad MLS
- 2024-10-18 Listed $219,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+22.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,345 · +35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…