4900 Genesee Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity! 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch ready for renovation and improvement. Full unfinished basement offers additional possibilities to maximize value. Ideally situated near shopping, dining, parks, and Downtown Dayton. Property sold As-Is. Short sale subject to lender approval.
Key facts
- Near dining
- Near shopping
- Near parks
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot roughly 50 x 110 (about 0.126 acre)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric water heater
- Home design: Ranch single-family home; One level; Residential zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Poured foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; City street access
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Wood cabinets; Laminate floor; Includes oven/range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level — Primary bedroom approx. 14 x 12; Second bedroom approx. 12 x 12; Third bedroom approx. 12 x 7
- Flooring: Laminate floors in living room and kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas)
- Interior features: Laminate flooring in living areas; Eat-in kitchen with wood cabinets; Full unfinished basement with concrete floor; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($904 rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.84%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $75,392
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4445 Prescott Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 888 (-10%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $45 | 53 |
| 4532 Saint Johns Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 925 (-7%) | 22mo | $70,000 | $76 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $8,026
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $29,994
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45406
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $904 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,156/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $312 | -5% $295 | +0% $278 | +5% $261 | +10% $244 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $206 | -5% $242 | +0% $278 | +5% $314 | +10% $349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $308 | -0.5pp $293 | base $278 | +0.5pp $262 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4629 Queens Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2014 Hickorydale Dr Unit 2016 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2408 Falmouth Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $950 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2414 Hancock Ave Unit 2418 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2675-2727 N Gettysburg Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $600 | $0.92 | 14d | 22 | 0.82mi |
| 2675-2727 N Gettysburg Ave Unit 2727-22 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $600 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1732 Harold Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $925 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1720 Kings Mill Ct Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $925 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2501 Fairport Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 605 | $850 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3650 Otterbein Ave Unit 3650 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3652 Otterbein Ave Unit 3652 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3537 Otterbein Ave Unit d Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4113 Crest Dr Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3552 Stanford Pl Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3552 Stanford Pl Unit 3552 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3711 Pittsburg Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1934 Tennyson Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $700 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2109 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $950 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3007 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,000 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1982 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $700 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2257 Hepburn Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $695 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Investment opportunity! 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch ready for renovation and improvement. Full unfinished basement offers additional possibilities to maximize value. Ideally situated near shopping, dining, parks, and Downtown Dayton. Property sold As-Is. Short sale subject to lender approval.
-
2026-06-09$60,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Investment opportunity! 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch ready for renovation and improvement. Full unfinished basement offers additional possibilities to maximize value. Ideally situated near shopping, dining, parks, and Downtown Dayton. Property sold As-Is. Short sale subject to lender approval.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,156 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,156 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,156
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$867
- − Management
- −$867
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $2,545
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$611
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,723/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,991
- Household income
- $41,796
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1504.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.75%
- Current HPI
- 197.1302
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.03%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $60,000 Cincy MLS
- 2026-06-09 Listed $60,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $89,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $89,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $95,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $95,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-07-28 Listed $99,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-07-28 Listed $99,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-07-01 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2023-06-21 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2023-05-22 Price Changed $130,000 Dayton MLS
- 2023-05-03 Price Changed $130,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-03-29 Listed $145,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-03-29 Listed $145,000 Dayton MLS
- 2022-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1994-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records
- 1991-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records
- 1985-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,156 · +39.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…