2000 S Apache Rd #79 · Buckeye, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 115°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.6/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$143,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
It's a 2020 and NO SALES TAX! Barely lived in, so like new. Split floor plan. Second bedroom is almost as big as the master! Large laundry room. Kitchen Island and huge walk in pantry. Upgraded Refrigerator. Washer & Dryer included. Front deck with patio cover. Motion sensor exterior lighting added in front & rear. Comes with a Storage Shed. Community is gated, all ages, dog run, playground, cabana, adult and child activities. Come release some stress and relax in the HEATED community pool. Covered BBQ area & Fitness Center. Must qualify with office to lease lot! Call for lender options on this specific type of property! Quick move in available! RV parking available!
Key facts
- 4 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 2020
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Current financing: Non-assumable
- HOA & community: Land lease community (monthly land lease); Land lease $574 monthly; Association maintains grounds and exterior; Community amenities: pool, gated access, transportation services, playground, biking/walking path
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Leasehold property; Manufactured/mobile housing
- Construction: Steel frame and wood frame construction
- Exterior features: East/West exposure; Gravel/stone front; Gravel/stone back; No fencing; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Built-in electric oven; Built-in microwave
- Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric heating; Floor furnace; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar and kitchen island; 3/4 bath in master bedroom; Mechanical sun shades and vinyl window frames
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $143k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $143k).
- Recommended offer: $139k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.1% in Buckeye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#53 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Buckeye Union High School District (4284) (town): math 21% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #129 of 249 in AZ (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Youngker High School (math 21% / reading 26%, grade F, #206 of 381 statewide, top 54%, 2,099 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 1196 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $989 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 8838% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.23%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,500
- List price
- $143,000
- Delta
- 8.75%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 S Apache Rd #78 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 3mo | $108,000 | $74 | 97 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #292 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $93 | 90 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #331 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 3mo | $122,800 | $84 | 89 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #40 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-0%) | 3mo | $128,000 | $88 | 88 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #223 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+4%) | 1mo | $79,500 | $53 | 84 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #156 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (0%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $110 | 78 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #371 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $119 | 77 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #126 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-8%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $90 | 71 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #67 | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 4mo | $104,900 | $78 | 70 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #144 | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $41 | 63 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #16 | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $96 | 57 |
| 2111 S 248th Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+7%) | 7mo | $385,000 | $247 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $9,670
- Equity at exit
- $21,322
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $35,533
- Equity at exit
- $12,364
Cash invested: $40,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85326
- Home prices YoY
- -32.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1196
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,021 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$750
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$179 /mo · $2,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $608
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,750
- Closing costs
- $4,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 S Apache Rd Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1456 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1881 S 245th Dr Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1789 | $1,949 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 24215 W Gross Ave Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,850 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 24485 W Yuma Rd Buckeye, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $1,950 | $1.79 | 1d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1730 S 246th Ln Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 24240 W Verlea Dr Buckeye, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1854 | $1,900 | $1.02 | 10d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 24458 W Verlea Dr Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $2,198 | $1.63 | 1d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1868 S 240th Ave Buckeye, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,050 | $1.41 | 1d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1868 S 240th Ave Buckeye, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,100 | $1.45 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 24068 W Whyman Ave Buckeye, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 1d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 24403 W Ripple Rd Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,900 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 24037 W Zak Rd Buckeye, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1044 S 239th Ln Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,935 | $1.49 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 23928 W Desert Bloom St Buckeye, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $1,999 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1268 S 238th Ln Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 23949 W Antelope Trl Buckeye, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $1,775 | $1.16 | 12d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 23692 W Watkins St Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $1,750 | $1.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 23692 W Watkins St Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $1,799 | $1.11 | 10d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 23683 W Yuma Rd Buckeye, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,823 | $1.76 | 1d | 30 | 0.95mi |
| 24542 W Raymond St Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 23809 W Adams St Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,725 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 23237 W Yavapai St Buckeye, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $2,100 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 23339 W Twilight Trl Buckeye, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 11d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $143,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $143,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $143,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $143,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $143,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $143,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $143,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $143,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $143,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $143,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$150,000 Active 639-char remark
-
2026-04-16historical
-
2026-04-05$150,000 Active
-
2022-01-14soldstatus $143,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
It's a 2020 and NO SALES TAX! Barely lived in, so like new. Split floor plan. Second bedroom is almost as big as the master! Large laundry room. Kitchen Island and huge walk in pantry. Upgraded Refrigerator. Washer & Dryer included. Front deck with patio cover. Motion sensor exterior lighting added in front & rear. Comes with a Storage Shed. Community is gated, all ages, dog run, playground, cabana, adult and child activities. Come release some stress and relax in the HEATED community pool. Covered BBQ area & Fitness Center. Must qualify with office to lease lot! Call for lender options on this specific type of property! Quick move in available! RV parking available!
-
2021-12-30historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
It's a 2020 and NO SALES TAX! Barely lived in, so like new. Split floor plan. Second bedroom is almost as big as the master! Large laundry room. Kitchen Island and huge walk in pantry. Upgraded Refrigerator. Washer & Dryer included. Front deck with patio cover. Motion sensor exterior lighting added in front & rear. Comes with a Storage Shed. Community is gated, all ages, dog run, playground, cabana, adult and child activities. Come release some stress and relax in the HEATED community pool. Covered BBQ area & Fitness Center. Must qualify with office to lease lot! Call for lender options on this specific type of property! Quick move in available! RV parking available!
-
2021-12-23$143,000 Active
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
It's a 2020 and NO SALES TAX! Barely lived in, so like new. Split floor plan. Second bedroom is almost as big as the master! Large laundry room. Kitchen Island and huge walk in pantry. Upgraded Refrigerator. Washer & Dryer included. Front deck with patio cover. Motion sensor exterior lighting added in front & rear. Comes with a Storage Shed. Community is gated, all ages, dog run, playground, cabana, adult and child activities. Come release some stress and relax in the HEATED community pool. Covered BBQ area & Fitness Center. Must qualify with office to lease lot! Call for lender options on this specific type of property! Quick move in available! RV parking available!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,249
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,010
- − Property taxes
- −$2,145
- − Insurance
- −$715
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,940
- − Management
- −$1,940
- − Depreciation
- −$4,160
- Taxable income
- $5,339
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,281
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2020 manufactured home is in good condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It's ready for a quick move-in and offers a good return on investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior
- Both upgrading appliances — attracts more buyers/renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior ↑
- Both upgrading appliances — attracts more buyers/renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buckeye Union High School District (4284)
- NCES district ID
- 0401410
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,182
- Composite
- 22.91/100
- National rank
- #7995
- State rank
- #129 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Buckeye
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #9428
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buckeye, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 117,540
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 75,359
- Household income
- $89,876
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 661.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 38% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 32%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.00%
- Current HPI
- 286.9242
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.92%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-98.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed for Rent $1,600 ARMLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $143,000 ARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $150,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-04-05 Listed $150,000 ARMLS
- 2022-01-14 Sold (MLS) $143,000 ARMLS
- 2021-12-30 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2021-12-23 Listed $143,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…