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16 Berg Aly
B Composite 74.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

16 Berg Aly · Woodside East, DE 19962
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · Manufactured public records · 531 Days on market
Built 1968 0.28 ac lot $154/sqft · 44% below area Est $215k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property being sold 'AS IS, WHERE IS'. No repairs will be done. NOTE: Hold Harmless must be signed prior to showing.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Built 1968
  • Listed 530 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.9% in Woodside East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#73 in DE) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Caesar Rodney School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #9 of 26 in DE (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 531 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $9k; list at $120k implies a 1190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 531 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.80%
Cash-on-cash
19.66%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$214,970
List price
$120,000
Delta
-44.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
235 Stevenson Dr 0.07mi 2/1.0 780 (0%) 19mo $52,500 $67 81
105 S Draper Cir 0.11mi 2/1.0 720 (-8%) 14mo $73,000 $101 71
84 Bertha Dr 0.43mi 2/1.0 732 (-6%) 22mo $55,000 $75 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$15,561
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$58,492
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19962

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,596 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $378/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$550

Break-even live

Break-even rent $900
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $618 -5% $584 +0% $550 +5% $516 +10% $482
Rent -10% $424 -5% $487 +0% $550 +5% $613 +10% $677
Rate -1.0pp $611 -0.5pp $581 base $550 +0.5pp $519 +1.0pp $488

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 531 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 529 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 528 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 527 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 526 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 525 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 523 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 522 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 520 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 519 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 518 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 517 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 512 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 511 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 510 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 509 DOM
  17. 2025-01-06
    listed $120,000 Active 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Property being sold 'AS IS, WHERE IS'. No repairs will be done. NOTE: Hold Harmless must be signed prior to showing.

  18. 2014-01-28
    soldstatus $9,300
  19. 1991-08-01
    soldstatus $5,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$378 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$537 · $45/mo
Expected delta
+$159/yr (+$13/mo · 42.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,157
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$378
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,533
− Management
−$1,533
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$4,901
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,176
After-tax cash flow
$5,428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caesar Rodney School District
NCES district ID
1000180
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$61,187
Composite
33.4/100
National rank
#5475
State rank
#9 of 26 in DE

Livability — Woodside East

Score
53/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#24275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Woodside East, DE
Population (ZIP)
12,618

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,477 people
By 2030
204,351 · +5.1%
By 2040
222,135 · +14.2%
By 2050
236,483 · +21.6%
By 2075
266,327 · +36.9%
By 2100
275,335 · +41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 23% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Swiss 4% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.63%
Current HPI
186.7318
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+2081.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-01-06 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $9,300 Public Records
  • 1991-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $378 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…