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81 Inter Park Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 82.16
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,999

81 Inter Park Ave · Buffalo, NY 14211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1930 3,720 sqft lot Est $171k · 30% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 81 Inter Park Ave! This updated 3-bedroom, 1 bath home is a fantastic investment opportunity. Featuring a newer roof (updated 8 years ago), vinyl replacement windows, and glass block basement windows, the property is well maintained and move in ready. With Section 8 potential for guaranteed rental income, this makes an excellent addition to any investor's portfolio. The home also offers the convenience of a private driveway with 1 parking space.

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • Newer roof
  • 3,720 sq ft lot

Tags

NEWER ROOFVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSGLASS BLOCK BASEMENT WINDOWSPRIVATE DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $119,999 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$171,288) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,676/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,599 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.24%
Cash-on-cash
17.68%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,288
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
491 Northland Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,239 (-12%) 0mo $155,775 $126 68
855 Woodlawn Ave 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,303 (-7%) 10mo $116,500 $89 53
877 Woodlawn Ave 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,516 (+8%) 12mo $210,000 $139 51
59 Landon St 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,424 (+1%) 15mo $76,500 $54 48
892 Northland Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-8%) 11mo $200,000 $154 43
59 Schuele Ave Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,362 (-3%) 21mo $130,000 $95 40
986 E Ferry St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,518 (+8%) 17mo $106,000 $70 37
392 Humboldt Pkwy 0.67mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,602 (+14%) 10mo $195,000 $122 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$40,085
Equity at exit
$47,650
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$106,231
Equity at exit
$68,863

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,676 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$495

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $119,999
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $578 -5% $537 +0% $495 +5% $454 +10% $412
Rent -10% $363 -5% $429 +0% $495 +5% $561 +10% $628
Rate -1.0pp $556 -0.5pp $526 base $495 +0.5pp $464 +1.0pp $432

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 15d 1 0.16mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 15d 1 0.28mi
179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 4d 1 0.39mi
104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 0.43mi
102 Florida St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,650 $1.27 45d 1 0.86mi
76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 15d 1 0.95mi
517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1559 $1,800 $1.15 20d 1 0.97mi
1786 Main St Unit 103 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.5 1110 $1,677 $1.51 45d 1 1.06mi
1786 Main St Unit 104 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1256 $1,875 $1.49 45d 1 1.06mi
90 Sussex St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 45d 1 1.12mi
121 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1265 $1,750 $1.38 45d 1 1.15mi
117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1105 $2,300 $2.08 45d 1 1.16mi
107 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1172 $1,995 $1.70 45d 1 1.18mi
2 Agassiz Cir Unit B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 983 $2,050 $2.09 24d 1 1.24mi
2 Agassiz Cir Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1076 $2,150 $2.00 24d 1 1.24mi
238 Oxford Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 24d 1 1.31mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 45d 1 1.47mi
85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1022 $1,000 $0.98 45d 1 1.49mi
67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 24d 1 1.50mi
67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 4d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-01-22
    status Pending
  2. 2025-10-22
    price $119,999
  3. 2025-08-27
    price $129,000
  4. 2025-08-21
    listed $139,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 32% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,117
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,609
− Management
−$1,609
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$4,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,029
After-tax cash flow
$4,912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-22 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $119,999 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $129,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $139,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $140 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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