🏷️ Likely Rental
81 Inter Park Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.32%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 81 Inter Park Ave! This updated 3-bedroom, 1 bath home is a fantastic investment opportunity. Featuring a newer roof (updated 8 years ago), vinyl replacement windows, and glass block basement windows, the property is well maintained and move in ready. With Section 8 potential for guaranteed rental income, this makes an excellent addition to any investor's portfolio. The home also offers the convenience of a private driveway with 1 parking space.
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Newer roof
- 3,720 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,676/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.68%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,288
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 491 Northland Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,239 (-12%) | 0mo | $155,775 | $126 | 68 |
| 855 Woodlawn Ave | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,303 (-7%) | 10mo | $116,500 | $89 | 53 |
| 877 Woodlawn Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,516 (+8%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $139 | 51 |
| 59 Landon St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,424 (+1%) | 15mo | $76,500 | $54 | 48 |
| 892 Northland Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (-8%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $154 | 43 |
| 59 Schuele Ave Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,362 (-3%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $95 | 40 |
| 986 E Ferry St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,518 (+8%) | 17mo | $106,000 | $70 | 37 |
| 392 Humboldt Pkwy | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,602 (+14%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $122 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $40,085
- Equity at exit
- $47,650
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $106,231
- Equity at exit
- $68,863
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,676 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $495
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $578 | -5% $537 | +0% $495 | +5% $454 | +10% $412 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $363 | -5% $429 | +0% $495 | +5% $561 | +10% $628 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $556 | -0.5pp $526 | base $495 | +0.5pp $464 | +1.0pp $432 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $3,226 | $2.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 102 Florida St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1786 Main St Unit 103 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,677 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1786 Main St Unit 104 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,875 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 90 Sussex St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 121 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1265 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $2,300 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 107 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,995 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2 Agassiz Cir Unit B Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $2,050 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2 Agassiz Cir Unit A Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $2,150 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 238 Oxford Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-01-22status Pending
-
2025-10-22price $119,999
-
2025-08-27price $129,000
-
2025-08-21$139,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 32% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,609
- − Management
- −$1,609
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $4,286
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,029
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-13.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $119,999 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $129,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-21 Listed $139,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $140 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…