620 SE 2nd Ave · Canby, OR
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fall in love with this beautifully remodeled home that perfectly blends style, comfort, and affordability! From the charming curb appeal to the stunning modern finishes inside, every detail has been thoughtfully updated. The bright, open kitchen with sleek cabinetry and stainless steel appliances is ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Relax in the spa-like bathroom with a designer tile shower that feels like a retreat. This home is truly move-in ready—offering you a fresh start in a space that feels brand new. Don’t miss your chance to own a stylish, affordable home that’s just waiting for you to make it your own. Park rental $925/MO. **************Spanish*************Enamórese de esta hermosa casa remodelada que combina a la perfección estilo, comodidad y precio. Desde su encantadora fachada hasta los impresionantes acabados modernos del interior, cada detalle ha sido cuidadosamente actualizado. La luminosa cocina abierta con elegantes gabinetes y electrodomésticos de acero inoxidable es ideal tanto para el día a día como para el entretenimiento. Relájese en el baño estilo spa con ducha de azulejos de diseño que le brindará la sensación de un refugio.Esta casa está lista para mudarse, ofreciéndole un nuevo comienzo en un espacio que se siente como nuevo. No pierda la oportunidad de ser dueño de una casa elegante y asequible que espera a que la haga suya. Renta del parque $925 mensuales.
Key facts
- Charming curb appeal
- Sleek cabinetry
- Modern finishes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 2.1% in Canby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#43 in OR, #1,056 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D-.
- Canby SD 86 (town): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #14 of 58 in OR (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.18%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $30,688
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.49×
- Total profit
- $78,175
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97013
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,602 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $713
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360 S Locust St Unit 360 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,495 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 360 S Locust St Unit 360 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,495 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 360 S Locust St Unit 360 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,545 | $1.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 341 SE 2nd Ave Unit 351 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 341 SE 2nd Ave Unit 347 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 272 S Knott St Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,395 | $1.68 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 410 S Knott St Unit 456 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 290 SE 2nd Ave Apt 11 Canby, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 686 | $1,195 | $1.74 | 10d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 700 SE 5th Ave Canby, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,840 | $1.73 | 1d | 2 | 0.25mi |
| 450 S Pine St Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,550 | $1.85 | 1d | 5 | 0.32mi |
| 645 N Pine St Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 575 N Pine St Unit 575 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 625 N Pine St Unit 639 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 403 S Ivy St Unit 407 Canby, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,495 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 259 S Sequoia Pkwy Canby, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,972 | $1.95 | 1d | 12 | 0.48mi |
| 499 SW 5th Ave Canby, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $2,195 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 370 N Douglas St Unit 370 Canby, OR | 1.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,400 | $1.67 | 7d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1477 N Manzanita St Canby, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $2,000 | $3.42 | 12d | 5 | 0.79mi |
| 1802 N Pine St Canby, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,499 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2040 N Redwood St Canby, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,599 | $1.76 | 1d | 2 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 1535-char remark
Show marketing remark (1535 chars)
Fall in love with this beautifully remodeled home that perfectly blends style, comfort, and affordability! From the charming curb appeal to the stunning modern finishes inside, every detail has been thoughtfully updated. The bright, open kitchen with sleek cabinetry and stainless steel appliances is ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Relax in the spa-like bathroom with a designer tile shower that feels like a retreat. This home is truly move-in ready—offering you a fresh start in a space that feels brand new. Don’t miss your chance to own a stylish, affordable home that’s just waiting for you to make it your own. Park rental $925/MO. **************Spanish*************Enamórese de esta hermosa casa remodelada que combina a la perfección estilo, comodidad y precio. Desde su encantadora fachada hasta los impresionantes acabados modernos del interior, cada detalle ha sido cuidadosamente actualizado. La luminosa cocina abierta con elegantes gabinetes y electrodomésticos de acero inoxidable es ideal tanto para el día a día como para el entretenimiento. Relájese en el baño estilo spa con ducha de azulejos de diseño que le brindará la sensación de un refugio.Esta casa está lista para mudarse, ofreciéndole un nuevo comienzo en un espacio que se siente como nuevo. No pierda la oportunidad de ser dueño de una casa elegante y asequible que espera a que la haga suya. Renta del parque $925 mensuales.
-
2025-09-17$80,000 Active 1535-char remark
Show marketing remark (1535 chars)
Fall in love with this beautifully remodeled home that perfectly blends style, comfort, and affordability! From the charming curb appeal to the stunning modern finishes inside, every detail has been thoughtfully updated. The bright, open kitchen with sleek cabinetry and stainless steel appliances is ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Relax in the spa-like bathroom with a designer tile shower that feels like a retreat. This home is truly move-in ready—offering you a fresh start in a space that feels brand new. Don’t miss your chance to own a stylish, affordable home that’s just waiting for you to make it your own. Park rental $925/MO. **************Spanish*************Enamórese de esta hermosa casa remodelada que combina a la perfección estilo, comodidad y precio. Desde su encantadora fachada hasta los impresionantes acabados modernos del interior, cada detalle ha sido cuidadosamente actualizado. La luminosa cocina abierta con elegantes gabinetes y electrodomésticos de acero inoxidable es ideal tanto para el día a día como para el entretenimiento. Relájese en el baño estilo spa con ducha de azulejos de diseño que le brindará la sensación de un refugio.Esta casa está lista para mudarse, ofreciéndole un nuevo comienzo en un espacio que se siente como nuevo. No pierda la oportunidad de ser dueño de una casa elegante y asequible que espera a que la haga suya. Renta del parque $925 mensuales.
-
2017-03-01soldstatus $5,125,000
-
2011-10-24soldstatus $5,492 Sold 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Manufactured home only in 55+ rental park Space #51. Single wide, wider living area and sunroom. Storage shed, window AC, washer, dryer, stove and refig included. Ramp enterance. Well maintained and very nice park.Manufactured home only in 55 and older rental park.
-
2011-10-10status Pending 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Manufactured home only in 55+ rental park Space #51. Single wide, wider living area and sunroom. Storage shed, window AC, washer, dryer, stove and refig included. Ramp enterance. Well maintained and very nice park.Manufactured home only in 55 and older rental park.
-
2011-08-31price $6,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Manufactured home only in 55+ rental park Space #51. Single wide, wider living area and sunroom. Storage shed, window AC, washer, dryer, stove and refig included. Ramp enterance. Well maintained and very nice park.Manufactured home only in 55 and older rental park.
-
2011-08-24status Active 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Manufactured home only in 55+ rental park Space #51. Single wide, wider living area and sunroom. Storage shed, window AC, washer, dryer, stove and refig included. Ramp enterance. Well maintained and very nice park.Manufactured home only in 55 and older rental park.
-
2011-08-16status Pending 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Manufactured home only in 55+ rental park Space #51. Single wide, wider living area and sunroom. Storage shed, window AC, washer, dryer, stove and refig included. Ramp enterance. Well maintained and very nice park.Manufactured home only in 55 and older rental park.
-
2011-07-05$7,500 Active 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Manufactured home only in 55+ rental park Space #51. Single wide, wider living area and sunroom. Storage shed, window AC, washer, dryer, stove and refig included. Ramp enterance. Well maintained and very nice park.Manufactured home only in 55 and older rental park.
-
2005-11-01soldstatus $2,146,000
-
1999-04-12soldstatus $12,000
-
1999-02-20$15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,225
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,538
- − Management
- −$1,538
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $7,740
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,858
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,696/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canby SD 86
- NCES district ID
- 4102640
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,246
- Composite
- 36.24/100
- National rank
- #4717
- State rank
- #14 of 58 in OR
Livability — Canby
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1056
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canby, OR
- County
- Clackamas County · 361,406 people
- City population
- 24,293
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,293
- Household income
- $101,832
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 575.0
Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 458,456 people
- By 2030
- 485,185 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 532,932 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 574,445 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 665,497 · +45.2%
- By 2100
- 697,488 · +52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -427.87%
- Current HPI
- 287.758
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.89%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+433.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $80,000 RMLS
- 2017-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,125,000 Public Records
- 2011-10-24 Sold (MLS) $5,492 RMLS
- 2011-10-10 Pending — RMLS
- 2011-08-31 Price Changed $6,000 RMLS
- 2011-08-24 Relisted — RMLS
- 2011-08-16 Pending — RMLS
- 2011-07-05 Listed $7,500 RMLS
- 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $2,146,000 Public Records
- 1999-04-12 Sold (MLS) $12,000 RMLS
- 1999-02-20 Listed $15,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $14,057 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…