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24902 Signorelli Way
D Composite 40.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$280,000

24902 Signorelli Way · Katy, TX 77493
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2021 Good condition 5,174 sqft lot 2-car garage $159/sqft · 17% below area Est $337k · 17% under $75/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Wonderful area. Recent construction home. Ready to move in!! Area has community center and pool, such a bonus. Includes washer, dryer and fridge.

Key facts

  • 5,174 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-489 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (30.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.3% in Katy — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#111 in TX, #3,613 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D, commute F.
  • Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Robert King El (math 41% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 31%, 981 students, 68% FRL); Katy J H (math 52% / reading 51%, grade C, #318 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 1,094 students, 53% FRL); Katy H S (math 62% / reading 74%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 3,330 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 27% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 3403 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 31d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,544 (30.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
4.20%
Cash-on-cash
-7.49%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$337,280
List price
$280,000
Delta
-16.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3314 Jan Ct 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,628 (-8%) 1mo $255,000 $157 62
3818 Giorgio Pastel Pl 0.45mi 4/2.5 1,938 (+10%) 1mo $259,000 $134 62
24710 Puccini Pl 0.28mi 4/2.5 1,994 (+13%) 6mo $335,000 $168 60
24634 Lakecrest Creek Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (-2%) 5mo $285,000 $165 57
3742 Giorgio Pastel Pl 0.43mi 4/2.5 1,955 (+11%) 6mo $285,000 $146 57
24823 Goldoni Dr 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,910 (+8%) 2mo $279,000 $146 57
3261 Rachel Ln 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,648 (-6%) 4mo $265,000 $161 56
24558 Carlo Hue Trl 0.51mi 4/2.5 1,955 (+11%) 2mo $280,000 $143 56
24559 Lorenzo Glaze Trl 0.54mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,865 (+6%) 6mo $255,000 $137 55
3814 Hermitage Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,616 (-8%) 3mo $376,000 $233 53
3903 Giorgio Pastel Pl 0.46mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,920 (+9%) 7mo $272,500 $142 53
24418 Lakecrest Bend Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,953 (+11%) 4mo $305,000 $156 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.6%
Equity multiple
-0.06×
Total profit
$-83,198
Equity at exit
$41,749
10-year hold
IRR
-71.2%
Equity multiple
-0.76×
Total profit
$-138,246
Equity at exit
$24,209

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
22 active · 13 under contract
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$290,000 ($168/sqft)
Median days on market
52 d
This list price
41% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+13.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 77493

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
3403
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,373 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$704 /mo · $8,451/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$498
Net cashflow
$-489

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,993
Max offer price $193,544
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-331 -5% $-410 +0% $-489 +5% $-569 +10% $-648
Rent -10% $-677 -5% $-583 +0% $-489 +5% $-396 +10% $-302
Rate -1.0pp $-348 -0.5pp $-418 base $-489 +0.5pp $-562 +1.0pp $-636

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,000
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24907 Bastiani Canvas Ln Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2018 $2,200 $1.09 93d 1 0.23mi
3030 Galileo Way Katy, TX 2.0–3.0 2.5 1285 $2,449 $1.91 5d 10 0.31mi
24720 Morton Ranch Rd Katy, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1074 $2,523 $2.35 0d 70 0.41mi
24530 Lorenzo Glaze Trl Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2494 $2,081 $0.83 48d 1 0.57mi
5365 Tallowwood Ter Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1644 $2,300 $1.40 37d 1 0.92mi
3031 Bugatti Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.5 2100 $1,700 $0.81 73d 1 0.99mi
4019 Ventana Ridge Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1414 $2,244 $1.59 16d 5 1.13mi
3238 Upland Spring Trce Katy, TX 3.0 2.5 2126 $2,000 $0.94 13d 1 1.13mi
25403 Benroe St Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1585 $2,095 $1.32 38d 1 1.14mi
4606 Padbury Manor Ct Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1657 $1,550 $0.94 26d 1 1.39mi
2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 2183 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,810 $1.42 24d 1 1.39mi
2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 306 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,728 $1.36 1d 1 1.39mi
2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 3174 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,861 $1.46 23d 1 1.39mi
2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 306 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,864 $1.47 33d 1 1.39mi
2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 3174 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,850 $1.45 30d 1 1.39mi
24246 Palomino Sage Trl Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1860 $2,305 $1.24 93d 1 1.43mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Owner is the listing agent
Financial info
Lease considered
HOA & community
Community poolHOA managed by Sterling Association Services with an annual fee of $895

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
Residential propertyBuilt in 2021Slab foundation
Construction
Brick constructionComposition roof
Exterior features
Located in a subdivision

Interior

Bedrooms
Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 18x18)Three additional bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 16x15, 14x14, 12x12)
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central gas heatingCentral electric air conditioning
Interior features
4 total rooms

HOA detail $75/mo · $900/yr

Likely covers
pool

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-07-24
    days on market $280,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-07-23
    days on market $280,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-07-22
    days on market $280,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-07-21
    days on market $280,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-07-20
    days on market $280,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-07-18
    pricedays on marketlisting id $280,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-07-18
    days on market $282,900 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-07-16
    days on market $282,900 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-07-15
    days on market $282,900 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-07-14
    days on market $282,900 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-07-13
    days on market $282,900 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-07-13
    days on market $282,900 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-07-11
    days on market $282,900 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-07-10
    days on market $282,900 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-07-09
    days on market $282,900 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-07-07
    days on market $282,900 Active 81 DOM
  17. 2026-07-06
    days on market $282,900 Active 80 DOM
  18. 2026-07-06
    days on market $282,900 Active 79 DOM
  19. 2026-07-05
    days on market $282,900 Active 78 DOM
  20. 2026-07-03
    days on market $282,900 Active 77 DOM
  21. 2026-07-02
    days on market $282,900 Active 76 DOM
  22. 2026-07-01
    days on market $282,900 Active 75 DOM
  23. 2026-06-30
    days on market $282,900 Active 74 DOM
  24. 2026-06-29
    days on market $282,900 Active 73 DOM
  25. 2026-06-28
    days on market $282,900 Active 72 DOM
  26. 2026-06-27
    days on market $282,900 Active 71 DOM
  27. 2026-06-26
    pricedays on market $282,900 Active 70 DOM
  28. 2026-06-24
    days on market $283,900 Active 68 DOM
  29. 2026-06-22
    days on market $283,900 Active 66 DOM
  30. 2026-06-21
    days on market $283,900 Active 65 DOM
  31. 2026-06-18
    days on market $283,900 Active 62 DOM
  32. 2026-06-17
    days on market $283,900 Active 61 DOM
  33. 2026-06-16
    days on market $283,900 Active 60 DOM
  34. 2026-06-15
    days on market $283,900 Active 59 DOM
  35. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $283,900 Active 57 DOM
  36. 2026-06-09
    days on market $284,500 Active 53 DOM
  37. 2026-06-08
    days on market $284,500 Active 52 DOM
  38. 2026-06-07
    days on market $284,500 Active 51 DOM
  39. 2026-06-04
    days on market $284,500 Active 48 DOM
  40. 2026-06-03
    days on market $284,500 Active 47 DOM
  41. 2026-06-02
    days on market $284,500 Active 46 DOM
  42. 2026-06-01
    days on market $284,500 Active 45 DOM
  43. 2026-05-31
    days on market $284,500 Active 44 DOM
  44. 2026-05-18
    price $284,500 145-char remark
  45. 2026-04-17
    listed $286,500 Active 145-char remark
  46. 2024-03-03
    historical $1,800
  47. 2024-02-17
    price $1,800
  48. 2024-02-15
    price $2,075
  49. 2024-02-13
    price $2,100
  50. 2024-02-09
    price $2,150

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,451 · $704/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,451 · $704/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,478
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$8,451
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,278
− Management
−$2,278
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable loss
−$10,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,558
After-tax cash flow
$-3,315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This recently constructed home is move-in ready with good condition and minimal maintenance required. It offers a great value with potential for further updates to enhance its resale and rental appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — High-end countertops add value and appeal to potential buyers
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters
F Composite school gradezoned avg 50/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Robert King El F TX #1,313/4,322 Nat'l #17,692/41,679 Middle Katy J H C TX #318/1,662 Nat'l #3,192/14,009 High Paetow H S C TX #364/1,632 Nat'l #4,365/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Katy ISD
NCES district ID
4825170
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$90,312
Composite
56.59/100
National rank
#1146
State rank
#29 of 826 in TX
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Katy

Score
76/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#3613

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 5,571,493 people
City population
413,575
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
71,484
Household income
$118,464
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
21% of renters

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-25 Rental Removed $2,095 HARMLS
  • 2026-07-25 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-07-18 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-07-18 Listed $280,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-07-03 Listed for Rent $2,095 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-25 Price Changed $282,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $283,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $284,500 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $286,500 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-03 Rental Removed $1,800 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-17 Price Changed $1,800 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-15 Price Changed $2,075 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-13 Price Changed $2,100 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-09 Price Changed $2,150 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-05 Price Changed $2,200 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-03 Price Changed $2,225 HARMLS
  • 2024-01-24 Price Changed $2,275 HARMLS
  • 2024-01-16 Listed for Rent $2,375 HARMLS
  • 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+63.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,451 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…