24902 Signorelli Way · Katy, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.18%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Wonderful area. Recent construction home. Ready to move in!! Area has community center and pool, such a bonus. Includes washer, dryer and fridge.
Key facts
- 5,174 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-489 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (30.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.3% in Katy — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#111 in TX, #3,613 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Robert King El (math 41% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 31%, 981 students, 68% FRL); Katy J H (math 52% / reading 51%, grade C, #318 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 1,094 students, 53% FRL); Katy H S (math 62% / reading 74%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 3,330 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 27% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 3403 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 31d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.49%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $337,280
- List price
- $280,000
- Delta
- -16.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3314 Jan Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,628 (-8%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $157 | 62 |
| 3818 Giorgio Pastel Pl | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 1,938 (+10%) | 1mo | $259,000 | $134 | 62 |
| 24710 Puccini Pl | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,994 (+13%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $168 | 60 |
| 24634 Lakecrest Creek Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (-2%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $165 | 57 |
| 3742 Giorgio Pastel Pl | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 1,955 (+11%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $146 | 57 |
| 24823 Goldoni Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,910 (+8%) | 2mo | $279,000 | $146 | 57 |
| 3261 Rachel Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-6%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $161 | 56 |
| 24558 Carlo Hue Trl | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 1,955 (+11%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $143 | 56 |
| 24559 Lorenzo Glaze Trl | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,865 (+6%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $137 | 55 |
| 3814 Hermitage Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,616 (-8%) | 3mo | $376,000 | $233 | 53 |
| 3903 Giorgio Pastel Pl | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,920 (+9%) | 7mo | $272,500 | $142 | 53 |
| 24418 Lakecrest Bend Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,953 (+11%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $156 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-83,198
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -71.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.76×
- Total profit
- $-138,246
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active · 13 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $290,000 ($168/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 52 d
- This list price
- 41% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +13.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77493
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 3403
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,373 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$704 /mo · $8,451/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$75
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $-489
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-331 | -5% $-410 | +0% $-489 | +5% $-569 | +10% $-648 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-677 | -5% $-583 | +0% $-489 | +5% $-396 | +10% $-302 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-348 | -0.5pp $-418 | base $-489 | +0.5pp $-562 | +1.0pp $-636 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24907 Bastiani Canvas Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2018 | $2,200 | $1.09 | 93d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3030 Galileo Way Katy, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1285 | $2,449 | $1.91 | 5d | 10 | 0.31mi |
| 24720 Morton Ranch Rd Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1074 | $2,523 | $2.35 | 0d | 70 | 0.41mi |
| 24530 Lorenzo Glaze Trl Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2494 | $2,081 | $0.83 | 48d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5365 Tallowwood Ter Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 37d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3031 Bugatti Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $1,700 | $0.81 | 73d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4019 Ventana Ridge Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,244 | $1.59 | 16d | 5 | 1.13mi |
| 3238 Upland Spring Trce Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2126 | $2,000 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 25403 Benroe St Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $2,095 | $1.32 | 38d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4606 Padbury Manor Ct Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1657 | $1,550 | $0.94 | 26d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 2183 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,810 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 306 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,728 | $1.36 | 1d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 3174 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,861 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 306 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,864 | $1.47 | 33d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 3174 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,850 | $1.45 | 30d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 24246 Palomino Sage Trl Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,305 | $1.24 | 93d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Owner is the listing agent
- Financial info
- Lease considered
- HOA & community
- Community poolHOA managed by Sterling Association Services with an annual fee of $895
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Residential propertyBuilt in 2021Slab foundation
- Construction
- Brick constructionComposition roof
- Exterior features
- Located in a subdivision
Interior
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 18x18)Three additional bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 16x15, 14x14, 12x12)
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central gas heatingCentral electric air conditioning
- Interior features
- 4 total rooms
HOA detail $75/mo · $900/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-07-24days on market $280,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $280,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $280,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $280,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $280,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-07-18pricedays on market $280,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $282,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $282,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $282,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $282,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $282,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $282,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $282,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $282,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $282,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $282,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $282,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $282,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $282,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $282,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $282,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $282,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $282,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $282,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $282,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $282,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-26pricedays on market $282,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $283,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $283,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $283,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $283,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $283,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $283,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $283,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $283,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $284,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $284,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $284,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $284,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $284,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $284,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $284,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $284,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $284,500 145-char remark
-
2026-04-17$286,500 Active 145-char remark
-
2024-03-03historical $1,800
-
2024-02-17price $1,800
-
2024-02-15price $2,075
-
2024-02-13price $2,100
-
2024-02-09price $2,150
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,451 · $704/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,451 · $704/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$8,451
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,278
- − Management
- −$2,278
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$10,659
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,558
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This recently constructed home is move-in ready with good condition and minimal maintenance required. It offers a great value with potential for further updates to enhance its resale and rental appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — High-end countertops add value and appeal to potential buyers ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825170
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,312
- Composite
- 56.59/100
- National rank
- #1146
- State rank
- #29 of 826 in TX
Livability — Katy
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #3613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 5,571,493 people
- City population
- 413,575
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,484
- Household income
- $118,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 21% of renters
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.65%
- Current HPI
- 233.1683
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-11.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-25 Rental Removed $2,095 HARMLS
- 2026-07-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-07-18 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-07-18 Listed $280,000 HARMLS
- 2026-07-03 Listed for Rent $2,095 HARMLS
- 2026-06-25 Price Changed $282,900 HARMLS
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $283,900 HARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $284,500 HARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $286,500 HARMLS
- 2024-03-03 Rental Removed $1,800 HARMLS
- 2024-02-17 Price Changed $1,800 HARMLS
- 2024-02-15 Price Changed $2,075 HARMLS
- 2024-02-13 Price Changed $2,100 HARMLS
- 2024-02-09 Price Changed $2,150 HARMLS
- 2024-02-05 Price Changed $2,200 HARMLS
- 2024-02-03 Price Changed $2,225 HARMLS
- 2024-01-24 Price Changed $2,275 HARMLS
- 2024-01-16 Listed for Rent $2,375 HARMLS
- 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+63.3%/yrLatest (2025): $8,451 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…