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403 Oak
B Composite 72.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

403 Oak · Ardmore, OK 73401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1955 6,970 sqft lot Est $128k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity or ideal starter home located in Northwest Ardmore within the Ardmore School District! This property features original red oak flooring in very good condition, adding warmth and character throughout. The kitchen has been recently updated with tile flooring and an attractive tile backsplash. The bathroom has been tastefully renovated with a new shower, vanity, and updated flooring. Additional features include a 1-car garage and a fenced yard, offering both convenience and functionality.

Key facts

  • Updated kitchen
  • Tile flooring
  • New shower vanity

Tags

ORIGINAL RED OAK FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENTILE FLOORINGTILE BACKSPLASHUPDATED BATHROOMNEW SHOWER VANITY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built from public records
  • Exterior features: Satellite dish; Chain link fencing; Mature trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Laminate countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.6% in Ardmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ardmore (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #241 of 270 in OK (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 379 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.49%
Cash-on-cash
14.99%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
421 Elm 0.19mi 3/1.5 (+1) 926 (-1%) 2mo $132,000 $143 80
414 Locust 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-8%) 0mo $118,000 $137 78
428 Elm 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,012 (+8%) 7mo $139,000 $137 61
711 Cherry 0.55mi 2/1.0 872 (-7%) 7mo $133,500 $153 57
718 Ash St 0.60mi 2/1.0 880 (-6%) 7mo $118,000 $134 56
703 Cherry St 0.51mi 2/1.0 840 (-10%) 10mo $94,764 $113 51
704 Ash St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 992 (+6%) 12mo $90,900 $92 51
505 Locust 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,028 (+10%) 18mo $145,000 $141 50
1408 Holt 0.68mi 2/1.0 883 (-6%) 13mo $88,000 $100 48
703 15th Ave NW 0.66mi 2/1.0 1,020 (+9%) 11mo $64,000 $63 45
511 Campbell St 0.44mi 2/1.0 1,068 (+14%) 18mo $126,000 $118 41
712 Cottonwood 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,064 (+14%) 15mo $155,000 $146 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$11,165
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$61,225
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73401

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
379
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,178 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $740/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $758
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,900 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $94,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,900 Active 42 DOM
  17. 2026-04-18
    listed $94,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$740 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$854 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$114/yr (+$10/mo · 15.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,138
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$740
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,131
− Management
−$1,131
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$2,585
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$620
After-tax cash flow
$3,362/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ardmore
NCES district ID
4003180
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,194
Composite
11.1/100
National rank
#9733
State rank
#241 of 270 in OK

Livability — Ardmore

Score
58/100
State rank
#447
US rank
#21387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ardmore, OK
County
Carter County · 36,833 people
City population
36,833
Metro
Ardmore, OK
Population (ZIP)
36,833
Household income
$61,989
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
1026.0

Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,892 people
By 2030
51,913 · +2.0%
By 2040
53,857 · +5.8%
By 2050
55,604 · +9.3%
By 2075
60,670 · +19.2%
By 2100
62,366 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 8% Black 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Carter

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.93%
Current HPI
269.7381
Rent YoY
▲ 7.38%
Metro
Ardmore, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $94,900 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $740 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…