CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1506 Pettibone Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

1506 Pettibone Ave · Flint, MI 48507
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 986 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1955 3,920 sqft lot Est $88k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute and clean two bedroom starter home to own for less then rent! This home features hardwood floors, updated kitchen with white cabinets and ceramic backsplash, Updated bath with newer tile, Vinyl windows, and full basement! Don't wait, make this your new home today! THIS HOME IS FOR SALE ONLY, THIS HOME IS NOT FOR RENT, PLEASE BE AWARE! Home is under video surveillance, appointment required with licensed agent for all showings!

Key facts

  • Vinyl windows
  • Newer tile
  • Updated bath

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED KITCHENCERAMIC BACKSPLASHUPDATED BATHNEWER TILEVINYL WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $49,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$87,754) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($907 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $46,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
14.97%
Cash-on-cash
31.00%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,754
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1514 Vermilya Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 952 (-3%) 0mo $66,000 $69 90
1514 W Atherton Rd 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (-6%) 2mo $35,000 $38 78
1902 Crestbrook Ln 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 969 (-2%) 1mo $111,000 $115 77
1413 Waldman Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 903 (-8%) 4mo $99,900 $111 74
1105 Lincoln Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 896 (-9%) 2mo $38,000 $42 71
1418 Blueberry Ln 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,045 (+6%) 4mo $78,000 $75 68
934 Campbell St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-6%) 1mo $89,000 $96 63
3312 Renault Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (+0%) 3mo $185,000 $187 59
912 Markham St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,020 (+3%) 4mo $71,000 $70 59
3805 Brunswick Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 921 (-7%) 4mo $25,000 $27 57
737 Campbell St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 947 (-4%) 4mo $84,700 $89 54
3902 Brunswick Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,128 (+14%) 2mo $123,000 $109 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$12,269
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$30,104
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$907 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $872/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $450
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 21d 1 0.01mi
1023 Barrie Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $775 $1.17 21d 1 0.43mi
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 13d 1 0.65mi
4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 666 $960 $1.44 13d 19 0.92mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Cute and clean two bedroom starter home to own for less then rent! This home features hardwood floors, updated kitchen with white cabinets and ceramic backsplash, Updated bath with newer tile, Vinyl windows, and full basement! Don't wait, make this your new home today! THIS HOME IS FOR SALE ONLY, THIS HOME IS NOT FOR RENT, PLEASE BE AWARE! Home is under video surveillance, appointment required with licensed agent for all showings!

  2. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Cute and clean two bedroom starter home to own for less then rent! This home features hardwood floors, updated kitchen with white cabinets and ceramic backsplash, Updated bath with newer tile, Vinyl windows, and full basement! Don't wait, make this your new home today! THIS HOME IS FOR SALE ONLY, THIS HOME IS NOT FOR RENT, PLEASE BE AWARE! Home is under video surveillance, appointment required with licensed agent for all showings!

  3. 2026-03-13
    soldstatus $46,000
  4. 2026-02-25
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Cute and clean two bedroom starter home to own for less then rent! This home features hardwood floors, updated kitchen with white cabinets and ceramic backsplash, Updated bath with newer tile, Vinyl windows, and full basement! Don't wait, make this your new home today! THIS HOME IS FOR SALE ONLY, THIS HOME IS NOT FOR RENT, PLEASE BE AWARE! Home is under video surveillance, appointment required with licensed agent for all showings!

  5. 2026-02-25
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Cute and clean two bedroom starter home to own for less then rent! This home features hardwood floors, updated kitchen with white cabinets and ceramic backsplash, Updated bath with newer tile, Vinyl windows, and full basement! Don't wait, make this your new home today! THIS HOME IS FOR SALE ONLY, THIS HOME IS NOT FOR RENT, PLEASE BE AWARE! Home is under video surveillance, appointment required with licensed agent for all showings!

  6. 2026-02-20
    listed $49,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Cute and clean two bedroom starter home to own for less then rent! This home features hardwood floors, updated kitchen with white cabinets and ceramic backsplash, Updated bath with newer tile, Vinyl windows, and full basement! Don't wait, make this your new home today! THIS HOME IS FOR SALE ONLY, THIS HOME IS NOT FOR RENT, PLEASE BE AWARE! Home is under video surveillance, appointment required with licensed agent for all showings!

  7. 2026-02-20
    listed $49,900 Active 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Cute and clean two bedroom starter home to own for less then rent! This home features hardwood floors, updated kitchen with white cabinets and ceramic backsplash, Updated bath with newer tile, Vinyl windows, and full basement! Don't wait, make this your new home today! THIS HOME IS FOR SALE ONLY, THIS HOME IS NOT FOR RENT, PLEASE BE AWARE! Home is under video surveillance, appointment required with licensed agent for all showings!

  8. 2002-11-07
    soldstatus $47,000
  9. 2002-11-01
    soldstatus $46,900 119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    Well Maintained, Hardwood Floors Under Bedroom Carpets, Crown Moldings In Living Room, Pantry, Close To Xways, Shopping

  10. 2002-11-01
    soldstatus $46,900
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    Well Maintained, Hardwood Floors Under Bedroom Carpets, Crown Moldings In Living Room, Pantry, Close To Xways, Shopping

  11. 2002-09-26
    historical 119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    Well Maintained, Hardwood Floors Under Bedroom Carpets, Crown Moldings In Living Room, Pantry, Close To Xways, Shopping

  12. 2002-08-20
    listed $46,900 119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    Well Maintained, Hardwood Floors Under Bedroom Carpets, Crown Moldings In Living Room, Pantry, Close To Xways, Shopping

  13. 2002-08-20
    listed $46,900
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    Well Maintained, Hardwood Floors Under Bedroom Carpets, Crown Moldings In Living Room, Pantry, Close To Xways, Shopping

  14. 1995-09-25
    historical
  15. 1995-09-21
    soldstatus $34,000
  16. 1995-09-21
    soldstatus $34,000
  17. 1995-07-20
    listed $36,000
  18. 1995-07-20
    listed $36,000
  19. 1992-04-07
    historical
  20. 1992-04-03
    soldstatus $24,225
  21. 1992-04-03
    soldstatus $24,225
  22. 1992-02-25
    listed $28,500
  23. 1992-02-25
    listed $28,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$872 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$872 · $73/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,878
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$872
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$870
− Management
−$870
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$3,769
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$905
After-tax cash flow
$3,427/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+61.4% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 2026-02-25 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2002-11-01 Sold (MLS) $46,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-11-01 Sold (MLS) $46,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-09-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-08-20 Listed $46,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-08-20 Listed $46,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-09-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-09-21 Sold (MLS) $34,000 REALCOMP
  • 1995-09-21 Sold (MLS) $34,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-07-20 Listed $36,000 REALCOMP
  • 1995-07-20 Listed $36,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1992-04-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1992-04-03 Sold (MLS) $24,225 REALCOMP
  • 1992-04-03 Sold (MLS) $24,225 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1992-02-25 Listed $28,500 REALCOMP
  • 1992-02-25 Listed $28,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $872 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…