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4726 Kensington Pl Fourplex
D Composite 41.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

4726 Kensington Pl · St. Louis, MO 63108
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,190 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 249 Days on market
Built 1898 5,928 sqft lot $14/sqft · 60% below area ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

Key facts

  • Historic property
  • New back decking
  • 5,928 sq ft lot

Tags

HISTORIC PROPERTYINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYRAPIDLY DEVELOPING AREAARCHITECTURAL ELEMENTSEXTERIOR TUCKPOINTINGNEW BACK DECKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2.0-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($56k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 99.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,340/mo this rent would consume 138% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2180% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (52%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.57%
Cap rate
99.21%
Cash-on-cash
331.86%
DSCR
15.77
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,922
List price
$60,000
Delta
-59.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5172 Kensington Ave 0.73mi 7/2.0 (-1) 3,610 (-14%) 17mo $135,000 $37 16

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.08×
Total profit
$286,884
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
38.72×
Total profit
$633,722
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63108

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,340 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $276/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,331
Net cashflow
$4,646

Break-even live

Break-even rent $459
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 22%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $6,340

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 249 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 248 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 247 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 246 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 244 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 240 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 239 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 238 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 233 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 232 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 231 DOM
  14. 2026-05-01
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  15. 2026-03-31
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  16. 2026-02-10
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  17. 2026-02-06
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  18. 2026-01-19
    price $60,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  19. 2025-12-13
    price $70,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  20. 2025-11-18
    price $80,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  21. 2025-10-16
    price $95,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  22. 2025-09-22
    listed $125,000 Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This 4-Family historic property on a quiet street offers an exciting investment opportunity in a rapidly developing area in the Central West End with ARV over $350K! All 2BR/1BA spacious units are over 1000 sq ft. Exterior tuck pointing has already been completed along with all new decking and back porches constructed with high-end timber.

  23. 2024-10-26
    historical
  24. 2024-10-10
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$276 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$582 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$306/yr (+$26/mo · 111.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$76,080
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$276
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,086
− Management
−$6,086
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$58,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$13,974
After-tax cash flow
$41,778/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
21,336
Household income
$55,147
Rent vs Own
73.3% rent · 26.7% own
Severe rent burden
2180.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 26% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Chinese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.22%
Current HPI
225.1081
Rent YoY
▲ 3.10%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-13 Price Changed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-26 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-10 Listed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $276 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…