3110 173rd St · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
"Welcome to your new home! This charming three-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick house offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Step inside to discover an open-concept kitchen and spacious living areas with two sitting areas, making it an ideal space for gatherings and relaxation. Notable updates include a roof that's only 15 years old, a modern AC system installed just 6 years ago, a furnace replaced just one year ago, and a water heater that's only 3 years old. The energy-efficient windows were upgraded 8 years ago, providing both insulation and natural light. The driveway was recently redone in the spring, adding to the property's curb appeal. Step outside to your private fenced yard, complete with a new wooden deck for outdoor entertainment and relaxation. Additionally, this property boasts a convenient two-car garage for your vehicles and extra storage. The basement comes with a unique feature-a built-in bunker in case of emergencies, providing peace of mind and added security. It's worth noting that this home has had only one owner, reflecting the care and pride taken in maintaining the property over the years. This well-maintained freshly painted home is ready for its new owner, offering the perfect canvas for your personal touch. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!"
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1975
- Listed 61 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $707 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mae Jemison School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 376 students, 0% FRL); Prairie-Hills Junior High School (math 7% / reading 10%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 825 students, 0% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 4% / reading 4%, grade F, #657 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 1,314 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.78%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,590
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3213 Woodworth Pl | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,246 (+3%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $116 | 85 |
| 17312 Poe Ave | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,187 (-2%) | 0mo | $199,000 | $168 | 84 |
| 3124 173rd St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,255 (+4%) | 4mo | $238,000 | $190 | 81 |
| 17417 Kedzie Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $182 | 72 |
| 17622 Oakwood Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,257 (+4%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $91 | 65 |
| 2722 Cherrywood Pl | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,258 (+4%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $207 | 64 |
| 3318 Tulip Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,093 (-10%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $206 | 61 |
| 2800 Lexington Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,073 (-11%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $168 | 59 |
| 3321 Tulip Dr | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,287 (+6%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 2912 175th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-14%) | 3mo | $209,500 | $201 | 58 |
| 3425 Birchwood Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,256 (+4%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $143 | 55 |
| 3324 Laurel Ln | 0.45mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (-13%) | 4mo | $188,700 | $179 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $11,758
- Equity at exit
- $30,551
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $67,971
- Equity at exit
- $17,716
Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,490 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,203/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $707
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $823 | -5% $765 | +0% $707 | +5% $649 | +10% $591 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $510 | -5% $608 | +0% $707 | +5% $805 | +10% $904 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $810 | -0.5pp $759 | base $707 | +0.5pp $654 | +1.0pp $600 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,225
- Closing costs
- $6,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1441 | $2,650 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 839 | $2,850 | $3.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $2,700 | $2.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $2,650 | $1.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,500 | $2.88 | 0d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,700 | $1.92 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $2,500 | $2.13 | 18d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,900 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1158 | $2,300 | $1.99 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $204,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $204,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $204,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $204,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $204,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $204,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $204,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $204,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $204,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $204,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $204,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $204,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $204,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $204,900
-
2026-05-04price $209,900
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2023-12-27soldstatus $190,000
-
2023-12-22soldstatus $189,900 Closed 1313-char remark
Show marketing remark (1313 chars)
"Welcome to your new home! This charming three-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick house offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Step inside to discover an open-concept kitchen and spacious living areas with two sitting areas, making it an ideal space for gatherings and relaxation. Notable updates include a roof that's only 15 years old, a modern AC system installed just 6 years ago, a furnace replaced just one year ago, and a water heater that's only 3 years old. The energy-efficient windows were upgraded 8 years ago, providing both insulation and natural light. The driveway was recently redone in the spring, adding to the property's curb appeal. Step outside to your private fenced yard, complete with a new wooden deck for outdoor entertainment and relaxation. Additionally, this property boasts a convenient two-car garage for your vehicles and extra storage. The basement comes with a unique feature-a built-in bunker in case of emergencies, providing peace of mind and added security. It's worth noting that this home has had only one owner, reflecting the care and pride taken in maintaining the property over the years. This well-maintained freshly painted home is ready for its new owner, offering the perfect canvas for your personal touch. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!"
-
2023-11-22historical Contingent - No Showings 1313-char remark
Show marketing remark (1313 chars)
"Welcome to your new home! This charming three-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick house offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Step inside to discover an open-concept kitchen and spacious living areas with two sitting areas, making it an ideal space for gatherings and relaxation. Notable updates include a roof that's only 15 years old, a modern AC system installed just 6 years ago, a furnace replaced just one year ago, and a water heater that's only 3 years old. The energy-efficient windows were upgraded 8 years ago, providing both insulation and natural light. The driveway was recently redone in the spring, adding to the property's curb appeal. Step outside to your private fenced yard, complete with a new wooden deck for outdoor entertainment and relaxation. Additionally, this property boasts a convenient two-car garage for your vehicles and extra storage. The basement comes with a unique feature-a built-in bunker in case of emergencies, providing peace of mind and added security. It's worth noting that this home has had only one owner, reflecting the care and pride taken in maintaining the property over the years. This well-maintained freshly painted home is ready for its new owner, offering the perfect canvas for your personal touch. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!"
-
2023-11-14$179,900 Active 1313-char remark
Show marketing remark (1313 chars)
"Welcome to your new home! This charming three-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick house offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Step inside to discover an open-concept kitchen and spacious living areas with two sitting areas, making it an ideal space for gatherings and relaxation. Notable updates include a roof that's only 15 years old, a modern AC system installed just 6 years ago, a furnace replaced just one year ago, and a water heater that's only 3 years old. The energy-efficient windows were upgraded 8 years ago, providing both insulation and natural light. The driveway was recently redone in the spring, adding to the property's curb appeal. Step outside to your private fenced yard, complete with a new wooden deck for outdoor entertainment and relaxation. Additionally, this property boasts a convenient two-car garage for your vehicles and extra storage. The basement comes with a unique feature-a built-in bunker in case of emergencies, providing peace of mind and added security. It's worth noting that this home has had only one owner, reflecting the care and pride taken in maintaining the property over the years. This well-maintained freshly painted home is ready for its new owner, offering the perfect canvas for your personal touch. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!"
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,203 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,927 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,724/yr (+$144/mo · 143.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,878
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,478
- − Property taxes
- −$1,203
- − Insurance
- −$1,024
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,390
- − Management
- −$2,390
- − Depreciation
- −$5,961
- Taxable income
- $5,432
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,304
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Crest, IL
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+13.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $204,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $209,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2023-12-22 Sold (MLS) $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-22 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-14 Listed $179,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-5.5%/yrLatest (2023): $1,203 · -32.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…