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3110 173rd St
B- Composite 66.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$204,900

3110 173rd St · Hazel Crest, IL 60429
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,210 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1975 653 sqft lot Est $217k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

"Welcome to your new home! This charming three-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick house offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Step inside to discover an open-concept kitchen and spacious living areas with two sitting areas, making it an ideal space for gatherings and relaxation. Notable updates include a roof that's only 15 years old, a modern AC system installed just 6 years ago, a furnace replaced just one year ago, and a water heater that's only 3 years old. The energy-efficient windows were upgraded 8 years ago, providing both insulation and natural light. The driveway was recently redone in the spring, adding to the property's curb appeal. Step outside to your private fenced yard, complete with a new wooden deck for outdoor entertainment and relaxation. Additionally, this property boasts a convenient two-car garage for your vehicles and extra storage. The basement comes with a unique feature-a built-in bunker in case of emergencies, providing peace of mind and added security. It's worth noting that this home has had only one owner, reflecting the care and pride taken in maintaining the property over the years. This well-maintained freshly painted home is ready for its new owner, offering the perfect canvas for your personal touch. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!"

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1975
  • Listed 61 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $707 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mae Jemison School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 376 students, 0% FRL); Prairie-Hills Junior High School (math 7% / reading 10%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 825 students, 0% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 4% / reading 4%, grade F, #657 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 1,314 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $192,606 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.43%
Cash-on-cash
14.78%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$216,590
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3213 Woodworth Pl 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,246 (+3%) 2mo $145,000 $116 85
17312 Poe Ave 0.12mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,187 (-2%) 0mo $199,000 $168 84
3124 173rd St 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,255 (+4%) 4mo $238,000 $190 81
17417 Kedzie Ave 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-9%) 0mo $200,000 $182 72
17622 Oakwood Dr 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,257 (+4%) 3mo $115,000 $91 65
2722 Cherrywood Pl 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,258 (+4%) 3mo $260,000 $207 64
3318 Tulip Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,093 (-10%) 1mo $225,000 $206 61
2800 Lexington Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,073 (-11%) 1mo $180,000 $168 59
3321 Tulip Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,287 (+6%) 4mo $220,000 $171 58
2912 175th St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,044 (-14%) 3mo $209,500 $201 58
3425 Birchwood Dr 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,256 (+4%) 1mo $180,000 $143 55
3324 Laurel Ln 0.45mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (-13%) 4mo $188,700 $179 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$11,758
Equity at exit
$30,551
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$67,971
Equity at exit
$17,716

Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60429

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,490 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,203/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$523
Net cashflow
$707

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,595
Max offer price $204,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $823 -5% $765 +0% $707 +5% $649 +10% $591
Rent -10% $510 -5% $608 +0% $707 +5% $805 +10% $904
Rate -1.0pp $810 -0.5pp $759 base $707 +0.5pp $654 +1.0pp $600

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,225
Closing costs
$6,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1441 $2,650 $1.84 14d 1 0.57mi
3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 2.0 839 $2,850 $3.40 0d 1 0.76mi
17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 1.0 1034 $2,700 $2.61 0d 1 0.94mi
3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $2,650 $1.88 0d 1 0.96mi
16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 867 $2,500 $2.88 0d 1 1.02mi
2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.0 1020 $2,400 $2.35 0d 1 1.04mi
16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1406 $2,700 $1.92 0d 1 1.05mi
17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL 3.0 1.0 1174 $2,300 $1.96 0d 1 1.14mi
17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL 3.0 1.0 1174 $2,500 $2.13 18d 1 1.14mi
2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1159 $2,350 $2.03 0d 1 1.16mi
3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1486 $2,900 $1.95 3d 1 1.18mi
16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 0d 1 1.25mi
2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1158 $2,300 $1.99 0d 1 1.26mi
17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 0d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $204,900 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $204,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $204,900 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $204,900 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $204,900 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $204,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $204,900 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $204,900 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $204,900 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $204,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $204,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $204,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $204,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $204,900 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $204,900
  16. 2026-05-04
    price $209,900
  17. 2026-04-09
    historical
  18. 2026-04-01
    historical
  19. 2023-12-27
    soldstatus $190,000
  20. 2023-12-22
    soldstatus $189,900 Closed 1313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1313 chars)

    "Welcome to your new home! This charming three-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick house offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Step inside to discover an open-concept kitchen and spacious living areas with two sitting areas, making it an ideal space for gatherings and relaxation. Notable updates include a roof that's only 15 years old, a modern AC system installed just 6 years ago, a furnace replaced just one year ago, and a water heater that's only 3 years old. The energy-efficient windows were upgraded 8 years ago, providing both insulation and natural light. The driveway was recently redone in the spring, adding to the property's curb appeal. Step outside to your private fenced yard, complete with a new wooden deck for outdoor entertainment and relaxation. Additionally, this property boasts a convenient two-car garage for your vehicles and extra storage. The basement comes with a unique feature-a built-in bunker in case of emergencies, providing peace of mind and added security. It's worth noting that this home has had only one owner, reflecting the care and pride taken in maintaining the property over the years. This well-maintained freshly painted home is ready for its new owner, offering the perfect canvas for your personal touch. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!"

  21. 2023-11-22
    historical Contingent - No Showings 1313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1313 chars)

    "Welcome to your new home! This charming three-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick house offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Step inside to discover an open-concept kitchen and spacious living areas with two sitting areas, making it an ideal space for gatherings and relaxation. Notable updates include a roof that's only 15 years old, a modern AC system installed just 6 years ago, a furnace replaced just one year ago, and a water heater that's only 3 years old. The energy-efficient windows were upgraded 8 years ago, providing both insulation and natural light. The driveway was recently redone in the spring, adding to the property's curb appeal. Step outside to your private fenced yard, complete with a new wooden deck for outdoor entertainment and relaxation. Additionally, this property boasts a convenient two-car garage for your vehicles and extra storage. The basement comes with a unique feature-a built-in bunker in case of emergencies, providing peace of mind and added security. It's worth noting that this home has had only one owner, reflecting the care and pride taken in maintaining the property over the years. This well-maintained freshly painted home is ready for its new owner, offering the perfect canvas for your personal touch. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!"

  22. 2023-11-14
    listed $179,900 Active 1313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1313 chars)

    "Welcome to your new home! This charming three-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick house offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Step inside to discover an open-concept kitchen and spacious living areas with two sitting areas, making it an ideal space for gatherings and relaxation. Notable updates include a roof that's only 15 years old, a modern AC system installed just 6 years ago, a furnace replaced just one year ago, and a water heater that's only 3 years old. The energy-efficient windows were upgraded 8 years ago, providing both insulation and natural light. The driveway was recently redone in the spring, adding to the property's curb appeal. Step outside to your private fenced yard, complete with a new wooden deck for outdoor entertainment and relaxation. Additionally, this property boasts a convenient two-car garage for your vehicles and extra storage. The basement comes with a unique feature-a built-in bunker in case of emergencies, providing peace of mind and added security. It's worth noting that this home has had only one owner, reflecting the care and pride taken in maintaining the property over the years. This well-maintained freshly painted home is ready for its new owner, offering the perfect canvas for your personal touch. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!"

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,203 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,927 · $244/mo
Expected delta
+$1,724/yr (+$144/mo · 143.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,878
− Mortgage interest
−$11,478
− Property taxes
−$1,203
− Insurance
−$1,024
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,390
− Management
−$2,390
− Depreciation
−$5,961
Taxable income
$5,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,304
After-tax cash flow
$7,178/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Hazel Crest

Score
75/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#4242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Crest, IL
City population
14,602
Population (ZIP)
14,602

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.04%
Current HPI
282.3552
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $204,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $209,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2023-12-22 Sold (MLS) $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-22 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-14 Listed $179,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-5.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,203 · -32.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…