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631 W Montgomery Ave
C Composite 59.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$699,900

631 W Montgomery Ave · Wildwood, NJ 08260
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,084 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1963 Est $475k · 47% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the best of back bay living at 631 W. Montgomery Ave. Perfectly positioned on a corner lot with views of Ottens Harbor, this charming 2-bedroom ranch captures the essence of laid-back Wildwood living. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living room and a large eat-in kitchen with a center island, ideal for gathering after a day on the water. Step outside to your private outdoor oasis featuring an in-ground pool, covered dining area, ample entertaining space, and a storage shed for all your beach and boating gear. Located in a sought-after Back Bay neighborhood, you’re just a short walk to Bunkers Marina on Post Creek, perfect for boating or docking your boat as well as Shi

Key facts

  • In-ground pool
  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTVIEWS OF OTTENS HARBORLARGE EAT-IN KITCHENPRIVATE OUTDOOR OASISIN-GROUND POOLCOVERED DINING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking (see remarks)
  • Utilities: Public / city water; Public / city sewer; On-demand hot water
  • Home design: Vinyl exterior; Grey exterior color; Offered for sale
  • Construction: Vinyl construction
  • Exterior features: Patio; Built-in grill; Fenced yard; Storage building; In-ground pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range / gas stove; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Tile flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas fireplace; Smoke/fire alarm / detector; Walk-in closet; Window treatments, curtains and blinds; Total of 5 rooms (includes living room, eat-in kitchen and other rooms); 1st floor master bedroom; Partial basement with inside entrance, crawl space and slab elements (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; On-demand hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $700k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $700k).
  • Recommended offer: $689k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.6% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#176 in NJ, #4,679 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Wildwood City School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #442 of 472 in NJ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 431 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($689k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $700k implies a 1173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $689,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.80%
Cash-on-cash
19.68%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$474,792
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
427 1/2 W Roberts Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 1,044 (-4%) 14mo $375,000 $359 68
504 W Oak Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (+7%) 1mo $700,000 $604 58
440 W Youngs Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,154 (+6%) 18mo $505,000 $438 50
40 Morning Glory Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (+2%) 18mo $136,000 $124 47
15 Channel Dr 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,050 (-3%) 19mo $170,000 $162 45
212 W Buttercup Rd 0.74mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,100 (+2%) 13mo $525,000 $477 45
4210 Arctic Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 954 (-12%) 7mo $452,500 $474 42
404 W Pine Ave 0.61mi 2/1.5 948 (-12%) 13mo $458,745 $484 37
29 Buttercup Rd 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 950 (-12%) 8mo $170,000 $179 34
113 W Hildreth Ave 0.73mi 2/2.5 940 (-13%) 19mo $373,000 $397 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$64,313
Equity at exit
$104,357
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$285,277
Equity at exit
$60,515

Cash invested: $195,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08260

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Active inventory
431
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,665 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,670
Tax from tax record
$459 /mo · $5,508/yr
Insurance
$292
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,030
Net cashflow
$2,788

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,136
Max offer price $699,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$174,975
Closing costs
$20,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
611 W Burk Ave Unit A Wildwood, NJ 2.0 1.5 1248 $12,000 $9.62 44d 1 0.09mi
206 W Spencer Ave Wildwood, NJ 2.0 1.0 750 $2,000 $2.67 44d 1 0.49mi
142 E Youngs Ave Unit 1309014P Wildwood, NJ 3.0 1.5 1194 $5,873 $4.92 44d 1 0.72mi
154 E Lincoln Ave #104 Wildwood, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $4,750 $3.17 44d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-09
    listed $699,900 Active
  3. 1999-11-12
    soldstatus $55,000
  4. 1977-11-30
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,508 · $459/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,468 · $956/mo
Expected delta
+$5,960/yr (+$497/mo · 108.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$115,984
− Mortgage interest
−$39,205
− Property taxes
−$5,508
− Insurance
−$8,618
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,279
− Management
−$9,279
− Depreciation
−$20,361
Taxable income
$23,734
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,696
After-tax cash flow
$27,761/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wildwood City School District
NCES district ID
3417940
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$33,232
Composite
15.84/100
National rank
#9261
State rank
#442 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Wildwood

Score
74/100
State rank
#176
US rank
#4679

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wildwood, NJ
Population (ZIP)
12,913

Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,234 people
By 2030
84,144 · -4.6%
By 2040
75,146 · -14.8%
By 2050
67,389 · -23.6%
By 2075
55,732 · -36.8%
By 2100
44,972 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape May

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -243.83%
Current HPI
551.3393
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4017.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending CMCMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $699,900 CMCMLS
  • 1999-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1977-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,508 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…