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1947 E 31st St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 67.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,000

1947 E 31st St · Baltimore, MD 21218
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,264 sqft · Townhouse public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1922

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

AGENTS - PLEASE VIEW AGENT REMARKS IN BRIGHT MLS. Rare opportunity to acquire a diversified 5-property Baltimore portfolio featuring a mix of stabilized rental income and value-add potential. Assets span multiple Baltimore submarkets with proximity to hospitals, universities, transit, downtown employment centers and redevelopment corridors. Ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow with long-term appreciation upside. Portfolio includes tenant-occupied units generating income and properties positioned for future rent growth. Package sale preferred. Package includes: 110 S Catherine Street; Baltimore, MD 21223 / 1947 E 31st Street; Baltimore, MD 21218 / 4806 Reisterstown Road; Baltimore

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1922
  • Listed 26 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; No septic system; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Property located within city limits

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $112,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$271,680) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $934 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $112k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,320 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.30%
Cash-on-cash
35.74%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$271,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1609 E 30th St 0.28mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,250 (-1%) 3mo $269,000 $120 77
3012 Harford Rd 0.09mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,144 (-5%) 12mo $206,000 $96 68
1764 Homestead St 0.53mi 4/3.5 2,200 (-3%) 7mo $257,500 $117 62
2219 Chesterfield Ave 0.58mi 4/4.0 2,170 (-4%) 1mo $320,000 $147 61
2785 The Alameda 0.33mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,009 (-11%) 2mo $299,999 $149 57
1306 E 33rd St 0.53mi 4/2.5 2,050 (-10%) 2mo $170,000 $83 56
2701 The Alameda 0.34mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,050 (-10%) 9mo $200,000 $98 54
3707 The Alameda 0.64mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,205 (-3%) 7mo $275,000 $125 53
2709 The Alameda 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,100 (-7%) 13mo $242,000 $115 52
2542 Harford Rd 0.57mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,100 (-7%) 6mo $220,000 $105 52
1542 Kennewick Rd 0.65mi 4/2.0 2,040 (-10%) 3mo $310,000 $152 47
1509 E 36th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,040 (-10%) 9mo $259,900 $127 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$38,430
Equity at exit
$16,700
10-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
4.14×
Total profit
$98,459
Equity at exit
$9,684

Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21218

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,162 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$587
Tax est. 1.5%
$140 /mo · $1,680/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$934

Break-even live

Break-even rent $980
Max offer price $112,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,000
Closing costs
$3,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1923 E 31st St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 2264 $1,600 $0.71 24d 1 0.03mi
2045 E 31st St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 2200 $895 $0.41 24d 1 0.10mi
1539 Abbotston St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,995 $1.11 44d 1 0.44mi
1539 Abbotston St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1900 $1,899 $1.00 4d 1 0.44mi
3005 Belair Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,600 $0.80 18d 1 0.80mi
4006 Loch Raven Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 2016 $2,695 $1.34 18d 1 0.92mi
1539 Ralworth Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1580 $1,950 $1.23 15d 1 0.93mi
1829 N Port St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 2000 $1,625 $0.81 44d 1 1.00mi
3027 Shannon Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1950 $2,500 $1.28 44d 1 1.10mi
3031 Shannon Dr Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 2155 $2,600 $1.21 24d 1 1.10mi
3551 Elmley Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1872 $2,095 $1.12 24d 1 1.12mi
1333 E North Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1860 $2,200 $1.18 24d 1 1.17mi
4110 Harris Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 2450 $1,650 $0.67 24d 1 1.19mi
1511 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1988 $2,650 $1.33 4d 1 1.19mi
424 Ilchester Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1976 $1,800 $0.91 15d 1 1.22mi
420 E 28th St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 1600 $2,600 $1.62 4d 1 1.23mi
3300 Dudley Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1724 $2,200 $1.28 44d 1 1.26mi
348 E University Pkwy Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1809 $2,400 $1.33 44d 1 1.27mi
1532 N Broadway Baltimore, MD 3.0 4.0 2696 $2,700 $1.00 3d 1 1.29mi
4244 Shamrock Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1920 $1,850 $0.96 24d 1 1.29mi
3421 University Pl Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.0 1960 $3,500 $1.79 24d 1 1.30mi
534 E 23rd St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,350 $1.38 44d 1 1.31mi
3214 Abell Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 2300 $2,800 $1.22 24d 1 1.31mi
2621 E Oliver St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,700 $1.06 24d 1 1.31mi
3010 Guilford Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 2174 $3,980 $1.83 11d 1 1.37mi
719 E 20th St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 2060 $2,400 $1.17 2d 1 1.41mi
719 E 20th St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.5 2060 $3,000 $1.46 24d 1 1.41mi
312 E 25th St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1960 $2,800 $1.43 44d 1 1.42mi
313 E 25th St Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 2350 $2,550 $1.09 24d 1 1.42mi
513 E 41st St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1620 $1,900 $1.17 44d 1 1.43mi
1403 N Linwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,995 $1.20 44d 1 1.43mi
2912 Grindon Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.5 2400 $3,300 $1.38 11d 1 1.46mi
324 E 23rd St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 2018 $2,200 $1.09 24d 1 1.47mi
706 E 43rd St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1596 $1,899 $1.19 2d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $112,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $112,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $112,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $112,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $112,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $112,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $112,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $112,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $112,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $112,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $112,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $112,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-23
    listed $112,000 Active
  15. 2024-02-09
    historical
  16. 2023-11-08
    listed $250,000 Active
  17. 2023-11-05
    historical
  18. 2015-12-23
    listed Active
  19. 2015-12-23
    historical Withdrawn
  20. 2012-03-24
    historical Withdrawn
  21. 2012-03-24
    historical
  22. 2011-12-10
    listed Active
  23. 2011-12-10
    listed $185,000
  24. 2008-08-01
    historical
  25. 2008-05-06
    listed
  26. 2005-03-07
    soldstatus $43,050

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,944
− Mortgage interest
−$6,274
− Property taxes
−$1,680
− Insurance
−$560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,076
− Management
−$2,076
− Depreciation
−$3,258
Taxable income
$10,021
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,405
After-tax cash flow
$8,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
44,014
Household income
$62,488
Rent vs Own
51.9% rent · 48.1% own
Severe rent burden
2564.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -463.14%
Current HPI
292.3986
Rent YoY
▲ 1.63%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $112,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-02-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-08 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-05 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-12-23 Listed MRIS
  • 2015-12-23 Delisted MRIS
  • 2012-03-24 Delisted MRIS
  • 2012-03-24 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-12-10 Listed MRIS
  • 2011-12-10 Listed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-08-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-05-06 Listed MRIS
  • 2005-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $43,050 Public Records

Property tax history

-17.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $164 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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