1526 Pennsylvania Ave #2 · Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Part of the FIRST BOUTIQUE RESIDENCE COLLECTION "First on Penn" is a marvelous Art Deco 2 stories building composed by 20 boutique apartments which have been totally renovated & furnished providing a combination of art, sophistication and comfort. This 1/1 front corner unit with plenty of natural light & features beautiful finishes w/ marble flooring and beautiful furnitures. Perfect location, Walking distance to the famous Lincoln Road, all amenities, restaurants, beach and more.
Key facts
- Marble flooring
- Totally renovated
- Art deco building
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: $2,875 annual tax (2024)
- Financial info: Lease considered; Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $150 covering water, sewer and trash
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: Key card entry
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: 2-story property; Entry on level 1; Attached property
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Open porch; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Marble flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Wall/window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 1208 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,364/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 4052% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $192k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.19%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.19% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-12,623
- Equity at exit
- $45,493
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,903
- Equity at exit
- $36,904
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33139
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 1208
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,364 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$706
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $245,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2025-12-17historical $1,650
-
2025-12-16status Active
-
2025-12-16status Pending
-
2025-12-05price $1,650
-
2025-11-11price $1,795
-
2025-10-31$245,000 Active
-
2025-09-26price $1,900
-
2025-09-12$1,800
-
2025-09-11historical $1,800
-
2025-09-10$1,800
-
2025-09-05historical $1,900
-
2025-06-28$1,900
-
2025-06-27historical $1,950
-
2025-04-01$1,950
-
2024-12-04historical
-
2024-12-02$235,000 Active
-
2024-12-02historical
-
2024-10-24price $238,000
-
2024-08-05$239,500 Active
-
2024-05-29historical
-
2024-04-10$249,500 Active
-
2023-12-06historical
-
2022-12-07$249,000 Active
-
2017-09-30historical
-
2017-04-20price $259,000
-
2017-01-18price $264,000
-
2016-11-10price $275,000
-
2016-09-16$290,000 Active
-
2014-03-26soldstatus $192,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,024 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,024 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,363
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$3,024
- − Insurance
- −$6,344
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,229
- − Management
- −$3,229
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable income
- $1,886
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$453
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,849/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #1672
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,533
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,753
- Household income
- $69,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4052.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 40% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 15% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 56% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 37% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.19%
- Current HPI
- 277.9321
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.36%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-99.1% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-17 Rental Removed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2025-12-16 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-12-16 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $1,795 MARMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $245,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $1,900 MARMLS
- 2025-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
- 2025-09-11 Rental Removed $1,800 MARMLS
- 2025-09-10 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
- 2025-09-05 Rental Removed $1,900 MARMLS
- 2025-06-28 Listed for Rent $1,900 MARMLS
- 2025-06-27 Rental Removed $1,950 MARMLS
- 2025-04-01 Listed for Rent $1,950 MARMLS
- 2024-12-04 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-12-02 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-12-02 Listed $235,000 MARMLS
- 2024-10-24 Price Changed $238,000 MARMLS
- 2024-08-05 Listed $239,500 MARMLS
- 2024-05-29 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-04-10 Listed $249,500 MARMLS
- 2023-12-06 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-12-07 Listed $249,000 MARMLS
- 2017-09-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-04-20 Price Changed $259,000 MARMLS
- 2017-01-18 Price Changed $264,000 MARMLS
- 2016-11-10 Price Changed $275,000 MARMLS
- 2016-09-16 Listed $290,000 MARMLS
- 2014-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $192,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,024 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…