5706 Cranston St · Portage, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located steps from Lexington Park, this inviting tri-level offers a fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and room to play. The home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and includes appliances. The lower level features egress windows, creating opportunities for extra bedrooms, a home office, or a hobby space. A great blend of comfort, flexibility, and Portage convenience.
Key facts
- Storage shed
- Fully fenced yard
- Egress windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1968; 1,381 living area (listing)
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: 0.17-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window-mounted air conditioning units
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (2.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $219k (2.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.3% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#90 in MI, #2,044 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Portage Public Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #67 of 540 in MI (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.3%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 38y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.17%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,037
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- 1.79%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5619 Cheshire St | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+4%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $163 | 83 |
| 4624 Lexington Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (+5%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $137 | 77 |
| 5709 Cheshire St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,468 (+6%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $129 | 74 |
| 4423 Farnham Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,488 (+8%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $118 | 65 |
| 4535 Lexington Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,275 (-8%) | 17mo | $189,000 | $148 | 64 |
| 5538 Cabot St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,239 (-10%) | 20mo | $215,000 | $174 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-7,612
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $68,270
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49002
- Rents YoY
- 11.3%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,193 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5141 S Wagon Trl Kalamazoo, MI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1055 | $2,050 | $1.94 | 44d | 16 | 0.44mi |
| 5374 E Deadwood Dr Portage, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 788 | $1,349 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-05status $225,000 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 21 DOM
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Located steps from Lexington Park, this inviting tri-level offers a fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and room to play. The home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and includes appliances. The lower level features egress windows, creating opportunities for extra bedrooms, a home office, or a hobby space. A great blend of comfort, flexibility, and Portage convenience.
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $225,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $230,000 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Located steps from Lexington Park, this inviting tri-level offers a fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and room to play. The home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and includes appliances. The lower level features egress windows, creating opportunities for extra bedrooms, a home office, or a hobby space. A great blend of comfort, flexibility, and Portage convenience.
-
2026-05-15price $230,000 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Located steps from Lexington Park, this inviting tri-level offers a fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and room to play. The home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and includes appliances. The lower level features egress windows, creating opportunities for extra bedrooms, a home office, or a hobby space. A great blend of comfort, flexibility, and Portage convenience.
-
2026-05-15price $230,000
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Located steps from Lexington Park, this inviting tri-level offers a fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and room to play. The home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and includes appliances. The lower level features egress windows, creating opportunities for extra bedrooms, a home office, or a hobby space. A great blend of comfort, flexibility, and Portage convenience.
-
2026-05-13$225,000 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Located steps from Lexington Park, this inviting tri-level offers a fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and room to play. The home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and includes appliances. The lower level features egress windows, creating opportunities for extra bedrooms, a home office, or a hobby space. A great blend of comfort, flexibility, and Portage convenience.
-
2026-05-13$225,000 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Located steps from Lexington Park, this inviting tri-level offers a fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and room to play. The home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and includes appliances. The lower level features egress windows, creating opportunities for extra bedrooms, a home office, or a hobby space. A great blend of comfort, flexibility, and Portage convenience.
-
2026-05-13$225,000 Active
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Located steps from Lexington Park, this inviting tri-level offers a fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and room to play. The home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and includes appliances. The lower level features egress windows, creating opportunities for extra bedrooms, a home office, or a hobby space. A great blend of comfort, flexibility, and Portage convenience.
-
1988-03-19$49,900
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1988-03-19$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,247 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,856 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- +$609/yr (+$51/mo · 27.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,313
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,247
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,105
- − Management
- −$2,105
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$418
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$100
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portage Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2628950
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,322
- Composite
- 48.37/100
- National rank
- #2142
- State rank
- #67 of 540 in MI
Livability — Portage
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #2044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portage, MI
- County
- Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
- City population
- 50,560
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,737
- Household income
- $73,647
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 462.0
Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,982 people
- By 2030
- 292,068 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 312,191 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 331,196 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 379,021 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 396,579 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 9% Romanian 6% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.17%
- Current HPI
- 219.4489
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.29%
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+350.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-03 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $225,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $225,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $230,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $230,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Listed $225,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1988-03-19 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 1988-03-19 Listed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+47.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,247 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…