460 Marty Allen Loop · Jarrell, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$146,000
460 Marty Allen Loop · Jarrell, TX 76537
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,287 sqft · SingleFamily
public records
· 157 Days on market
Built 2023
4,403 sqft lot
Garage
$113/sqft
· 29% below area
Est $206k · 29% under
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to a well-maintained 2-story home that's just right! This gem features an open floorplan with the living area and kitchen on the main floor. All bedrooms are on the upper level and are carpeted. The main bedroom features a bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- 4,403 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2023
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $146k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $146k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.8% in Jarrell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#313 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Jarrell ISD (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #713 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jarrell El (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 785 students, 62% FRL); Jarrell Middle (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,258 of 1,662 statewide, top 77%, 741 students, 64% FRL); Jarrell H S (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 868 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 1147 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Recommended offer
$128,480
(12.0% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.39%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $205,808
- List price
- $146,000
- Delta
- -29.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 649 Marty Allen Loop | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+1%) | 4mo | $204,000 | $157 | 80 |
| 137 Desert Hare Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,308 (+2%) | 3mo | $252,900 | $193 | 75 |
| 105 Desert Hare Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,308 (+2%) | 2mo | $252,900 | $193 | 75 |
| 215 Carmel Canyon Trl | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,308 (+2%) | 6mo | $249,900 | $191 | 70 |
| 132 Desert Hare Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,308 (+2%) | 7mo | $245,900 | $188 | 69 |
| 317 Carmel Canyon Trl | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,308 (+2%) | 8mo | $245,900 | $188 | 68 |
| 140 Wirepass Crst | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,305 (+1%) | 5mo | $283,900 | $218 | 62 |
| 128 Desert Hare Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,413 (+10%) | 3mo | $259,900 | $184 | 59 |
| 539 Commander Abbott Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,462 (+14%) | 4mo | $179,999 | $123 | 58 |
| 129 Paria Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,305 (+1%) | 8mo | $279,900 | $214 | 57 |
| 313 Carmel Canyon Trl | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,413 (+10%) | 5mo | $259,900 | $184 | 57 |
| 211 Carmel Canyon Trl | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,413 (+10%) | 7mo | $255,900 | $181 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-15,093
- Equity at exit
- $21,769
10-year hold
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-15,717
- Equity at exit
- $12,623
Cash invested: $40,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 28 active · 14 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.9 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $279,900 ($188/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 119 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -15.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76537
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 1147
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $1,868 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$766
- Tax from tax record
- −$432 /mo · $5,178/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$1,592
Max offer price
$146,000
Occupancy floor
83%
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $300 | -5% $259 | +0% $218 | +5% $176 | +10% $135 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $70 | -5% $144 | +0% $218 | +5% $291 | +10% $365 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $255 | base $218 | +0.5pp $180 | +1.0pp $141 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,500
- Closing costs
- $4,380
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 451 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 472 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1462 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 1d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 704 Commander Abbott Dr Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,550 | $0.95 | 184d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 609 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,775 | $1.37 | 87d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 604 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 85d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 604 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 632 Commander Abbott Dr Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,750 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 344 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 153d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 313 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 40d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 583 Commander Abbott Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 184d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 309 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1286 | $1,545 | $1.20 | 153d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 212 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,680 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 212 Marty Allen Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 108d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 543 Commander Abbott Dr Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1599 | $1,699 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 508 Commander Abbott Dr Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,575 | $1.05 | 38d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 109 Desert Hare Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1508 | $2,085 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 128 Desert Hare Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1413 | $1,940 | $1.37 | 157d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 101 W Luna Blue Ln Jarrell, TX | 2.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1313 | $3,308 | $2.52 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 103 Wirepass Cres Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $1,299 | $0.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 123 Wirepass Cres Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $1,655 | $1.08 | 41d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 125 Wirepass Cres Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $1,300 | $0.85 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 136 Wirepass Crst Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1799 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 132 Wirepass Crst Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1799 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 121 Scarborough Bnd Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,615 | $1.20 | 10d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 129 Scarborough Bnd Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,625 | $1.21 | 112d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 137 Scarborough Bnd Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,610 | $0.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 109 Scarborough Bnd Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,625 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 509 Scarborough Cv Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,895 | $1.24 | 153d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 513 Locksley Cv Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,695 | $1.11 | 55d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 513 Locksley Cv Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,575 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 152 Scarborough Bnd Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,545 | $1.15 | 184d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 520 Locksley Cv Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $1,750 | $0.97 | 133d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 225 Wincanton Ln Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,645 | $0.92 | 164d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 101 Fox Glen Trl Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,535 | $1.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 305 Silvercrest Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,810 | $1.19 | 10d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 216 Wincanton Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,700 | $1.11 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 364 Crescent Park Dr Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,895 | $1.06 | 145d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 364 Crescent Park Dr Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 37d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 101 Somerdale Pass Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,535 | $1.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Part of Cielo Gardens HOA
Exterior
- Parking
- Garage with 1 car space
- Utilities
- Electricity availablePublic water
- Home design
- Two-story homeHardiPlank-type exterior
- Construction
- Shingle/composition roofSlab foundationBuilt (year source: assessor)
- Exterior features
- Back yard with wood fencingAsphalt road accessCity lot, less than quarter acre
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric rangeRangeMicrowaveDishwasherSome electric appliances
- Bedrooms
- Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring
- CarpetLuxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathroomsOne half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air (one unit)
- Interior features
- All bedrooms are on the upper levelKitchen/dining comboTub/showerVanityWalk-in closet(s)Solid surface counters
- Laundry & utility
- Stacked laundry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $146,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $146,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $146,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $146,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $146,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $146,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $146,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $146,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $146,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-10-29pricedays on market $146,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $156,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $156,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $156,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $156,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $156,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $156,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $156,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $156,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $156,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $156,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $156,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $156,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $156,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $156,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $156,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $156,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $156,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $156,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $156,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $156,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $156,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $156,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $156,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $156,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $156,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $156,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $156,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $156,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $156,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $156,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $156,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $156,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-25status $156,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $156,000 Active Under Contract 113 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $156,000 Active Under Contract 112 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $156,000 Active Under Contract 111 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $156,000 Active Under Contract 110 DOM
-
2026-09-21statusdays on market $156,000 Active Under Contract 109 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $156,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $156,000 Active 107 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,178 · $432/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,178 · $432/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,178
- − Property taxes
- −$5,178
- − Insurance
- −$730
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,793
- − Management
- −$1,793
- − Depreciation
- −$4,247
- Taxable income
- $494
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$118
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,492/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $6,435–$19,305 screening
This well-maintained 2-story home features an open floorplan and is ready for immediate move-in. Minor updates to the exterior trim and blinds would further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace blinds — Improves natural light and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 26/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Jarrell El
F
TX #3,277/4,322
Nat'l #31,702/41,679
Middle
Jarrell Middle
F
TX #1,258/1,662
Nat'l #10,338/14,009
High
Jarrell H S
F
TX #1,112/1,632
Nat'l #11,215/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jarrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824600
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,132
- Composite
- 21.47/100
- National rank
- #8335
- State rank
- #713 of 826 in TX
B
Composite livability gradescore 71/100
Livability — Jarrell
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #7020
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living A
Crime A
Employment A+
Housing A+
Health & safety B
User ratings C
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Williamson County · 699,027 people
- City population
- 16,272
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,272
- Household income
- $98,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 699,027 people
- By 2030
- 795,537 · +13.8%
- By 2040
- 990,683 · +41.7%
- By 2050
- 1,184,292 · +69.4%
- By 2075
- 1,623,825 · +132.3%
- By 2100
- 1,924,153 · +175.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30% Puerto Rican 5%
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 26% Chinese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williamson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.03%
- Current HPI
- 184.8935
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.73%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+11525.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $186,000 CTXMLS
- 2026-03-11 Rental Removed $1,599 ACTRIS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $1,599 ACTRIS
- 2025-09-11 Listed for Rent $1,600 ACTRIS
- 2025-07-23 Listed — Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2026): $5,178 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…