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120 Crescent Dr
B- Composite 66.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,600

120 Crescent Dr · Bloomington, TX 77905
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,408 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1959 0.30 ac lot Est $114k · at est. ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in established Victoria neighborhood! This single-story residence offers comfortable living spaces, and an open layout on a spacious lot. Enjoy easy access to local amenities, schools and major roadways. Roof replaced in 2019. Perfect for first-time buyers, investors or anyone seeking a solid home with great potential. Don’t miss out on this opportunity!

Key facts

  • Open layout
  • Spacious lot
  • Roof replaced

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTSPACIOUS LOTEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIESROOF REPLACED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available and on property; Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Entry level: main level; Facing direction: not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition/shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Storage; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast area
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air (one unit)
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Ceiling fans; Tile counters; Vanity; Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast area; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Kitchen/family room combo; Kitchen/dining combo; Pantry; Shower only; Separate shower; All bedrooms on main level; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in utility room; Dedicated laundry room; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,163 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Victoria ISD (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #645 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Victoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $792 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Victoria County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,724 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.21%
Cash-on-cash
17.57%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,048
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
120 Crescent Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,408 (0%) 1mo $114,600 $81 94
136 Matchett Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (-6%) 20mo $62,000 $47 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$11,354
Equity at exit
$17,087
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$48,399
Equity at exit
$9,909

Cash invested: $32,088 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77905

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,535 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$601
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $940
Max offer price $114,600
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,650
Closing costs
$3,438
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-03
    status Active
  4. 2026-02-25
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2026-02-19
    price $114,600
  6. 2026-02-08
    listed $134,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,125 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,097 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$972/yr (+$81/mo · 86.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,417
− Mortgage interest
−$6,419
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$573
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,473
− Management
−$1,473
− Depreciation
−$3,334
Taxable income
$4,019
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$965
After-tax cash flow
$4,675/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Victoria ISD
NCES district ID
4844150
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$50,534
Composite
24.98/100
National rank
#7562
State rank
#645 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bloomington

Score
59/100
State rank
#1163
US rank
#20339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing C Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,442
Population (ZIP)
16,346

Population outlook (Victoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
106,119 people
By 2030
113,161 · +6.6%
By 2040
127,402 · +20.1%
By 2050
141,953 · +33.8%
By 2075
179,410 · +69.1%
By 2100
200,127 · +88.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 18% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Victoria

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 28.4% · R 71.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+38.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+33.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.60%
Current HPI
139.4036
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending CTXMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Contingent CTXMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted CTXMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Contingent CTXMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $114,600 CTXMLS
  • 2026-02-08 Listed $134,000 CTXMLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,125 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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