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3501 38th St
D+ Composite 49.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0

$249,000

3501 38th St · Lehigh Acres, FL 33976
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1993 0.25 ac lot Est $249k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong upside potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Located in a quiet residential area with no HOA, the property already has major improvements in place including a 2023 roof and newer HVAC, giving you a strong head start on renovations. The home features a functional split-bedroom floor plan, spacious living areas, and solid bones making it an ideal candidate for a profitable flip, rental property, or long-term hold. Comparable renovated homes in the area support excellent value-add potential. 2023 roof Newer HVAC No HOA Strong rental market Growing Lehigh Acres location Ideal for flip, rental, or long-term investment Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing preferred. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Newer roof
  • Split floor plan

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS BACKYARDNO HOA RESTRICTIONSNEWER ROOFHVAC SYSTEMCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Single unit, single floor dwelling; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Street lights maintained by HOA; Community allows horses; Non-gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Electric service available
  • Home design: Residential single-family; 1 story (Ranch); Located in Lehigh Acres
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 1993
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Single hung windows; Stucco exterior finish; Rear exposure faces north; Total area 1564

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; No master bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Cooling: see remarks
  • Interior features: Approx. living area 1122; See remarks for additional interior details; Unfurnished; Other floor plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($54/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $149k; list at $249k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $205,780 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.08%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$249,084
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3210 38th St SW 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,285 (+14%) 14mo $284,990 $222 45
2905 Villa Ave S 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,289 (+15%) 12mo $245,000 $190 39
3100 Xelda Ave S 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+13%) 24mo $315,000 $248 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$129,837
Equity at exit
$224,319
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
6.33×
Total profit
$371,265
Equity at exit
$483,752

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33976

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
786
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,058 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$212 /mo · $2,540/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,052
Max offer price $249,000
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3802 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,640 $1.29 23d 1 0.49mi
3114 39th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1493 $2,100 $1.41 16d 1 0.60mi
3114 39th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1493 $2,100 $1.41 3d 1 0.60mi
3102 39th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1097 $1,630 $1.49 21d 1 0.69mi
3201 28th St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $2,000 $1.44 3d 1 0.80mi
3012 40th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1427 $1,950 $1.37 23d 1 0.83mi
4020 36th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1354 $2,050 $1.51 23d 1 0.92mi
2916 42nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,960 $1.40 3d 1 0.97mi
2916 42nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,930 $1.38 2d 1 0.97mi
4702 Loraine Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1354 $2,000 $1.48 14d 1 0.99mi
3203 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1498 $2,300 $1.54 21d 1 0.99mi
3001 37th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1235 $1,705 $1.38 23d 1 1.02mi
3201 23rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1324 $1,845 $1.39 21d 1 1.05mi
3209 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1418 $1,699 $1.20 3d 1 1.18mi
3600 19th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,746 $1.57 3d 1 1.20mi
3202 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,920 $1.75 3d 1 1.23mi
4001 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1055 $1,950 $1.85 2d 1 1.23mi
2908 51st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1401 $1,796 $1.28 3d 1 1.29mi
2819 51st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1472 $2,250 $1.53 23d 1 1.38mi
2811 25th St SW Unit NA Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,990 $1.39 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $249,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $269,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-14
    listed $259,000 Active
  8. 2026-04-15
    soldstatus $149,000
  9. 2026-04-14
    soldstatus $149,000 Closed 837-char remark
    Show marketing remark (837 chars)

    Opportunity knocks! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong upside potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Located in a quiet residential area with no HOA, the property already has major improvements in place including a 2023 roof and newer HVAC, giving you a strong head start on renovations. The home features a functional split-bedroom floor plan, spacious living areas, and solid bones making it an ideal candidate for a profitable flip, rental property, or long-term hold. Comparable renovated homes in the area support excellent value-add potential. 2023 roof Newer HVAC No HOA Strong rental market Growing Lehigh Acres location Ideal for flip, rental, or long-term investment Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing preferred. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

  10. 2026-03-25
    status Pending 837-char remark
    Show marketing remark (837 chars)

    Opportunity knocks! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong upside potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Located in a quiet residential area with no HOA, the property already has major improvements in place including a 2023 roof and newer HVAC, giving you a strong head start on renovations. The home features a functional split-bedroom floor plan, spacious living areas, and solid bones making it an ideal candidate for a profitable flip, rental property, or long-term hold. Comparable renovated homes in the area support excellent value-add potential. 2023 roof Newer HVAC No HOA Strong rental market Growing Lehigh Acres location Ideal for flip, rental, or long-term investment Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing preferred. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

  11. 2026-03-17
    status Active 837-char remark
    Show marketing remark (837 chars)

    Opportunity knocks! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong upside potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Located in a quiet residential area with no HOA, the property already has major improvements in place including a 2023 roof and newer HVAC, giving you a strong head start on renovations. The home features a functional split-bedroom floor plan, spacious living areas, and solid bones making it an ideal candidate for a profitable flip, rental property, or long-term hold. Comparable renovated homes in the area support excellent value-add potential. 2023 roof Newer HVAC No HOA Strong rental market Growing Lehigh Acres location Ideal for flip, rental, or long-term investment Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing preferred. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

  12. 2026-03-11
    status Pending 837-char remark
    Show marketing remark (837 chars)

    Opportunity knocks! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong upside potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Located in a quiet residential area with no HOA, the property already has major improvements in place including a 2023 roof and newer HVAC, giving you a strong head start on renovations. The home features a functional split-bedroom floor plan, spacious living areas, and solid bones making it an ideal candidate for a profitable flip, rental property, or long-term hold. Comparable renovated homes in the area support excellent value-add potential. 2023 roof Newer HVAC No HOA Strong rental market Growing Lehigh Acres location Ideal for flip, rental, or long-term investment Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing preferred. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

  13. 2026-02-27
    listed $169,900 Active 837-char remark
    Show marketing remark (837 chars)

    Opportunity knocks! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong upside potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Located in a quiet residential area with no HOA, the property already has major improvements in place including a 2023 roof and newer HVAC, giving you a strong head start on renovations. The home features a functional split-bedroom floor plan, spacious living areas, and solid bones making it an ideal candidate for a profitable flip, rental property, or long-term hold. Comparable renovated homes in the area support excellent value-add potential. 2023 roof Newer HVAC No HOA Strong rental market Growing Lehigh Acres location Ideal for flip, rental, or long-term investment Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing preferred. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

  14. 2026-02-24
    historical
  15. 2026-02-18
    status Active
  16. 2026-02-10
    status Pending
  17. 2025-12-12
    status Active
  18. 2025-10-14
    status Pending
  19. 2025-09-29
    price $189,900
  20. 2025-08-19
    listed $199,500 Active
  21. 2021-08-04
    soldstatus $140,000
  22. 2015-03-02
    price $17,600
  23. 2013-09-17
    price $72,900
  24. 2010-09-08
    soldstatus $42,000
  25. 2010-09-03
    price $43,500
  26. 2009-05-14
    soldstatus $20,000
  27. 2005-10-03
    price $159,900
  28. 2005-08-22
    soldstatus $125,000
  29. 2005-08-19
    soldstatus $125,000
  30. 2001-03-28
    soldstatus $75,400
  31. 2001-03-02
    soldstatus $75,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,540 · $212/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,540 · $212/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,694
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$2,540
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,975
− Management
−$1,975
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$4,234
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,016
After-tax cash flow
$1,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,277
Household income
$72,679
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
574.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.77%
Current HPI
340.4255
Rent YoY
▼ -1.54%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+243.5% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $259,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $149,000 Public Records
  • 2026-04-14 Sold (MLS) $149,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $169,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $189,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $199,500 FORTMLS
  • 2021-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2015-03-02 Price Changed $17,600 FORTMLS
  • 2013-09-17 Price Changed $72,900 FORTMLS
  • 2010-09-08 Sold (MLS) $42,000 FORTMLS
  • 2010-09-03 Price Changed $43,500 FORTMLS
  • 2009-05-14 Sold (MLS) $20,000 FORTMLS
  • 2005-10-03 Price Changed $159,900 FORTMLS
  • 2005-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-19 Sold (MLS) $125,000 FORTMLS
  • 2001-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $75,400 Public Records
  • 2001-03-02 Sold (MLS) $75,400 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,540 · -14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…