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2025 Clayton - 3/2 Plan
B- Composite 69.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,999

2025 Clayton - 3/2 Plan · Owatonna, MN 55060
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 197 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home, where modern comfort meets everyday convenience! Featuring an open floor plan, quality craftsmanship, and plenty of room to relax or entertain - this home offers everything you've been looking for. Home Features You'll Love: * Stainless Steel Appliances * Large Kitchen w/ Custom Cabinetry * Open Concept * Modern Finishes And it's not just the home you'll love - the community has just as much to offer! Community Features You'll Love: * Clean, Quiet, & Well-Maintained * Friendly Neighborhood Atmosphere * Convenient Location for Shopping & Dining Ready to move in? Your new home is waiting - book your private tour today! Bonus Incoming! Get 3 months of lot rent FREE if you close by 4/1/2026 * A $1,815 value! * Applicants must apply and be an approved applicant with a new home purchase that will be closed on or before April 1, 2026. Buyer will receive 3 months of lot rent free upon successful closing. See office for full details.

Key facts

  • Open concept
  • Modern finishes
  • Listed 196 days

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESOPEN CONCEPTMODERN FINISHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $98k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.2% in Owatonna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#155 in MN, #3,413 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Owatonna Public School District (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #194 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 28 units permitted in Steele County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $677 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Steele County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $86,239 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.75%
Cash-on-cash
15.91%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$7,306
Equity at exit
$14,612
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$36,272
Equity at exit
$8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55060

Home prices YoY
-30.5%
Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax est. 1.5%
$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$364

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $97,999
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2126 3rd Ave NW Owatonna, MN 2.0–3.0 2.0 1264 $1,210 $0.96 44d 1 0.03mi
592 Adams Ave NW Owatonna, MN 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 44d 1 0.96mi
312 Riverside Ave Unit 1 Owatonna, MN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 1.21mi
1575 24th Ave NW Unit 207 Owatonna, MN 2.0 2.0 996 $1,585 $1.59 44d 1 1.22mi
230 E Rose St Unit 2 Owatonna, MN 2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 44d 1 1.26mi
236 E Rose St Unit 236 1/2 Owatonna, MN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 1.27mi
325 Florence Ave Unit 313 Owatonna, MN 2.0 2.0 1046 $1,605 $1.53 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $97,999 Active 197 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,999 Active 196 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,999 Active 195 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $97,999 Active 194 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $97,999 Active 193 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $97,999 Active 191 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $97,999 Active 190 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $97,999 Active 187 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $97,999 Active 186 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $97,999 Active 185 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $97,999 Active 182 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $97,999 Active 181 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $97,999 Active 180 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $97,999 Active 179 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $97,999 Active 178 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $97,999 Active 177 DOM
  17. 2025-12-04
    listed $97,999 Active 1025-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1025 chars)

    Step inside this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home, where modern comfort meets everyday convenience! Featuring an open floor plan, quality craftsmanship, and plenty of room to relax or entertain - this home offers everything you've been looking for. Home Features You'll Love: * Stainless Steel Appliances * Large Kitchen w/ Custom Cabinetry * Open Concept * Modern Finishes And it's not just the home you'll love - the community has just as much to offer! Community Features You'll Love: * Clean, Quiet, & Well-Maintained * Friendly Neighborhood Atmosphere * Convenient Location for Shopping & Dining Ready to move in? Your new home is waiting - book your private tour today! Bonus Incoming! Get 3 months of lot rent FREE if you close by 4/1/2026 * A $1,815 value! * Applicants must apply and be an approved applicant with a new home purchase that will be closed on or before April 1, 2026. Buyer will receive 3 months of lot rent free upon successful closing. See office for full details.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,812
− Mortgage interest
−$5,489
− Property taxes
−$1,470
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$2,982
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$716
After-tax cash flow
$3,649/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a spacious floor plan. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal by offering modern conveniences.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal by offering modern conveniences.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Owatonna Public School District
NCES district ID
2728050
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$56,373
Composite
37.14/100
National rank
#4487
State rank
#194 of 301 in MN

Livability — Owatonna

Score
76/100
State rank
#155
US rank
#3413

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Owatonna, MN
County
Steele County · 29,599 people
City population
29,599
Metro
Owatonna, MN
Population (ZIP)
29,599
Household income
$84,906
Rent vs Own
22.8% rent · 77.2% own
Severe rent burden
598.0

Population outlook (Steele County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,618 people
By 2030
36,195 · -1.2%
By 2040
34,882 · -4.7%
By 2050
33,052 · -9.7%
By 2075
29,692 · -18.9%
By 2100
25,581 · -30.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 16% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Steele

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-19.1pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -24.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.5 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.54%
Current HPI
211.0177
Rent YoY
Metro
Owatonna, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $97,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…