90 Earth Dr · Covington, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Location Location Location walking distance to the pool complex fully renovated Park Model Mobile home in the most vibrant recreational community in the Poconos, the Eagle Lake Community. Freshly groomed and graveled flat lot with new decking and nicely finished shed, fully renovated 2000 Park Model Home with new flooring.
Key facts
- New decking
- Nicely finished shed
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Eagle Lake; Directions available
- Financial info: Annual tax information available (not included per instructions)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Annual association fee of $2,046 (includes water, sewer, trash, security); Community amenities include tennis courts, basketball court, and other shared facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Carport with 4 spaces
- Security: Association provides security services
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Mobile home (other body type)
- Construction: Wood siding; Wood skirting
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot in a residential subdivision (Eagle Lake)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (number of bedrooms not specified)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Propane heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.15%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $46,706
- Equity at exit
- $55,284
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.35×
- Total profit
- $124,205
- Equity at exit
- $111,883
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18424
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 299
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,141 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$171
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $295 | -5% $271 | +0% $247 | +5% $223 | +10% $199 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $157 | -5% $202 | +0% $247 | +5% $292 | +10% $337 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $282 | -0.5pp $265 | base $247 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $171 · $2,052/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 324-char remark
-
2026-06-07$69,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,689
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,095
- − Management
- −$1,095
- − HOA
- −$2,052
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,100
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$504
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,462/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This fully renovated Park Model Mobile home is in excellent condition with new flooring, appliances, and exterior. It's located in a vibrant recreational community with a newly groomed lot and new deck, making it an attractive investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value.
- Resale Upgrading appliances — Improves the home's marketability and value.
- Rental Adding a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and rental appeal.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value. ↑
- Resale Upgrading appliances — Improves the home's marketability and value. ↑
- Rental Adding a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and rental appeal. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Pocono SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217310
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,555
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1894
- State rank
- #82 of 539 in PA
Livability — Covington
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eagle Lake, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,076
Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 210,652 people
- By 2030
- 208,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 203,980 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 201,069 · -4.5%
- By 2075
- 205,026 · -2.7%
- By 2100
- 210,851 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Iranian 6% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.45%
- Current HPI
- 399.903
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $69,900 PMAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…