Multi-family
209-211 10th St N · Great Falls, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Key facts
- Side-by-side duplex
- Centrally located
- Curb appeal
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Below-grade finished area of about 1,500; Foundation: see remarks
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 4,008 square feet
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Interior features: Partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $399k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.5% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#19 in MT, #2,473 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Great Falls H S (urban): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #79 of 116 in MT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 223 units permitted in Cascade County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,742/mo this rent would consume 125% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 531% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cascade County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 24994% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.86%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $355,634
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726 5th Ave N #1 | 0.26mi | 3/4.0 | 4,269 (-2%) | 13mo | $350,000 | $82 | 70 |
| 621 5th Ave N | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 3,984 (-8%) | 18mo | $315,000 | $79 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $91,598
- Equity at exit
- $59,492
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.09×
- Total profit
- $345,536
- Equity at exit
- $34,498
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59401
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 29.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,742 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax from tax record
- −$149 /mo · $1,787/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,206
- Net cashflow
- $2,129
Break-even live
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5× units | 2 | 1.5 | $5,740 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,148 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,148 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,148 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,148 |
| #5 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,148 |
| Total (5 units) | $5,742 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $399,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $399,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $399,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07$399,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,787 · $149/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,352 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,565/yr (+$130/mo · 87.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $68,904
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$1,787
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,512
- − Management
- −$5,512
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable income
- $20,140
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,834
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,710/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Great Falls H S
- NCES district ID
- 3013050
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,586
- Composite
- 28.03/100
- National rank
- #6846
- State rank
- #79 of 116 in MT
Livability — Great Falls
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #2473
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Great Falls, MT
- County
- Cascade County · 75,427 people
- City population
- 75,427
- Metro
- Great Falls, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,255
- Household income
- $55,299
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 531.0
Population outlook (Cascade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,936 people
- By 2030
- 81,376 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 79,435 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 77,906 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 78,595 · -4.1%
- By 2100
- 79,997 · -2.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 7% Native American 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cascade
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.3) · D 37.3% · R 59.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -22.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.3 2020: R+19.7 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+9.1 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.63%
- Current HPI
- 198.2599
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Great Falls, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-99.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed for Rent $1,590 BUILDIUM
- 2026-05-25 Rental Removed $1,590 Avail
- 2026-05-03 Listed $399,000 MRMLS
- 2026-04-25 Rental Removed $1,590 BUILDIUM
- 2026-04-18 Listed for Rent $1,590 BUILDIUM
- 2026-04-18 Listed for Rent $1,550 Avail
- 2026-01-31 Rental Removed $1,550 RENTALBEAST
- 2026-01-25 Rental Removed $1,550 Avail
- 2026-01-20 Listed for Rent $1,550 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-12-31 Listed for Rent $1,590 Avail
- 2017-03-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-06-10 Listed $159,000 MRMLS
- 2013-02-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,787 · -23.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…