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415 E Hawthorne St
D Composite 40.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

415 E Hawthorne St · Albert Lea, MN 56007
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,763 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1955 7,380 sqft lot $102/sqft · 10% above area Est $201k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfort, character, and thoughtful improvements throughout. A standout feature is the inviting front porch—recently added by the current owner—creating a warm and welcoming first impression. Inside, you’ll find recently refinished hardwood floors that add both style and durability, along with a newer furnace and roof for added peace of mind. One of the main-floor bedrooms has been conveniently plumbed for laundry, offering flexible living options. The spacious, exceptionally clean semi-finished basement provides excellent potential for additional living space, hobbies, or storage. Outside, enjoy a backyard patio perfect for relaxing or entertaining, along with an extra storage shed for all your outdoor needs. A 1-stall garage completes this well-maintained property. This home combines practical updates with inviting spaces—ready for you to move in and make it your own.

Key facts

  • 7,380 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1955

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-961/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (7.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (24.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Albert Lea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Albert Lea Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #258 of 301 in MN (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Freeborn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Freeborn County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,679 (24.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.91%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,226
List price
$179,900
Delta
-10.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.5%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-34,284
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-36,548
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56007

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,367 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$-80

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,468
Max offer price $165,748
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $22 -5% $-29 +0% $-80 +5% $-131 +10% $-182
Rent -10% $-188 -5% $-134 +0% $-80 +5% $-26 +10% $28
Rate -1.0pp $10 -0.5pp $-34 base $-80 +0.5pp $-127 +1.0pp $-174

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $179,900 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $179,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $184,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $184,900 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $184,900 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $184,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $184,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $184,900 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $184,900 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $189,900 Active 990-char remark
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfort, character, and thoughtful improvements throughout. A standout feature is the inviting front porch—recently added by the current owner—creating a warm and welcoming first impression. Inside, you’ll find recently refinished hardwood floors that add both style and durability, along with a newer furnace and roof for added peace of mind. One of the main-floor bedrooms has been conveniently plumbed for laundry, offering flexible living options. The spacious, exceptionally clean semi-finished basement provides excellent potential for additional living space, hobbies, or storage. Outside, enjoy a backyard patio perfect for relaxing or entertaining, along with an extra storage shed for all your outdoor needs. A 1-stall garage completes this well-maintained property. This home combines practical updates with inviting spaces—ready for you to move in and make it your own.

  18. 2026-04-03
    historical $189,900 990-char remark
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfort, character, and thoughtful improvements throughout. A standout feature is the inviting front porch—recently added by the current owner—creating a warm and welcoming first impression. Inside, you’ll find recently refinished hardwood floors that add both style and durability, along with a newer furnace and roof for added peace of mind. One of the main-floor bedrooms has been conveniently plumbed for laundry, offering flexible living options. The spacious, exceptionally clean semi-finished basement provides excellent potential for additional living space, hobbies, or storage. Outside, enjoy a backyard patio perfect for relaxing or entertaining, along with an extra storage shed for all your outdoor needs. A 1-stall garage completes this well-maintained property. This home combines practical updates with inviting spaces—ready for you to move in and make it your own.

  19. 2022-07-29
    soldstatus $159,900 Sold 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom home in great condition on a nice corner lot. Large semi-finished and very clean basement great for additional space and storage. Recently finished hardwood floors, newer furnace and newer roof. Additional storage shed and patio in back yard. One of the main floor bedrooms was plumbed for laundry also.

  20. 2022-07-29
    soldstatus $159,900
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom home in great condition on a nice corner lot. Large semi-finished and very clean basement great for additional space and storage. Recently finished hardwood floors, newer furnace and newer roof. Additional storage shed and patio in back yard. One of the main floor bedrooms was plumbed for laundry also.

  21. 2022-06-22
    status Pending 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom home in great condition on a nice corner lot. Large semi-finished and very clean basement great for additional space and storage. Recently finished hardwood floors, newer furnace and newer roof. Additional storage shed and patio in back yard. One of the main floor bedrooms was plumbed for laundry also.

  22. 2022-04-28
    listed $159,900 Active 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom home in great condition on a nice corner lot. Large semi-finished and very clean basement great for additional space and storage. Recently finished hardwood floors, newer furnace and newer roof. Additional storage shed and patio in back yard. One of the main floor bedrooms was plumbed for laundry also.

  23. 2021-11-30
    historical
  24. 2021-08-25
    listed $179,900 Active
  25. 2018-12-11
    historical
  26. 2015-12-07
    soldstatus $71,876
  27. 2015-12-07
    soldstatus $69,900
  28. 2015-04-03
    price $79,900
  29. 2015-02-27
    listed $74,900
  30. 2004-09-30
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,698 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,856 · $155/mo
Expected delta
+$158/yr (+$13/mo · 9.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,401
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$1,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,312
− Management
−$1,312
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$4,131
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$991
After-tax cash flow
$30/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albert Lea Public School District
NCES district ID
2702970
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$42,776
Composite
29.62/100
National rank
#6472
State rank
#258 of 301 in MN

Livability — Albert Lea

Score
72/100
State rank
#274
US rank
#5963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albert Lea, MN
County
Freeborn County · 21,377 people
City population
21,377
Metro
Albert Lea, MN
Population (ZIP)
21,377
Household income
$68,846
Rent vs Own
23.3% rent · 76.7% own
Severe rent burden
483.0

Population outlook (Freeborn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,680 people
By 2030
29,038 · -2.2%
By 2040
27,650 · -6.8%
By 2050
26,387 · -11.1%
By 2075
25,224 · -15.0%
By 2100
23,842 · -19.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 23% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Freeborn

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.7% · R 60.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-38.5pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+17.4 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.40%
Current HPI
220.7963
Rent YoY
Metro
Albert Lea, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Coming Soon $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $159,900 Public Records
  • 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $159,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-22 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-28 Listed $159,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-25 Listed $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-11 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2015-12-07 Sold (MLS) $71,876 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-03 Price Changed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-27 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,698 · -4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…