7856 Boston Rd · Roxboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$263,200
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity on an all brick 3 bedroom 2.5 bath on 2 acres just north of Roxboro. Kitchen completely updated w/ new cabinets, s/s appliances & tile flr. New roof. Large living rm w/ fireplace. Large separate dining rm. Hardwood floors throughout house. Master and 2nd bedroom on 1st flr. Office and sun rm on 1st. Large bonus rm and 3rd bedroom w/ full bath on 2nd flr. 2 car garage. Large covered front porch. Deck for entertaining. Large unfinished basement . MUST SEE!!
Key facts
- 2 acre setting
- Near mayo lake park
- 2 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on approximately 2.0 acres; Living area approximately 2,360 (above grade)
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Additional outside parking and parking lot
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: House; One and one-half stories; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built/updated with remodeling (year not specified)
- Exterior features: Patio; Front porch; Fenced, private backyard; Partially wooded/wooded yard; Updated/remodeled condition; Garage(s) and additional storage structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Dining L; Separate shower; Walk-in closets; Walk-in shower; Two fireplaces (gas log and wood burning/other)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $263k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $263k).
- Recommended offer: $232k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.5% in Roxboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#649 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Person County Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #110 of 178 in NC (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Person High (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,079 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Person County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Person County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.18%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $171,387
- Equity at exit
- $237,111
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.55×
- Total profit
- $482,490
- Equity at exit
- $511,340
Cash invested: $73,696 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27574
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,656 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,380
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $441
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,800
- Closing costs
- $7,896
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $263,200 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $263,200 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $263,200 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $263,200 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $263,200 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $263,200 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $263,200 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $263,200 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $263,200 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $263,200 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $263,200 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $263,200 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $263,200 Active 188 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $263,200 Active 187 DOM
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2026-03-19price $263,200
-
2025-11-25$329,000 Active
-
2025-04-02historical
-
2025-03-19price $188,000
-
2025-03-02$180,000 Active
-
2020-11-18soldstatus $291,000 Closed 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Great opportunity on an all brick 3 bedroom 2.5 bath on 2 acres just north of Roxboro. Kitchen completely updated w/ new cabinets, s/s appliances & tile flr. New roof. Large living rm w/ fireplace. Large separate dining rm. Hardwood floors throughout house. Master and 2nd bedroom on 1st flr. Office and sun rm on 1st. Large bonus rm and 3rd bedroom w/ full bath on 2nd flr. 2 car garage. Large covered front porch. Deck for entertaining. Large unfinished basement . MUST SEE!!
-
2020-11-18soldstatus $291,000 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Great opportunity on an all brick 3 bedroom 2.5 bath on 2 acres just north of Roxboro. Kitchen completely updated w/ new cabinets, s/s appliances & tile flr. New roof. Large living rm w/ fireplace. Large separate dining rm. Hardwood floors throughout house. Master and 2nd bedroom on 1st flr. Office and sun rm on 1st. Large bonus rm and 3rd bedroom w/ full bath on 2nd flr. 2 car garage. Large covered front porch. Deck for entertaining. Large unfinished basement . MUST SEE!!
-
2020-10-29status Pending 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Great opportunity on an all brick 3 bedroom 2.5 bath on 2 acres just north of Roxboro. Kitchen completely updated w/ new cabinets, s/s appliances & tile flr. New roof. Large living rm w/ fireplace. Large separate dining rm. Hardwood floors throughout house. Master and 2nd bedroom on 1st flr. Office and sun rm on 1st. Large bonus rm and 3rd bedroom w/ full bath on 2nd flr. 2 car garage. Large covered front porch. Deck for entertaining. Large unfinished basement . MUST SEE!!
-
2020-10-28$295,000 Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Great opportunity on an all brick 3 bedroom 2.5 bath on 2 acres just north of Roxboro. Kitchen completely updated w/ new cabinets, s/s appliances & tile flr. New roof. Large living rm w/ fireplace. Large separate dining rm. Hardwood floors throughout house. Master and 2nd bedroom on 1st flr. Office and sun rm on 1st. Large bonus rm and 3rd bedroom w/ full bath on 2nd flr. 2 car garage. Large covered front porch. Deck for entertaining. Large unfinished basement . MUST SEE!!
-
2020-10-28$295,000 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Great opportunity on an all brick 3 bedroom 2.5 bath on 2 acres just north of Roxboro. Kitchen completely updated w/ new cabinets, s/s appliances & tile flr. New roof. Large living rm w/ fireplace. Large separate dining rm. Hardwood floors throughout house. Master and 2nd bedroom on 1st flr. Office and sun rm on 1st. Large bonus rm and 3rd bedroom w/ full bath on 2nd flr. 2 car garage. Large covered front porch. Deck for entertaining. Large unfinished basement . MUST SEE!!
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2020-07-20soldstatus $135,000 Closed
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2020-07-20soldstatus $135,000
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2020-06-08historical Contingent
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2020-05-31$140,000 Active
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2020-05-31$140,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,008 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,158 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$151/yr (+$13/mo · 7.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,875
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,743
- − Property taxes
- −$2,008
- − Insurance
- −$1,316
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,550
- − Management
- −$2,550
- − Depreciation
- −$7,657
- Taxable income
- $1,051
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,042/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Person County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703630
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,729
- Composite
- 34.3/100
- National rank
- #5242
- State rank
- #110 of 178 in NC
Livability — Roxboro
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #649
- US rank
- #23536
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,954
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,163
Population outlook (Person County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,577 people
- By 2030
- 37,847 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 35,740 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 32,683 · -15.3%
- By 2075
- 24,979 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 15,779 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Person
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.7) · D 37.7% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.5pp · 2024: -23.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.7 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+17.3 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.68%
- Current HPI
- 276.8767
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+88.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $263,200 TMLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $329,000 TMLS
- 2025-04-02 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2025-03-19 Price Changed $188,000 TMLS
- 2025-03-02 Listed $180,000 TMLS
- 2020-11-18 Sold (MLS) $291,000 AMLSNC
- 2020-11-18 Sold (MLS) $291,000 TMLS
- 2020-10-29 Pending — TMLS
- 2020-10-28 Listed $295,000 AMLSNC
- 2020-10-28 Listed $295,000 TMLS
- 2020-07-20 Sold (MLS) $135,000 AMLSNC
- 2020-07-20 Sold (MLS) $135,000 TMLS
- 2020-06-08 Contingent — TMLS
- 2020-05-31 Listed $140,000 AMLSNC
- 2020-05-31 Listed $140,000 TMLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,008 · -8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…