3302 Miller Rd · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just like new! Very charming fully remodeled home with nothing left to do but move in. Features include a brand-new roof, vinyl siding, windows, plumbing, electrical, kitchen, bathroom, fresh paint, and new floor coverings throughout. Relax on the inviting covered front porch and enjoy all the modern updates with classic charm.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Brand new roof
- New floor coverings
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Paved road access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 24 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $100k implies a 488% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.66%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $42,224
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3510 Hogarth Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (-2%) | 3mo | $32,500 | $41 | 84 |
| 1326 Hughes Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (+0%) | 6mo | $70,900 | $87 | 76 |
| 3305 Larchmont St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (-9%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $61 | 72 |
| 3205 Clairmont St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+9%) | 3mo | $42,000 | $47 | 67 |
| 3214 Clairmont St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-11%) | 4mo | $30,500 | $42 | 67 |
| 2641 Brown St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 783 (-4%) | 2mo | $36,500 | $47 | 65 |
| 3722 Whitney Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 789 (-3%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $95 | 65 |
| 1115 Barney Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 833 (+3%) | 5mo | $43,500 | $52 | 62 |
| 2729 Chicago Blvd | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 895 (+10%) | 2mo | $88,000 | $98 | 55 |
| 2710 Reynolds St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 751 (-8%) | 5mo | $56,500 | $75 | 52 |
| 2805 Reynolds St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (-13%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $50 | 46 |
| 2810 Gibson St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 892 (+10%) | 1mo | $15,500 | $17 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,149
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $28,015
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,052 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,165/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $85
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3929 Larchmont St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3901 Herrick St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 806 Barney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $900 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $900 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,250 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05status $109,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $109,900 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$109,900 Active
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Just like new! Very charming fully remodeled home with nothing left to do but move in. Features include a brand-new roof, vinyl siding, windows, plumbing, electrical, kitchen, bathroom, fresh paint, and new floor coverings throughout. Relax on the inviting covered front porch and enjoy all the modern updates with classic charm.
-
2026-05-26$109,900 Active 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Just like new! Very charming fully remodeled home with nothing left to do but move in. Features include a brand-new roof, vinyl siding, windows, plumbing, electrical, kitchen, bathroom, fresh paint, and new floor coverings throughout. Relax on the inviting covered front porch and enjoy all the modern updates with classic charm.
-
2024-04-08soldstatus $17,000 Sold 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great fenced-in lot just minutes away from I-75 and Swartz Creek Valley Park. Home was tragically lost in a fire. Enter at your own risk! Do not access the property without a licensed agent.
-
2024-04-08soldstatus $17,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great fenced-in lot just minutes away from I-75 and Swartz Creek Valley Park. Home was tragically lost in a fire. Enter at your own risk! Do not access the property without a licensed agent.
-
2024-03-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great fenced-in lot just minutes away from I-75 and Swartz Creek Valley Park. Home was tragically lost in a fire. Enter at your own risk! Do not access the property without a licensed agent.
-
2024-03-08status Pending 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great fenced-in lot just minutes away from I-75 and Swartz Creek Valley Park. Home was tragically lost in a fire. Enter at your own risk! Do not access the property without a licensed agent.
-
2024-02-26$18,500 Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great fenced-in lot just minutes away from I-75 and Swartz Creek Valley Park. Home was tragically lost in a fire. Enter at your own risk! Do not access the property without a licensed agent.
-
2024-02-26$18,500 Active
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great fenced-in lot just minutes away from I-75 and Swartz Creek Valley Park. Home was tragically lost in a fire. Enter at your own risk! Do not access the property without a licensed agent.
-
2021-01-20soldstatus $31,000 Sold
-
2021-01-20soldstatus $31,000 Closed
-
2021-01-08status Pending
-
2021-01-08status Pending
-
2021-01-06price $35,500
-
2021-01-06price $35,500
-
2021-01-06status Active
-
2021-01-05status Active
-
2020-11-17status Pending
-
2020-11-17status Pending
-
2020-11-11price $39,900
-
2020-11-11price $39,900
-
2020-10-23price $42,900
-
2020-10-23price $42,900
-
2020-10-07price $49,000
-
2020-10-07price $49,000
-
2020-09-28$59,000 Active
-
2020-09-28$59,000 Active
-
2010-12-06historical
-
2010-12-06historical
-
2010-12-06historical
-
2010-12-06historical
-
2010-12-06historical
-
2010-12-03historical
-
2009-11-20soldstatus $14,000
-
2009-11-20soldstatus $14,000
-
2009-10-29historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,165 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,165 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,625
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$2,165
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,010
- − Management
- −$1,010
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$561
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,158/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+91.1% since first listed61 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-08 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-08 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-03-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-02-26 Listed $18,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-26 Listed $18,500 REALCOMP
- 2021-01-20 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-01-20 Sold (MLS) $31,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-01-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-01-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-01-06 Price Changed $35,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-01-06 Price Changed $35,500 REALCOMP
- 2021-01-06 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2021-01-05 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-11-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-11 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-11 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-23 Price Changed $42,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-23 Price Changed $42,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-07 Price Changed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-07 Price Changed $49,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-09-28 Listed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-28 Listed $59,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-11-20 Sold (MLS) $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-11-20 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-27 Listed $16,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-10-27 Listed $16,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-06-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-12-09 Listed $19,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-12-09 Listed $19,999 REALCOMP
- 2008-10-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-05-09 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-05-09 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-03-26 Listed $58,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-03-26 Listed $58,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-01-16 Listed $65,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-01-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-01-16 Listed $65,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-10-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-07-23 Listed $66,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-07-23 Listed $66,900 REALCOMP
- 2002-10-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-10-12 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-10-12 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-12-30 Sold (MLS) $58,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-12-30 Sold (MLS) $58,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-11-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-10-20 Listed $57,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-10-20 Listed $57,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,165 · +119.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…