917 N Woodington Rd · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT!! GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR RENOVATION/REHAB. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE, NO GUARANTEES, PROPERTY IS STRICTLY "AS IS". THIS HOME DOES NOT NEED A LOT TO MAKE IT BEAUTIFUL. YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS OUT ON THIS OPPURTUNITY. CALL YOUR AGENT OR CALL ME.
Key facts
- Built 1942
- Listed 7 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 32.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (67%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 93.95%
- DSCR
- 5.18
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $133,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3707 Colborne Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (0%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $157 | 83 |
| 1226 N Augusta Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+10%) | 0mo | $212,000 | $138 | 76 |
| 4105 Flowerton Rd | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-10%) | 2mo | $119,990 | $95 | 73 |
| 1215 N Augusta Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,536 (+10%) | 2mo | $138,000 | $90 | 73 |
| 1000 Mount Holly St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,290 (-8%) | 1mo | $93,000 | $72 | 70 |
| 3821 Stokes Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (-10%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $116 | 68 |
| 1007 Wildwood Pkwy | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-13%) | 2mo | $111,100 | $91 | 66 |
| 733 Lyndhurst St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,550 (+11%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $55 | 65 |
| 1007 Mount Holly St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,290 (-8%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $163 | 65 |
| 509 Normandy Ave | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,458 (+4%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 517 N Edgewood St | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,430 (+2%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $63 | 57 |
| 3716 Edmondson Ave | 0.46mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+8%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $86 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 97.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.73×
- Total profit
- $66,209
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.92×
- Total profit
- $166,932
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21229
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,825 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $1,096
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,131 | -5% $1,113 | +0% $1,096 | +5% $1,079 | +10% $1,062 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $952 | -5% $1,024 | +0% $1,096 | +5% $1,168 | +10% $1,240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,121 | -0.5pp $1,109 | base $1,096 | +0.5pp $1,083 | +1.0pp $1,070 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 Kevin Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1216 N Augusta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,550 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4103 Mountwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4113 Mountwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $1,795 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4020 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,875 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3935 Stokes Dr #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3712 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 409 Normandy Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1640 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 730 Linnard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4520 Scarlet Oak Ln Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 798 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,295 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,575 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 780 Linnard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,590 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3706 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1540 | $1,350 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3423 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,710 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,950 | $2.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,895 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 111 Upmanor Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $2,163 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 202 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,250 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3709 Nortonia Rd #2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3238 Westmont Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3309 Brighton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,700 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1042 Ellicott Dr Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 117 Collins Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1617 | $2,350 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1513 N Ellamont St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,700 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2103 Chelsea Ter Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2103 Chelsea Ter Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 4718-F Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $1,225 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3127 Baker St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4018 Massachusetts Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3015 Rayner Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 219 Atholgate Ln Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 814 | $1,500 | $1.84 | 4d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 3514 Clifton Ave Unit 21 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3514 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,199 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3310 Elbert St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1530 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,895 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 212 S Loudon Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1310 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-27price $50,000
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-20$150,000 Active
-
2025-03-22historical $1,000
-
2025-02-19$1,000
-
2007-03-22soldstatus $153,000
-
2007-03-22soldstatus $153,000
-
2006-05-18soldstatus $54,500
-
2006-03-13soldstatus $54,500 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT!! GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR RENOVATION/REHAB. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE, NO GUARANTEES, PROPERTY IS STRICTLY "AS IS". THIS HOME DOES NOT NEED A LOT TO MAKE IT BEAUTIFUL. YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS OUT ON THIS OPPURTUNITY. CALL YOUR AGENT OR CALL ME.
-
2006-02-27historical 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT!! GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR RENOVATION/REHAB. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE, NO GUARANTEES, PROPERTY IS STRICTLY "AS IS". THIS HOME DOES NOT NEED A LOT TO MAKE IT BEAUTIFUL. YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS OUT ON THIS OPPURTUNITY. CALL YOUR AGENT OR CALL ME.
-
2006-02-21$36,000 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT!! GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR RENOVATION/REHAB. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE, NO GUARANTEES, PROPERTY IS STRICTLY "AS IS". THIS HOME DOES NOT NEED A LOT TO MAKE IT BEAUTIFUL. YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS OUT ON THIS OPPURTUNITY. CALL YOUR AGENT OR CALL ME.
-
1990-06-06soldstatus $12,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,898
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,752
- − Management
- −$1,752
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $13,139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,000/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,679
- Household income
- $60,047
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2776.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.07%
- Current HPI
- 226.896
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.38%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+287.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-22 Rental Removed $1,000 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-02-19 Listed for Rent $1,000 RENTALBEAST
- 2007-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 2006-03-13 Sold (MLS) $54,500 MRIS
- 2006-02-27 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-02-21 Listed $36,000 MRIS
- 1990-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $12,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,465 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…