CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2200 N Delaware Dr #77
B- Composite 65.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.9/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

2200 N Delaware Dr #77 · Apache Junction, AZ 85120
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,580 sqft · Manufactured · 169 Days on market
Built 2000 4,824 sqft lot Est $123k · at est. ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Family Friendly Community, no age restrictions. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home also has a Den that can be used as a 3rd bedroom. Large master bathroom and walk in closet. Home has a fenced yard and 1 storage shed. No land will convey in the sale of this home. This community has a pool and play aera for you and your family.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • New exterior paint
  • Trex porch

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW EXTERIOR PAINTLAMINATE FLOORINGREMODELED WALK-IN SHOWERTREX PORCHBBQ AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Current financing: Other
  • HOA & community: Monthly land lease of $723; Association covers sewer, water, trash and street maintenance; Community pool and playground; No visible truck/trailer/RV/boat allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer (connected)
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
  • Construction: Steel frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Gravel/stone front

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full bathroom in the master bedroom; Separate shower and tub; Refrigerator included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Desert Vista Elementary School (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #729 of 1,109 statewide, top 67%, 536 students, 50% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.72%
Cash-on-cash
19.40%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$123,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2378 N Desert View Dr 0.12mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,456 (-8%) 7mo $430,000 $295 69
2157 N Delaware Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-8%) 10mo $320,000 $220 67
2685 W Foothill St 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,378 (-13%) 0mo $305,000 $221 60
2200 N Delaware Dr #71 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-15%) 12mo $105,000 $78 60
2292 N Ironwood Dr #18 0.52mi 2/2.0 1,620 (+2%) 15mo $75,000 $46 59
2762 W Smoketree St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+6%) 12mo $324,000 $193 57
1943 N Main Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,729 (+9%) 5mo $327,500 $189 57
2625 W Manzanita St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,537 (-3%) 3mo $104,000 $68 56
2292 N Ironwood Dr #22 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-8%) 17mo $70,000 $48 44
2292 N Ironwood Dr #129 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-15%) 9mo $83,000 $62 38
2292 N Ironwood Dr #20 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-15%) 11mo $78,000 $58 36
2292 N Ironwood Dr #21 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-15%) 12mo $88,000 $65 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$10,503
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$35,162
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85120

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
468
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,810 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$566

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $652 -5% $609 +0% $566 +5% $523 +10% $479
Rent -10% $423 -5% $494 +0% $566 +5% $637 +10% $709
Rate -1.0pp $629 -0.5pp $598 base $566 +0.5pp $533 +1.0pp $500

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2292 N Ironwood Dr Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,475 $1.28 26d 1 0.43mi
1877 W Overland St Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1420 $1,999 $1.41 18d 1 0.85mi
455 N Delaware Dr Unit 7 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,900 $1.79 26d 1 1.12mi
651 N Ironwood Dr Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.5 1748 $2,408 $1.38 7d 13 1.21mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 169 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 163 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 157 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 156 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 155 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 150 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 149 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 148 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    status Active
  16. 2026-04-06
    historical Contract Contingent on Buyer Sale
  17. 2026-02-18
    price $125,000
  18. 2026-02-10
    price $139,500
  19. 2026-01-20
    price $147,000
  20. 2026-01-03
    listed $149,900 Active
  21. 2022-09-06
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Family Friendly Community, no age restrictions. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home also has a Den that can be used as a 3rd bedroom. Large master bathroom and walk in closet. Home has a fenced yard and 1 storage shed. No land will convey in the sale of this home. This community has a pool and play aera for you and your family.

  22. 2022-08-03
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Family Friendly Community, no age restrictions. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home also has a Den that can be used as a 3rd bedroom. Large master bathroom and walk in closet. Home has a fenced yard and 1 storage shed. No land will convey in the sale of this home. This community has a pool and play aera for you and your family.

  23. 2022-08-03
    status Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Family Friendly Community, no age restrictions. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home also has a Den that can be used as a 3rd bedroom. Large master bathroom and walk in closet. Home has a fenced yard and 1 storage shed. No land will convey in the sale of this home. This community has a pool and play aera for you and your family.

  24. 2022-07-11
    status Pending 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Family Friendly Community, no age restrictions. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home also has a Den that can be used as a 3rd bedroom. Large master bathroom and walk in closet. Home has a fenced yard and 1 storage shed. No land will convey in the sale of this home. This community has a pool and play aera for you and your family.

  25. 2022-06-28
    listed $150,000 Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Family Friendly Community, no age restrictions. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home also has a Den that can be used as a 3rd bedroom. Large master bathroom and walk in closet. Home has a fenced yard and 1 storage shed. No land will convey in the sale of this home. This community has a pool and play aera for you and your family.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,716
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,737
− Management
−$1,737
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,103
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,225
After-tax cash flow
$5,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
31,191
Household income
$57,786
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
686.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.31%
Current HPI
313.4666
Rent YoY
▼ -3.50%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $125,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $139,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $147,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-03 Listed $149,900 ARMLS
  • 2022-09-06 Sold (MLS) $140,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-08-03 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2022-08-03 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2022-07-11 Pending ARMLS
  • 2022-06-28 Listed $150,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…