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C+ Composite 61.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

9790 66th St N #238 · Pinellas Park, FL 33782
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 792 sqft · Manufactured public records · 416 Days on market
Built 1973 1,774 sqft lot Est $94k · 22% over $374/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom (split plan), 2-bath home comes fully furnished and turnkey—just bring your toothbrush and clothes. It features a heated and cooled sunroom, screened porch, storage room, carport, and an inside laundry with washer and dryer. The HVAC is brand new as of 4/2025, and the ductwork, replaced three years ago. It’s just a short walk to the active Community Center, which offers a full kitchen, library, poker room, meeting rooms, exercise room, men’s and ladies’ saunas, hot tub, two laundry facilities, shuffleboard, and bocce ball courts with leagues. Enjoy two heated pools—one private for residents and one for guests—a golf driving range, and night

Key facts

  • Storage room
  • Replaced hvac
  • Screened porch

Tags

HEATED AND COOLED SUNROOMSCREENED PORCHINSIDE LAUNDRYSTORAGE ROOMREPLACED HVACTWO HEATED POOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease restrictions apply
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees $374; total annual fees $4,488
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $374); Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, spa/hot tub, park, recreation facilities, cable TV and maintenance; Association fee covers cable TV, pool, reserves, insurance, internet, grounds maintenance, management, recreational facilities, security, sewer, trash and water; Association approval required; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; number and size limits apply); Furnished

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Residential single-wide mobile home; One story; Faces East; Entry on one level
  • Construction: Metal frame construction; Roof over; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in one story
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened porch / side porch; Patio/porch; Has spa

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Florida room; Inside utility; Storage rooms; Enclosed screened porch/side porch (covered)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.3%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 416 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $115k implies a 187% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 416 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
11.32%
Cash-on-cash
17.96%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$94,248
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9790 66th St N #444 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 784 (-1%) 6mo $69,500 $89 88
9790 66th St N #105 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 856 (+8%) 3mo $102,000 $119 79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$6,293
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$22,793
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33782

Rents YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,043 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,297/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$374
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$429
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,434
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6960 Versailles Unit 6960 Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 2.0 1109 $1,695 $1.53 3d 1 0.82mi
8303 Bardmoor Blvd #105 Seminole, FL 2.0 1.0 880 $1,800 $2.05 24d 1 0.90mi
8303 Bardmoor Blvd Seminole, FL 2.0 1.0 880 $1,850 $2.10 11d 1 0.90mi
8096 Rose Ter Seminole, FL 3.0 2.0 980 $2,000 $2.04 17d 1 0.98mi
9563 Lynn Ln Seminole, FL 2.0 1.0 960 $1,495 $1.56 16d 1 0.99mi
9435 Lynn Ln Unit B Seminole, FL 2.0 1.0 960 $1,495 $1.56 24d 1 1.00mi
6132 100th Cir N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 1.0 901 $1,995 $2.21 24d 1 1.03mi
8574 94th Ave Seminole, FL 3.0 1.0 840 $2,000 $2.38 7d 1 1.35mi
8574 94th Ave Seminole, FL 3.0 1.0 840 $2,000 $2.38 3d 1 1.35mi
5865 92nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.0 1062 $2,400 $2.26 17d 1 1.39mi
6740 121st Ave #6 Largo, FL 2.0 2.5 1118 $1,735 $1.55 24d 1 1.42mi
9992 86th St Seminole, FL 2.0 2.0 945 $1,900 $2.01 3d 1 1.45mi
8703 Bardmoor Blvd #201 Seminole, FL 2.0 2.0 1075 $3,000 $2.79 24d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$374 · $4,488/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 416 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 415 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 414 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active 413 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,900 Active 411 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Active 407 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Active 406 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,900 Active 405 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $114,900 Active 402 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,900 Active 401 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 399 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 398 DOM
  13. 2026-05-20
    status Active
  14. 2026-05-20
    price $114,900
  15. 2026-04-30
    historical
  16. 2025-11-21
    price $119,900
  17. 2025-04-08
    listed $125,000 Active
  18. 2023-09-10
    historical
  19. 2023-03-10
    listed $165,000 Active
  20. 2009-04-16
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,297 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,297 · $108/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,515
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,297
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,961
− Management
−$1,961
− HOA
−$4,488
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$4,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,069
After-tax cash flow
$4,708/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pinellas Park

Score
78/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#2546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pinellas Park, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
50,533
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,461
Household income
$66,461
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
486.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 12% Two or more races 8% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -250.17%
Current HPI
314.1689
Rent YoY
▼ -5.28%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+187.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-10 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-10 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,297 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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