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301 3rd St
B- Composite 68.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,999

301 3rd St · South Heidelberg, PA 19565
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1986

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SPACIOUS OPEN FLOOR PLAN ON CORNER LOT in age-restricted land/lease retirement community! Lap/Shingle. Cement Patio & amp; Patio Cover. 3 BRs. 2 Baths. Spacious L/R. Galley Kitchen/Dining Area with appliances. Master BR/Bath Suite. Laundry Room with W/ D hook-ups. C/A. LP Gas Heat. Off-St. macadam parking. Will not find nicer home, Community, or location for $69,999. Move-in condition. Mtgs. available. Sorry, NO dogs.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Galley kitchen
  • Laundry room

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANCORNER LOTCEMENT PATIOPATIO COVERGALLEY KITCHENLAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $890 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Conrad Weiser Area SD (suburban): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #391 of 539 in PA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Recommended offer $67,899 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
21.54%
Cash-on-cash
54.46%
DSCR
3.42
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$273,312
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
41 Grandview Ave 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+4%) 8mo $265,000 $204 80
22 W Glen Tilt Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,154 (-8%) 6mo $280,000 $243 66
48 Wenrich Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,425 (+14%) 16mo $275,000 $193 48
231 Beckley St 0.47mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,421 (+14%) 1mo $247,000 $174 47
325 Hill Rd 0.36mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-10%) 15mo $295,000 $263 45
24 Lincoln Dr 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,098 (-12%) 11mo $241,000 $219 38
415 Franklin St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,391 (+12%) 17mo $320,000 $230 36
86 S Reber St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,356 (+9%) 21mo $216,000 $159 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.7%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$45,397
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
58.0%
Equity multiple
6.76×
Total profit
$112,820
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19565

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,108/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$890

Break-even live

Break-even rent $724
Max offer price $69,999
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
44 W Penn Ave Wernersville, PA 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,850 $1.23 13d 1 0.64mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,999 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,999 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,999 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,999 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,999 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,999 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,999 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,999 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $69,999 Active 422-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,108 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,108 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,200
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$2,108
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,776
− Management
−$1,776
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$10,233
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,456
After-tax cash flow
$8,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conrad Weiser Area SD
NCES district ID
4206780
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$63,004
Composite
31.53/100
National rank
#5962
State rank
#391 of 539 in PA

Livability — South Heidelberg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,744

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
425,767 people
By 2030
428,814 · +0.7%
By 2040
433,463 · +1.8%
By 2050
439,426 · +3.2%
By 2075
478,647 · +12.4%
By 2100
518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% German 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

2024 margin
R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
271.6774
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $69,999 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,108 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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