2176 Lauderdale St · Swartz Creek, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2bedroom, 1bath home in Flint with an incredible bonus: a 20x40 insulated pole barn with electricity - perfect for anyone who loves to tinker, store toys, or run a hobby workshop. This cozy home makes a great starter or downsizing option. Potential for an additional . 32 acre lot off Elko St, offering direct access to the property and the potential for another access point to the pole barn. Whether you're looking for your first home or a place where you can work on projects out back, this property is packed with opportunity.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 26 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.9% in Swartz Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#433 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Carman-Ainsworth Community Schools (suburban): math 12% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #468 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Carmanainsworth Middle School (math 8% / reading 25%, grade F, #444 of 493 statewide, top 90%, 690 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 64% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.59%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,808
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2176 Lauderdale St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 904 (0%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $127 | 99 |
| 5290 Brobeck St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-0%) | 3mo | $101,500 | $113 | 83 |
| 5237 Dania St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+1%) | 15mo | $116,000 | $127 | 77 |
| 5200 Dania St | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 952 (+5%) | 19mo | $120,000 | $126 | 68 |
| 5390 Brobeck St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 904 (0%) | 14mo | $159,000 | $176 | 66 |
| 5425 Westchester Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 948 (+5%) | 2mo | $187,000 | $197 | 61 |
| 5073 W Court St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 880 (-3%) | 23mo | $75,000 | $85 | 40 |
| 1417 Grassmere Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (-12%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $163 | 39 |
| 2357 Hialeah Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+14%) | 22mo | $129,900 | $126 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,890
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $12,380
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,794/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $213
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $280 | -5% $246 | +0% $213 | +5% $179 | +10% $145 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $108 | -5% $160 | +0% $213 | +5% $265 | +10% $317 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $273 | -0.5pp $243 | base $213 | +0.5pp $181 | +1.0pp $150 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5476 Westchester Dr Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,565 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1415 S Linden Rd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
2bedroom, 1bath home in Flint with an incredible bonus: a 20x40 insulated pole barn with electricity - perfect for anyone who loves to tinker, store toys, or run a hobby workshop. This cozy home makes a great starter or downsizing option. Potential for an additional . 32 acre lot off Elko St, offering direct access to the property and the potential for another access point to the pole barn. Whether you're looking for your first home or a place where you can work on projects out back, this property is packed with opportunity.
-
2026-04-06status Pending
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
2bedroom, 1bath home in Flint with an incredible bonus: a 20x40 insulated pole barn with electricity - perfect for anyone who loves to tinker, store toys, or run a hobby workshop. This cozy home makes a great starter or downsizing option. Potential for an additional . 32 acre lot off Elko St, offering direct access to the property and the potential for another access point to the pole barn. Whether you're looking for your first home or a place where you can work on projects out back, this property is packed with opportunity.
-
2026-03-31historical Accepting Backup Offers 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
2bedroom, 1bath home in Flint with an incredible bonus: a 20x40 insulated pole barn with electricity - perfect for anyone who loves to tinker, store toys, or run a hobby workshop. This cozy home makes a great starter or downsizing option. Potential for an additional . 32 acre lot off Elko St, offering direct access to the property and the potential for another access point to the pole barn. Whether you're looking for your first home or a place where you can work on projects out back, this property is packed with opportunity.
-
2026-03-31historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
2bedroom, 1bath home in Flint with an incredible bonus: a 20x40 insulated pole barn with electricity - perfect for anyone who loves to tinker, store toys, or run a hobby workshop. This cozy home makes a great starter or downsizing option. Potential for an additional . 32 acre lot off Elko St, offering direct access to the property and the potential for another access point to the pole barn. Whether you're looking for your first home or a place where you can work on projects out back, this property is packed with opportunity.
-
2026-03-10$120,000 Active
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
2bedroom, 1bath home in Flint with an incredible bonus: a 20x40 insulated pole barn with electricity - perfect for anyone who loves to tinker, store toys, or run a hobby workshop. This cozy home makes a great starter or downsizing option. Potential for an additional . 32 acre lot off Elko St, offering direct access to the property and the potential for another access point to the pole barn. Whether you're looking for your first home or a place where you can work on projects out back, this property is packed with opportunity.
-
2026-03-10$120,000 Active 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
2bedroom, 1bath home in Flint with an incredible bonus: a 20x40 insulated pole barn with electricity - perfect for anyone who loves to tinker, store toys, or run a hobby workshop. This cozy home makes a great starter or downsizing option. Potential for an additional . 32 acre lot off Elko St, offering direct access to the property and the potential for another access point to the pole barn. Whether you're looking for your first home or a place where you can work on projects out back, this property is packed with opportunity.
-
2021-06-24soldstatus $89,900
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2021-06-03soldstatus $89,900 Sold 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
WOW! don't miss out on this fantastic home in the Dye/Lennon Road area. This wonderful 2 bedroom home has been all remodeled and is ready for you. Your new home has a brand new kitchen and countertops, A new bathroom, flooring, paint, and a high-efficiency furnace too. This property is hooked up on a private well with a public sewer. Just minutes from everything - this home is all about location. Call today for a private appointment.
-
2021-06-03soldstatus $89,900 Closed
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
WOW! don't miss out on this fantastic home in the Dye/Lennon Road area. This wonderful 2 bedroom home has been all remodeled and is ready for you. Your new home has a brand new kitchen and countertops, A new bathroom, flooring, paint, and a high-efficiency furnace too. This property is hooked up on a private well with a public sewer. Just minutes from everything - this home is all about location. Call today for a private appointment.
-
2021-04-27status Pending
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
WOW! don't miss out on this fantastic home in the Dye/Lennon Road area. This wonderful 2 bedroom home has been all remodeled and is ready for you. Your new home has a brand new kitchen and countertops, A new bathroom, flooring, paint, and a high-efficiency furnace too. This property is hooked up on a private well with a public sewer. Just minutes from everything - this home is all about location. Call today for a private appointment.
-
2021-04-27status Pending 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
WOW! don't miss out on this fantastic home in the Dye/Lennon Road area. This wonderful 2 bedroom home has been all remodeled and is ready for you. Your new home has a brand new kitchen and countertops, A new bathroom, flooring, paint, and a high-efficiency furnace too. This property is hooked up on a private well with a public sewer. Just minutes from everything - this home is all about location. Call today for a private appointment.
-
2021-04-22price $89,900
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
WOW! don't miss out on this fantastic home in the Dye/Lennon Road area. This wonderful 2 bedroom home has been all remodeled and is ready for you. Your new home has a brand new kitchen and countertops, A new bathroom, flooring, paint, and a high-efficiency furnace too. This property is hooked up on a private well with a public sewer. Just minutes from everything - this home is all about location. Call today for a private appointment.
-
2021-04-22price $89,900 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
WOW! don't miss out on this fantastic home in the Dye/Lennon Road area. This wonderful 2 bedroom home has been all remodeled and is ready for you. Your new home has a brand new kitchen and countertops, A new bathroom, flooring, paint, and a high-efficiency furnace too. This property is hooked up on a private well with a public sewer. Just minutes from everything - this home is all about location. Call today for a private appointment.
-
2021-04-14$100,000 Active 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
WOW! don't miss out on this fantastic home in the Dye/Lennon Road area. This wonderful 2 bedroom home has been all remodeled and is ready for you. Your new home has a brand new kitchen and countertops, A new bathroom, flooring, paint, and a high-efficiency furnace too. This property is hooked up on a private well with a public sewer. Just minutes from everything - this home is all about location. Call today for a private appointment.
-
2021-04-14$100,000 Active
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
WOW! don't miss out on this fantastic home in the Dye/Lennon Road area. This wonderful 2 bedroom home has been all remodeled and is ready for you. Your new home has a brand new kitchen and countertops, A new bathroom, flooring, paint, and a high-efficiency furnace too. This property is hooked up on a private well with a public sewer. Just minutes from everything - this home is all about location. Call today for a private appointment.
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2010-12-06historical
-
2008-07-16soldstatus $6,500
-
2008-05-31soldstatus $6,500
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2008-05-31soldstatus $6,500
-
2008-04-20historical
-
2008-03-11$9,900
-
2008-01-28$9,900
-
2008-01-28$9,900
-
2004-11-17soldstatus $49,320
-
2003-09-04historical
-
2002-12-06$52,900
-
2002-12-06$52,900
-
1998-01-09soldstatus $29,500
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1998-01-09soldstatus $29,500
-
1997-11-18historical
-
1997-11-07$29,500
-
1997-11-07$29,500
-
1997-09-10historical
-
1997-09-10historical
-
1997-03-13$43,900
-
1997-03-11$43,900
-
1995-10-13soldstatus $39,000
-
1995-10-13soldstatus $39,000
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1995-08-04historical
-
1995-01-30$37,800
-
1995-01-30$37,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,794 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,821 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 1.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,817
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,794
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,265
- − Management
- −$1,265
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $680
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$163
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carman-Ainsworth Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2607890
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,394
- Composite
- 16.84/100
- National rank
- #9149
- State rank
- #468 of 540 in MI
Livability — Swartz Creek
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #433
- US rank
- #12045
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 22,339
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,750
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.08%
- Current HPI
- 202.407
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+217.5% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-10 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-10 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2021-06-03 Sold (MLS) $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-03 Sold (MLS) $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2021-04-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-04-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-04-22 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-04-22 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2021-04-14 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-04-14 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-07-16 Sold (MLS) $6,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-05-31 Sold (MLS) $6,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-05-31 Sold (MLS) $6,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-04-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-03-11 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-01-28 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-01-28 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $49,320 Public Records
- 2003-09-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-12-06 Listed $52,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-12-06 Listed $52,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-01-09 Sold (MLS) $29,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-01-09 Sold (MLS) $29,500 REALCOMP
- 1997-11-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-11-07 Listed $29,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-11-07 Listed $29,500 REALCOMP
- 1997-09-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-09-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1997-03-13 Listed $43,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-03-11 Listed $43,900 REALCOMP
- 1995-10-13 Sold (MLS) $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-10-13 Sold (MLS) $39,000 REALCOMP
- 1995-08-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-01-30 Listed $37,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-01-30 Listed $37,800 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,794 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…