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317 S Central Ave
B+ Composite 77.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$71,900

317 S Central Ave · Burlington, IA 52601
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 3,614 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 103 Days on market
Built 1880 9,148 sqft lot $20/sqft · 27% below area Est $99k · 27% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look at this spacious, brick home with a garage, on a corner lot. From the front door you will see an expansive foyer with French doors, wood everywhere and a coat closet with a bench. Other features include a HUGE kitchen with a walk in pantry, a formal dining room with a fireplace, a living room with a fireplace and den with a fireplace--AMAZING! On the second floor there are 4 large bedrooms--one with a fireplace and stained glass. Also on the second floor is a large landing, large enough for an office space, with beautiful stained glass windows. Property sold as-is. Here is your opportunity to make this home a real show stopper!!

Key facts

  • Expansive foyer
  • Formal dining room
  • French doors

Tags

BRICK HOMECORNER LOTEXPANSIVE FOYERFRENCH DOORSWALK IN PANTRYFORMAL DINING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $65k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 6.0% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#287 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Burlington Community School District (town): math 42% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #286 of 289 in IA (top 99%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Des Moines County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $497 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Des Moines County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,429 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
14.10%
Cash-on-cash
27.88%
DSCR
2.24
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,517
List price
$71,900
Delta
-27.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
537 Summer St 0.22mi 5/2.0 (+1) 3,580 (-1%) 1mo $19,000 $5 81
205 Marietta St 0.25mi 4/3.0 3,172 (-12%) 1mo $159,000 $50 61
401 Cedar St 0.55mi 4/1.5 3,280 (-9%) 9mo $225,000 $69 51
423 N 3rd St 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 3,764 (+4%) 9mo $399,000 $106 43
317 S 5th St 0.36mi 4/4.0 4,010 (+11%) 21mo $89,000 $22 38
717 S 4th St 0.53mi 5/2.0 (+1) 3,076 (-15%) 19mo $4,000 $1 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$18,246
Equity at exit
$10,721
10-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$54,689
Equity at exit
$6,217

Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52601

Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,403 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$377
Tax from tax record
$234 /mo · $2,804/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $811
Max offer price $71,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $508 -5% $488 +0% $468 +5% $447 +10% $427
Rent -10% $357 -5% $412 +0% $468 +5% $523 +10% $579
Rate -1.0pp $504 -0.5pp $486 base $468 +0.5pp $449 +1.0pp $430

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,975
Closing costs
$2,157
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $71,900 Pending 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $71,900 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $71,900 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $71,900 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $71,900 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-05-01
    price $71,900 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Take a look at this spacious, brick home with a garage, on a corner lot. From the front door you will see an expansive foyer with French doors, wood everywhere and a coat closet with a bench. Other features include a HUGE kitchen with a walk in pantry, a formal dining room with a fireplace, a living room with a fireplace and den with a fireplace--AMAZING! On the second floor there are 4 large bedrooms--one with a fireplace and stained glass. Also on the second floor is a large landing, large enough for an office space, with beautiful stained glass windows. Property sold as-is. Here is your opportunity to make this home a real show stopper!!

  7. 2026-02-18
    listed $81,900 Active 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Take a look at this spacious, brick home with a garage, on a corner lot. From the front door you will see an expansive foyer with French doors, wood everywhere and a coat closet with a bench. Other features include a HUGE kitchen with a walk in pantry, a formal dining room with a fireplace, a living room with a fireplace and den with a fireplace--AMAZING! On the second floor there are 4 large bedrooms--one with a fireplace and stained glass. Also on the second floor is a large landing, large enough for an office space, with beautiful stained glass windows. Property sold as-is. Here is your opportunity to make this home a real show stopper!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,804 · $234/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,804 · $234/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,836
− Mortgage interest
−$4,028
− Property taxes
−$2,804
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,347
− Management
−$1,347
− Depreciation
−$2,092
Taxable income
$4,859
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,166
After-tax cash flow
$4,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burlington Community School District
NCES district ID
1905790
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,833
Composite
40.3/100
National rank
#3753
State rank
#286 of 289 in IA

Livability — Burlington

Score
73/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#5540

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burlington, IA
County
Des Moines County · 27,341 people
City population
27,341
Metro
Burlington, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
27,341
Household income
$60,983
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
963.0

Population outlook (Des Moines County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,735 people
By 2030
39,257 · -1.2%
By 2040
38,090 · -4.1%
By 2050
37,156 · -6.5%
By 2075
36,905 · -7.1%
By 2100
37,222 · -6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Des Moines

2024 margin
R (+15.1) · D 41.8% · R 56.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-38.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -15.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.1 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+7.0 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+23.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.48%
Current HPI
149.7662
Rent YoY
Metro
Burlington, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $71,900 IAR
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $81,900 IAR

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,804 · +59.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…