4484 Northridge Trl · Forest Park, GA 30294

$300,000

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,808 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market

Built 1999 0.50 ac lot $166/sqft · 9% below area Est $331k · 9% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.4/30.0
• ARV discount +11.7/15.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +2.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Introducing 4484 Northridge Trl, recently updated with fresh interior paint and new flooring throughout the home. New appliances, including stainless steel options, complement an accent backsplash in the kitchen. A comfortable fireplace adds warmth to the living area. The primary bedroom contains a walk in closet, while its attached bathroom features double sinks and a separate tub and shower. Exterior enjoyment is provided by a spacious deck. This home is a must-see for a truly updated lifestyle.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

Key facts

• New flooring
• Walk in closet
• Fresh interior paint

Tags

• FRESH INTERIOR PAINT
• NEW FLOORING
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• ACCENT BACKSPLASH
• COMFORTABLE FIREPLACE
• WALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage and driveway; Two garage spaces; Open parking available
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric service (110 volts); Electricity available; Natural gas available
• Home design: One level; Resale property
• Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding with other materials; Composition roof; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road frontage

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Pantry; Other surface counters
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; Bedroom features: none specified
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Master bath with double vanity and separate tub and shower
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: One fireplace with gas starter in the family room; Finished basement; Other interior features
• Laundry & utility: Laundry closet; Laundry located in basement and in hall; Other laundry features

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-569/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (2.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (23.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $229k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#209 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
• Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Anderson Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,144 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 504 students, 90% FRL); Adamson Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #319 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 557 students, 90% FRL); Morrow High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,980 students, 91% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $258k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $229,086 (23.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.76% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.10%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.68%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 10.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $330,753
• List price: $300,000
• Delta: -9.30%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4390 Northridge Trl	0.24mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,828 (+1%)	4mo	$300,000	$164	78
4425 Northwind Dr	0.13mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,902 (+5%)	2mo	$325,000	$171	77
4335 Northwind Dr	0.05mi	3/3.0	1,649 (-9%)	12mo	$330,500	$200	73
4437 Mitchell Ln	0.34mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,954 (+8%)	1mo	$309,000	$158	63
2621 Manor Pl	0.44mi	3/2.0	1,729 (-4%)	8mo	$227,000	$131	61
4337 Northridge Trl	0.34mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,762 (-2%)	19mo	$338,000	$192	57
1501 Pineview Ter	0.45mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,972 (+9%)	2mo	$250,000	$127	55
4551 Mitchells Meadow Ln	0.46mi	3/2.5	1,680 (-7%)	12mo	$291,775	$174	54
3289 Rowden Rd	0.44mi	3/1.5	1,642 (-9%)	6mo	$155,000	$94	54
4249 Northwind Dr	0.19mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,014 (+11%)	15mo	$349,990	$174	53
4115 Northwind Dr	0.24mi	3/2.5	2,014 (+11%)	20mo	$340,990	$169	51
409 Hunting Ridge Way	0.58mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,041 (+13%)	9mo	$355,000	$174	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.43×
• Total profit: $-48,081
• Equity at exit: $44,731

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.63×
• Total profit: $-30,688
• Equity at exit: $25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30294

• Home prices YoY: -25.0%
• Rents YoY: 4.6%
• Active inventory: 254
• Price-to-rent: 10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,291 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,573
• Tax from tax record: −$159 /mo · $1,908/yr
• Insurance: −$125
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$481
• Net cashflow: $-47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,351

Max offer price $291,620

Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $122	-5% $37	+0% $-47	+5% $-132	+10% $-217
Rent	-10% $-228	-5% $-138	+0% $-47	+5% $43	+10% $134
Rate	-1.0pp $104	-0.5pp $29	base $-47	+0.5pp $-125	+1.0pp $-204

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $75,000
• Closing costs: $9,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
228 Solomon Dr Ellenwood, GA	3.0	2.5	2005	$2,150	$1.07	45d	1	0.28mi
3981 Ivy Trace Ln Ellenwood, GA	3.0	2.5	1608	$2,184	$1.36	26d	1	0.77mi
4595 Westminster Dr Ellenwood, GA	3.0	2.5	1689	$2,055	$1.22	22d	1	0.83mi
4095 Gracewood Park Dr Ellenwood, GA	4.0	2.0	2394	$2,389	$1.00	24d	1	0.85mi
101 Bond Lake Dr Ellenwood, GA	3.0	2.5	2514	$2,604	$1.04	21d	1	0.88mi
4798 Moss Trce Ellenwood, GA	3.0	2.5	1730	$1,990	$1.15	26d	1	0.95mi
4153 Ward Lake Trl Ellenwood, GA	3.0	2.0	1460	$1,930	$1.32	45d	1	0.96mi
2882 Ward Lake Way Ellenwood, GA	3.0	2.5	1685	$1,676	$0.99	45d	1	1.09mi
3912 Old Ivy Ct Ellenwood, GA	3.0	1.5	1718	$2,000	$1.16	45d	1	1.15mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-04-30
   listed $300,000 Active

   Show marketing remark (556 chars)

   Introducing 4484 Northridge Trl, recently updated with fresh interior paint and new flooring throughout the home. New appliances, including stainless steel options, complement an accent backsplash in the kitchen. A comfortable fireplace adds warmth to the living area. The primary bedroom contains a walk in closet, while its attached bathroom features double sinks and a separate tub and shower. Exterior enjoyment is provided by a spacious deck. This home is a must-see for a truly updated lifestyle.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

2. 2026-04-30
   listed $300,000 New 556-char remark

   Show marketing remark (556 chars)

   Introducing 4484 Northridge Trl, recently updated with fresh interior paint and new flooring throughout the home. New appliances, including stainless steel options, complement an accent backsplash in the kitchen. A comfortable fireplace adds warmth to the living area. The primary bedroom contains a walk in closet, while its attached bathroom features double sinks and a separate tub and shower. Exterior enjoyment is provided by a spacious deck. This home is a must-see for a truly updated lifestyle.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

3. 2026-04-13
   soldstatus $257,800
4. 2026-04-08
   soldstatus $257,800 Sold

   Show marketing remark (564 chars)

   Move-in ready 3BR/2.5BA home in the desirable Northridge Station community of Ellenwood. This 1,808 sq ft home features a modern fireplace, spacious deck, and large backyard-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The half-basement with private entrance offers flexible space for a guest suite, home office, or rec room. Includes a 2-car garage and a 1-year-old HVAC system with a 10-year warranty. Conveniently located near I-675, I-75, and I-285, with easy access to Atlanta, the airport, parks, shopping, and dining. A great blend of comfort, space, and location!

5. 2026-04-08
   soldstatus $257,800 Closed

   Show marketing remark (564 chars)

   Move-in ready 3BR/2.5BA home in the desirable Northridge Station community of Ellenwood. This 1,808 sq ft home features a modern fireplace, spacious deck, and large backyard-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The half-basement with private entrance offers flexible space for a guest suite, home office, or rec room. Includes a 2-car garage and a 1-year-old HVAC system with a 10-year warranty. Conveniently located near I-675, I-75, and I-285, with easy access to Atlanta, the airport, parks, shopping, and dining. A great blend of comfort, space, and location!

6. 2026-03-18
   status Under Contract

   Show marketing remark (564 chars)

   Move-in ready 3BR/2.5BA home in the desirable Northridge Station community of Ellenwood. This 1,808 sq ft home features a modern fireplace, spacious deck, and large backyard-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The half-basement with private entrance offers flexible space for a guest suite, home office, or rec room. Includes a 2-car garage and a 1-year-old HVAC system with a 10-year warranty. Conveniently located near I-675, I-75, and I-285, with easy access to Atlanta, the airport, parks, shopping, and dining. A great blend of comfort, space, and location!

7. 2026-03-18
   status Pending

   Show marketing remark (564 chars)

   Move-in ready 3BR/2.5BA home in the desirable Northridge Station community of Ellenwood. This 1,808 sq ft home features a modern fireplace, spacious deck, and large backyard-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The half-basement with private entrance offers flexible space for a guest suite, home office, or rec room. Includes a 2-car garage and a 1-year-old HVAC system with a 10-year warranty. Conveniently located near I-675, I-75, and I-285, with easy access to Atlanta, the airport, parks, shopping, and dining. A great blend of comfort, space, and location!

8. 2026-02-23
   price $284,999

   Show marketing remark (564 chars)

   Move-in ready 3BR/2.5BA home in the desirable Northridge Station community of Ellenwood. This 1,808 sq ft home features a modern fireplace, spacious deck, and large backyard-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The half-basement with private entrance offers flexible space for a guest suite, home office, or rec room. Includes a 2-car garage and a 1-year-old HVAC system with a 10-year warranty. Conveniently located near I-675, I-75, and I-285, with easy access to Atlanta, the airport, parks, shopping, and dining. A great blend of comfort, space, and location!

9. 2026-02-23
   listed $284,999 Active

   Show marketing remark (564 chars)

   Move-in ready 3BR/2.5BA home in the desirable Northridge Station community of Ellenwood. This 1,808 sq ft home features a modern fireplace, spacious deck, and large backyard-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The half-basement with private entrance offers flexible space for a guest suite, home office, or rec room. Includes a 2-car garage and a 1-year-old HVAC system with a 10-year warranty. Conveniently located near I-675, I-75, and I-285, with easy access to Atlanta, the airport, parks, shopping, and dining. A great blend of comfort, space, and location!

10. 2025-11-04
    historical
11. 2025-11-04
    historical
12. 2025-10-03
    price $314,999
13. 2025-10-03
    price $314,999
14. 2025-08-15
    listed $325,000 Active
15. 2025-08-12
    historical
16. 2025-08-04
    listed $299,999 New
17. 2025-08-04
    listed $325,000 New
18. 2006-04-11
    soldstatus $147,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,908 · $159/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,760 · $230/mo
• Expected delta: +$852/yr (+$71/mo · 44.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,490
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,805
• − Property taxes: −$1,908
• − Insurance: −$1,500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,199
• − Management: −$2,199
• − Depreciation: −$8,727
• Taxable loss: −$5,848
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,403
• After-tax cash flow: $834/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clayton County
• NCES district ID: 1301230
• Math proficiency: 11% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $42,266
• Composite: 13.41/100
• National rank: #9527
• State rank: #155 of 174 in GA

Livability — Forest Park

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #209
• US rank: #12698

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Henry County · 316,359 people
• City population: 29,210
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• Population (ZIP): 41,983
• Household income: $79,762
• Rent vs Own: 19.4% rent · 80.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 864.0

Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 310,777 people
• By 2030: 329,762 · +6.1%
• By 2040: 368,052 · +18.4%
• By 2050: 401,196 · +29.1%
• By 2075: 472,488 · +52.0%
• By 2100: 500,446 · +61.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clayton

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -70.99%
• Current HPI: 213.1999
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.56%
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+104.1% since first listed

23 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Pending — FMLS
• 2026-05-19 Relisted — FMLS
• 2026-05-19 Pending — GAMLS
• 2026-05-19 Relisted — GAMLS
• 2026-05-19 Delisted — GAMLS
• 2026-04-30 Listed $300,000 GAMLS
• 2026-04-30 Listed $300,000 FMLS
• 2026-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $257,800 Public Records
• 2026-04-08 Sold (MLS) $257,800 GAMLS
• 2026-04-08 Sold (MLS) $257,800 FMLS
• 2026-03-18 Pending — GAMLS
• 2026-03-18 Pending — FMLS
• 2026-02-23 Price Changed $284,999 GAMLS
• 2026-02-23 Listed $284,999 FMLS
• 2025-11-04 Listing Removed — GAMLS
• 2025-11-04 Listing Removed — FMLS
• 2025-10-03 Price Changed $314,999 FMLS
• 2025-10-03 Price Changed $314,999 GAMLS
• 2025-08-15 Listed $325,000 FMLS
• 2025-08-12 Coming Soon — FMLS
• 2025-08-04 Listed $325,000 GAMLS
• 2025-08-04 Listed $299,999 GAMLS
• 2006-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,908 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.