8279 Hugh St · Westland, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the highly sought-after Livonia School District. Beautiful home featuring an open-concept layout with recessed lighting throughout. This property sits on a huge corner lot and offers a spacious 2½-car garage. Enjoy the backyard treehouse, central air conditioning, and included appliances. Recent updates include fresh paint and granite countertops, making this home move-in ready. BATVAI
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Huge corner lot
- Backyard treehouse
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (about 2.5 car capacity)
- Utilities: Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-level home; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.16 acres (50 x 135)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; No central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.4% in Westland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#124 in MI, #3,067 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D+.
- Livonia Public Schools School District (urban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #77 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 161 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $931 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.17%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,600
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8137 Fremont St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (+2%) | 2mo | $167,000 | $205 | 90 |
| 8483 Beatrice | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 830 (+4%) | 6mo | $153,000 | $184 | 76 |
| 8465 Fremont St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 885 (+11%) | 21mo | $96,000 | $108 | 58 |
| 28330 Ann Arbor Trl | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 793 (-1%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $214 | 53 |
| 8510 Haller St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 844 (+6%) | 22mo | $142,500 | $169 | 49 |
| 9120 Hugh St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 890 (+11%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $197 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-11,602
- Equity at exit
- $20,084
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,620
- Equity at exit
- $11,646
Cash invested: $37,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48185
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,507 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$706
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $302 | -5% $263 | +0% $225 | +5% $187 | +10% $149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $106 | -5% $166 | +0% $225 | +5% $285 | +10% $344 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $293 | -0.5pp $260 | base $225 | +0.5pp $190 | +1.0pp $155 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,675
- Closing costs
- $4,041
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7484 Affeldt St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7560 N Merriman Rd Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,135 | $1.41 | 25d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 7457 Harrison St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,900 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7435 Lathers St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,900 | $1.70 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 30500 Warren Rd Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,128 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 31480 Warren Rd Unit 203 Westland, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,650 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 31680 Cowan Rd Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7048 Deering St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,500 | $1.65 | 18d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 27201 Canfield St W Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,499 | $1.76 | 2d | 22 | 1.20mi |
| 6954 Inkster Rd Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 837 | $1,339 | $1.60 | 0d | 9 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-15status $134,700 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,700 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,700 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,700 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,700 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 399-char remark
-
2026-06-07$134,700 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,428 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,428 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,545
- − Property taxes
- −$2,428
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,446
- − Management
- −$1,446
- − Depreciation
- −$3,919
- Taxable income
- $621
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$149
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livonia Public Schools School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621840
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,268
- Composite
- 46.27/100
- National rank
- #2480
- State rank
- #77 of 540 in MI
Livability — Westland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #3067
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westland, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 83,633
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,530
- Household income
- $60,854
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2263.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.65%
- Current HPI
- 237.7594
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.17%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $134,700 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-05 Listed $134,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,428 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…