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338 Evans Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

338 Evans Ln · North Spearfish, SD 57783
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured · 336 Days on market
Built 1997 Good condition $109/sqft · 21% below area Est $177k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Contact listing agent Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for more information. Schedule a showing today of this very clean home in the best kept mobile home park in Spearfish. Great location in Lower Valley just off Evans Lane. Pretty much everything has been renovated in the last five years including: siding, paint, flooring, roof, vanities, tub, shower, fans, and a new refrigerator. From the minute you drive into the mobile home park to the moment you walk through the front door you will be impressed by how well kept everything is. Lot rent of $450/month includes: water, sewer, garbage removal, road maintenance, and snow removal. Dogs are not allowed in this park. Don't wait, call Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for a private showing now.

Key facts

  • Renovated vanities
  • Renovated paint
  • Renovated siding

Tags

LOCATION IN LOWER VALLEYRENOVATED SIDINGRENOVATED PAINTRENOVATED FLOORINGRENOVATED ROOFRENOVATED VANITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $139,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$176,522) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#116 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Spearfish School District 40-2 (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #32 of 59 in SD (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 288 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (11 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 336 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 32 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $123,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 336 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.93%
Cash-on-cash
20.12%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,522
List price
$139,900
Delta
-20.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 Harandona Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+5%) 11mo $178,000 $132 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$19,197
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$70,713
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57783

Active inventory
288
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,055 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 336 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 335 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 334 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 333 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 332 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 330 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 329 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 326 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 325 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 324 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 322 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 320 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 319 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 318 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 317 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 316 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    price $139,900 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Contact listing agent Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for more information. Schedule a showing today of this very clean home in the best kept mobile home park in Spearfish. Great location in Lower Valley just off Evans Lane. Pretty much everything has been renovated in the last five years including: siding, paint, flooring, roof, vanities, tub, shower, fans, and a new refrigerator. From the minute you drive into the mobile home park to the moment you walk through the front door you will be impressed by how well kept everything is. Lot rent of $450/month includes: water, sewer, garbage removal, road maintenance, and snow removal. Dogs are not allowed in this park. Don't wait, call Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for a private showing now.

  18. 2025-09-16
    price $145,900 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Contact listing agent Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for more information. Schedule a showing today of this very clean home in the best kept mobile home park in Spearfish. Great location in Lower Valley just off Evans Lane. Pretty much everything has been renovated in the last five years including: siding, paint, flooring, roof, vanities, tub, shower, fans, and a new refrigerator. From the minute you drive into the mobile home park to the moment you walk through the front door you will be impressed by how well kept everything is. Lot rent of $450/month includes: water, sewer, garbage removal, road maintenance, and snow removal. Dogs are not allowed in this park. Don't wait, call Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for a private showing now.

  19. 2025-09-04
    listed Active
  20. 2025-08-22
    status Active 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Contact listing agent Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for more information. Schedule a showing today of this very clean home in the best kept mobile home park in Spearfish. Great location in Lower Valley just off Evans Lane. Pretty much everything has been renovated in the last five years including: siding, paint, flooring, roof, vanities, tub, shower, fans, and a new refrigerator. From the minute you drive into the mobile home park to the moment you walk through the front door you will be impressed by how well kept everything is. Lot rent of $450/month includes: water, sewer, garbage removal, road maintenance, and snow removal. Dogs are not allowed in this park. Don't wait, call Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for a private showing now.

  21. 2025-08-11
    historical Active Under Contract 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Contact listing agent Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for more information. Schedule a showing today of this very clean home in the best kept mobile home park in Spearfish. Great location in Lower Valley just off Evans Lane. Pretty much everything has been renovated in the last five years including: siding, paint, flooring, roof, vanities, tub, shower, fans, and a new refrigerator. From the minute you drive into the mobile home park to the moment you walk through the front door you will be impressed by how well kept everything is. Lot rent of $450/month includes: water, sewer, garbage removal, road maintenance, and snow removal. Dogs are not allowed in this park. Don't wait, call Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for a private showing now.

  22. 2025-07-18
    listed $149,900 Active 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Contact listing agent Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for more information. Schedule a showing today of this very clean home in the best kept mobile home park in Spearfish. Great location in Lower Valley just off Evans Lane. Pretty much everything has been renovated in the last five years including: siding, paint, flooring, roof, vanities, tub, shower, fans, and a new refrigerator. From the minute you drive into the mobile home park to the moment you walk through the front door you will be impressed by how well kept everything is. Lot rent of $450/month includes: water, sewer, garbage removal, road maintenance, and snow removal. Dogs are not allowed in this park. Don't wait, call Brandon Harvey 605-920-9853 with Great Peaks Realty for a private showing now.

  23. 2024-06-28
    soldstatus $148,500 Closed
  24. 2024-05-28
    historical Active Under Contract
  25. 2024-03-14
    listed $152,000 Active
  26. 2024-02-09
    price $49,000
  27. 2023-12-28
    listed $50,000 Active
  28. 2023-11-30
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed
  29. 2023-10-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  30. 2023-09-29
    price $65,000
  31. 2023-09-14
    listed $75,000 Active
  32. 2023-08-19
    listed $50,000 Active
  33. 2023-08-07
    soldstatus $129,900 Closed
  34. 2023-07-20
    listed $85,000 Active
  35. 2023-07-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  36. 2023-07-05
    price $129,900
  37. 2023-06-09
    status Active
  38. 2023-05-26
    historical Active Under Contract
  39. 2023-05-22
    status Active
  40. 2023-05-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  41. 2023-05-08
    status Active
  42. 2023-05-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  43. 2023-05-03
    listed $139,900 Active
  44. 2023-03-22
    soldstatus $72,500 Closed
  45. 2023-02-22
    historical Active Under Contract
  46. 2023-01-03
    status Active
  47. 2022-12-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  48. 2022-12-09
    price $85,000
  49. 2022-11-09
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed
  50. 2022-10-24
    price $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,663
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,098
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,973
− Management
−$1,973
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$6,013
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,443
After-tax cash flow
$6,439/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with recent renovations, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and appeals to buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and appeals to buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spearfish School District 40-2
NCES district ID
4666930
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,524
Composite
42.54/100
National rank
#3199
State rank
#32 of 59 in SD

Livability — North Spearfish

Score
66/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#11447

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Spearfish, SD
County
Lawrence County · 17,248 people
Metro
Spearfish, SD
Population (ZIP)
17,248
Household income
$74,844
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
580.0

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,092 people
By 2030
28,137 · +3.9%
By 2040
29,908 · +10.4%
By 2050
31,789 · +17.3%
By 2075
38,917 · +43.6%
By 2100
50,407 · +86.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Iranian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.3) · D 32.9% · R 64.3% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.4pp · 2024: -31.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.3 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.2 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.59%
Current HPI
206.2001
Rent YoY
Metro
Spearfish, SD
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+976.2% since first listed
71 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $139,900 MRAOR
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $145,900 MRAOR
  • 2025-09-04 Listed MRAOR
  • 2025-08-22 Relisted MRAOR
  • 2025-08-11 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2025-07-18 Listed $149,900 MRAOR
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) $148,500 MRAOR
  • 2024-05-28 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2024-03-14 Listed $152,000 MRAOR
  • 2024-02-09 Price Changed $49,000 MRAOR
  • 2023-12-28 Listed $50,000 MRAOR
  • 2023-11-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MRAOR
  • 2023-10-24 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2023-09-29 Price Changed $65,000 MRAOR
  • 2023-09-14 Listed $75,000 MRAOR
  • 2023-08-19 Listed $50,000 MRAOR
  • 2023-08-07 Sold (MLS) $129,900 MRAOR
  • 2023-07-20 Listed $85,000 MRAOR
  • 2023-07-14 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2023-07-05 Price Changed $129,900 MRAOR
  • 2023-06-09 Relisted MRAOR
  • 2023-05-26 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2023-05-22 Relisted MRAOR
  • 2023-05-09 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2023-05-08 Relisted MRAOR
  • 2023-05-04 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2023-05-03 Listed $139,900 MRAOR
  • 2023-03-22 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MRAOR
  • 2023-02-22 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2023-01-03 Relisted MRAOR
  • 2022-12-09 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2022-12-09 Price Changed $85,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-11-09 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-10-24 Price Changed $90,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-10-13 Price Changed $95,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-10-02 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2022-09-29 Listed $65,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-09-16 Sold (MLS) $67,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-09-15 Listed $100,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-08-22 Contingent MRAOR
  • 2022-06-02 Listed $77,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) $128,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-03-20 Listed $129,900 MRAOR
  • 2022-01-21 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MRAOR
  • 2021-12-06 Listed $89,900 MRAOR
  • 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MRAOR
  • 2021-07-03 Listed $80,000 MRAOR
  • 2021-01-15 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MRAOR
  • 2021-01-15 Sold (MLS) $32,000 BHMLS
  • 2020-12-15 Listed $31,500 MRAOR
  • 2020-12-15 Listed $31,500 BHMLS
  • 2019-10-02 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MRAOR
  • 2019-09-09 Listed $15,000 MRAOR
  • 2019-08-08 Listed $43,900 MRAOR
  • 2019-07-22 Listed $31,000 MRAOR
  • 2019-06-27 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MRAOR
  • 2019-04-09 Listed $42,000 MRAOR
  • 2018-03-23 Sold (MLS) $9,200 MRAOR
  • 2018-03-23 Sold (MLS) $9,200 BHMLS
  • 2018-03-03 Listed $9,200 MRAOR
  • 2018-03-03 Listed $9,200 BHMLS
  • 2016-05-05 Sold (MLS) $31,500 MRAOR
  • 2016-05-05 Sold (MLS) $31,500 BHMLS
  • 2016-02-11 Listed $39,900 MRAOR
  • 2016-02-11 Listed $39,900 BHMLS
  • 2015-10-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MRAOR
  • 2015-09-21 Listed $37,000 MRAOR
  • 2015-04-17 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MRAOR
  • 2015-03-16 Listed $31,000 MRAOR
  • 2014-11-12 Sold (MLS) $13,500 MRAOR
  • 2014-11-04 Listed $13,000 MRAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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