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416 12th St SW
C+ Composite 63.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

416 12th St SW · Birmingham, AL 35211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,444 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1920 6,969 sqft lot Est $56k · 6% over ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This adorable bungalow features a large, beautiful covered front porch. You will enter into a hall foyer that branches off into a large living room with a pass-through dining room or additional family room into a spacious kitchen. Since all living spaces are on the same side, one room could be turned into an additional bedroom to make this a 4/2. 3 good sized bedrooms and 2 full baths make this a desirable layout for tenants. Laundry room is off kitchen, parking pad at front of home and fenced-in back yard complete the property.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Hall foyer
  • Laundry room

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHHALL FOYERPASS-THROUGH DINING ROOMSPACIOUS KITCHENLAUNDRY ROOMPARKING PAD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.16 acre; Subdivision: West End

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service available
  • Home design: Existing single-family property; Single-level living areas (rooms listed on main level); Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; No pool, patio, decks, or garden/patio listed; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Refrigerator; Electric stove
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Two additional bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combination
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No extra built-in interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $573 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hemphill Elementary School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 336 students, 87% FRL); Parker High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 826 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.11%
Cap rate
17.77%
Cash-on-cash
40.99%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$56,316
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
430 12th St SW 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-2%) 7mo $140,000 $99 85
412 SW 12th St 0.01mi 3/1.0 1,526 (+6%) 8mo $59,000 $39 83
1125 Fulton Ave SW 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,332 (-8%) 8mo $75,000 $56 77
1437 Woodland Ave SW 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,369 (-5%) 5mo $53,000 $39 72
1316 Woodland Ave SW 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,353 (-6%) 13mo $15,000 $11 68
1324 Fulton Ave SW 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-15%) 8mo $120,000 $97 57
816 7th St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,358 (-6%) 6mo $15,000 $11 53
632 Fulton Ave SW 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,290 (-11%) 5mo $23,900 $19 49
1625 SW Alabama Ave 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,290 (-11%) 2mo $19,900 $15 46
125 SW 18th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (+4%) 13mo $19,000 $13 44
900 4th Ave W 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,232 (-15%) 7mo $115,000 $93 34
616 Fulton Ave SW 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (-13%) 13mo $61,800 $49 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$23,113
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$52,924
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35211

Rents YoY
-0.0%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,021/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$573

Break-even live

Break-even rent $537
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $607 -5% $590 +0% $573 +5% $556 +10% $539
Rent -10% $473 -5% $523 +0% $573 +5% $623 +10% $673
Rate -1.0pp $603 -0.5pp $588 base $573 +0.5pp $557 +1.0pp $542

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1217 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1397 $1,395 $1.00 44d 1 0.03mi
1228 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 45d 1 0.06mi
1213 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1616 $1,200 $0.74 44d 1 0.08mi
1220 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1175 $1,350 $1.15 44d 1 0.12mi
405 11th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1065 $800 $0.75 44d 1 0.17mi
1012 Cotton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,000 $0.81 44d 1 0.32mi
1437 Woodland Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1369 $1,100 $0.80 4d 1 0.36mi
1501 Princeton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,350 $1.07 45d 1 0.37mi
719 Washington Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1064 $950 $0.89 12d 1 0.51mi
1645 Woodland Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1298 $1,300 $1.00 20d 1 0.60mi
644 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,125 $0.88 24d 1 0.60mi
608 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1271 $1,300 $1.02 44d 1 0.69mi
504 Francis Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1816 $1,223 $0.67 24d 1 0.72mi
1136 15th St SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1296 $1,395 $1.08 24d 1 0.72mi
1800 Woodland Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1411 $1,195 $0.85 3d 1 0.74mi
1621 2nd Ct W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,095 $1.02 44d 1 0.79mi
1108 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1623 $1,125 $0.69 4d 1 0.79mi
1609 Jefferson Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1572 $1,300 $0.83 4d 1 0.80mi
724 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1300 $930 $0.72 44d 1 0.85mi
1620 Alemeda Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,295 $0.99 3d 1 0.86mi
1204 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 3.0 1715 $1,400 $0.82 44d 1 0.86mi
1728 Princeton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1334 $1,300 $0.97 44d 1 0.86mi
413 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 940 $525 $0.56 4d 1 0.87mi
1230 4th Ter W Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1540 $1,000 $0.65 44d 1 0.88mi
1816 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1395 $1,295 $0.93 24d 1 0.89mi
1734 Lee Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1142 $1,150 $1.01 20d 1 0.89mi
1256 15th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1206 $1,300 $1.08 4d 1 0.89mi
1233 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1119 $1,050 $0.94 44d 1 0.90mi
624 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 992 $1,250 $1.26 44d 1 0.91mi
1119 Graymont Ave W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,073 $0.85 3d 1 0.97mi
1332 15th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1115 $950 $0.85 4d 1 1.00mi
2920 24th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,050 $0.58 24d 1 1.00mi
1000 17th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,275 $1.06 20d 1 1.01mi
827 6th Ave W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1214 $1,075 $0.89 24d 1 1.01mi
1101 7th Ave W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,250 $1.00 44d 1 1.03mi
2309 Eufaula Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1454 $1,395 $0.96 24d 1 1.03mi
1698 Dennison Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1780 $1,300 $0.73 44d 1 1.04mi
2304 Eufaula Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1381 $980 $0.71 44d 1 1.05mi
1900 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1623 $1,350 $0.83 3d 1 1.07mi
612 12th St W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1242 $1,150 $0.93 44d 1 1.08mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 534-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $59,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,021 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,021 · $85/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,146
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$1,021
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$6,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,513
After-tax cash flow
$5,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,924
Household income
$34,884
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
2161.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.29%
Current HPI
91.2903
Rent YoY
▬ -0.01%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $68,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $79,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $94,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-04 Sold (MLS) $71,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-03-31 Price Changed $850 RENT.
  • 2022-03-30 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-03-24 Listed $67,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2007-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 2006-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $73,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,021 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…