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436 Guard Tower Ln
D Composite 41.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

436 Guard Tower Ln · Capitol View, SC 29209
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,504 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2009 7,405 sqft lot $26/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move-in ready and thoughtfully refreshed throughout, this well-maintained Columbia home offers exceptional value with meaningful updates inside and out. Fresh interior paint in a clean, neutral palette and new carpet throughout the living room, hallway, bedrooms, and primary closet create a bright, welcoming atmosphere, while the kitchen features updated cabinetry, a brand-new built-in microwave, and functional improvements that make everyday living easy. Both bathrooms have been refreshed, including a refinished tub and shower surround, updated vanity cabinetry. One of the home's most significant upgrades is a brand-new 3-ton HVAC system, providing year-round comfort and peace of mind. Con

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Updated cabinetry
  • Refinished tub

Tags

UPDATED CABINETRYBUILT-IN MICROWAVEREFINISHED TUBUPDATED VANITY CABINETRYNEW HVAC SYSTEMMOVE-IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Home is part of an association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story house; House faces northeast; Aluminum and partial brick above foundation exterior finish
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Paved road access; Property sits on approximately 0.17 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave (above stove); Free-standing range; Formica countertops
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level with double vanity and walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living room; Tile in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceiling in living room; Ceiling fan in living room; Formica countertops in kitchen; Tile flooring in kitchen; Patio access
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($975/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (16.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mill Creek Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #475 of 597 statewide, top 81%, 339 students, 100% FRL); Hopkins Middle (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #213 of 229 statewide, top 94%, 493 students, 100% FRL); Lower Richland High (math 5% / reading 64%, grade F, #185 of 196 statewide, top 94%, 1,244 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $220k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,479 (16.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.58%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-32,211
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-28,448
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29209

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,845 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,264/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$26
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,742
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $206 -5% $143 +0% $81 +5% $19 +10% $-43
Rent -10% $-64 -5% $8 +0% $81 +5% $154 +10% $227
Rate -1.0pp $192 -0.5pp $137 base $81 +0.5pp $24 +1.0pp $-34

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2705 Prince Charles Ct Columbia, SC 4.0 2.0 1466 $1,906 $1.30 25d 1 0.31mi
2011 Dominion Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1625 $1,595 $0.98 25d 1 0.46mi
1912 Dominion Dr Columbia, SC 4.0 2.0 1614 $2,300 $1.43 25d 1 0.47mi
2769 Prince Charles Ct Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1617 $1,850 $1.14 13d 1 0.49mi
149 Moores Creek Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,069 $1.29 16d 1 0.70mi
3 Ashley's Pl Unit 04 Columbia, SC 2.0 1.5 1100 $995 $0.90 25d 1 0.71mi
1101 Hallbrook Dr Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $1,229 $1.17 16d 1 0.85mi
7524 Marie St Columbia, SC 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,350 $1.26 23d 1 1.22mi
1727 Sandra Dr Columbia, SC 4.0 2.5 1750 $1,900 $1.09 13d 1 1.30mi
4022 Ulmer Rd Columbia, SC 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1202 $1,322 $1.10 21d 1 1.43mi
7743 Garners Ferry Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1045 $2,534 $2.42 4d 19 1.43mi
352 Sandbach Rd Columbia, SC 4.0 2.5 1976 $2,300 $1.16 16d 1 1.44mi
72 Blue Fescue Way Columbia, SC 4.0 2.5 2075 $2,233 $1.08 16d 1 1.44mi
7015 Mirror Lake Rd Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 2043 $1,800 $0.88 25d 1 1.44mi
457 Delahays Rd Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1704 $2,000 $1.17 16d 1 1.45mi
79 Blue Fescue Way Columbia, SC 4.0 2.5 2075 $2,295 $1.11 13d 1 1.45mi
440 Delahays Rd Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1704 $1,900 $1.12 16d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$26 · $312/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $219,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $219,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,264 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,264 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,137
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$1,264
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,771
− Management
−$1,771
− HOA
−$312
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$2,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$671
After-tax cash flow
$1,646/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland 01
NCES district ID
4503360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,931
Composite
25.94/100
National rank
#7335
State rank
#54 of 80 in SC

Livability — Capitol View

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Richland County · 389,530 people
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
38,041
Household income
$58,772
Rent vs Own
41.3% rent · 58.7% own
Severe rent burden
1716.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
459,667 people
By 2030
487,524 · +6.1%
By 2040
542,035 · +17.9%
By 2050
595,371 · +29.5%
By 2075
732,998 · +59.5%
By 2100
820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.10%
Current HPI
205.5679
Rent YoY
▲ 2.08%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+299.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $219,900 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $236,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2008-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,264 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…