436 Guard Tower Ln · Capitol View, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready and thoughtfully refreshed throughout, this well-maintained Columbia home offers exceptional value with meaningful updates inside and out. Fresh interior paint in a clean, neutral palette and new carpet throughout the living room, hallway, bedrooms, and primary closet create a bright, welcoming atmosphere, while the kitchen features updated cabinetry, a brand-new built-in microwave, and functional improvements that make everyday living easy. Both bathrooms have been refreshed, including a refinished tub and shower surround, updated vanity cabinetry. One of the home's most significant upgrades is a brand-new 3-ton HVAC system, providing year-round comfort and peace of mind. Con
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Updated cabinetry
- Refinished tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Home is part of an association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (2 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story house; House faces northeast; Aluminum and partial brick above foundation exterior finish
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Paved road access; Property sits on approximately 0.17 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave (above stove); Free-standing range; Formica countertops
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level with double vanity and walk-in closet
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living room; Tile in kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vaulted ceiling in living room; Ceiling fan in living room; Formica countertops in kitchen; Tile flooring in kitchen; Patio access
- Laundry & utility: Utility room laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($975/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mill Creek Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #475 of 597 statewide, top 81%, 339 students, 100% FRL); Hopkins Middle (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #213 of 229 statewide, top 94%, 493 students, 100% FRL); Lower Richland High (math 5% / reading 64%, grade F, #185 of 196 statewide, top 94%, 1,244 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $220k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.58%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-32,211
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-28,448
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29209
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 298
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,845 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,264/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$26
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $206 | -5% $143 | +0% $81 | +5% $19 | +10% $-43 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $8 | +0% $81 | +5% $154 | +10% $227 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $137 | base $81 | +0.5pp $24 | +1.0pp $-34 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2705 Prince Charles Ct Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,906 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2011 Dominion Dr Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $1,595 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1912 Dominion Dr Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,300 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2769 Prince Charles Ct Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1617 | $1,850 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 149 Moores Creek Dr Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,069 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3 Ashley's Pl Unit 04 Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1101 Hallbrook Dr Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,229 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7524 Marie St Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1727 Sandra Dr Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $1,900 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4022 Ulmer Rd Columbia, SC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1202 | $1,322 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7743 Garners Ferry Rd Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1045 | $2,534 | $2.42 | 4d | 19 | 1.43mi |
| 352 Sandbach Rd Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1976 | $2,300 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 72 Blue Fescue Way Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2075 | $2,233 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 7015 Mirror Lake Rd Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2043 | $1,800 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 457 Delahays Rd Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 79 Blue Fescue Way Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2075 | $2,295 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 440 Delahays Rd Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $26 · $312/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $219,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$219,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,264 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,264 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$1,264
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,771
- − Management
- −$1,771
- − HOA
- −$312
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$2,795
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$671
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland 01
- NCES district ID
- 4503360
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,931
- Composite
- 25.94/100
- National rank
- #7335
- State rank
- #54 of 80 in SC
Livability — Capitol View
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Richland County · 389,530 people
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,041
- Household income
- $58,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1716.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 459,667 people
- By 2030
- 487,524 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 542,035 · +17.9%
- By 2050
- 595,371 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 732,998 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 820,415 · +78.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.5679
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.08%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+299.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $219,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $236,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2008-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,264 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…