2933 Baker St · Muskegon Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
Key facts
- 6,250 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 48 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#574 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 239 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $115k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.04%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,500
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2917 Jefferson St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 898 (-0%) | 6mo | $73,000 | $81 | 77 |
| 2618 Hoyt St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 878 (-2%) | 1mo | $74,900 | $85 | 69 |
| 3233 Jefferson St | 0.38mi | 4/1.0 | 970 (+8%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $93 | 62 |
| 224 E Lincoln Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 770 (-14%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $117 | 58 |
| 3021 Sanford St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,018 (+13%) | 8mo | $23,000 | $23 | 58 |
| 142 Harrison Blvd | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-15%) | 3mo | $97,000 | $126 | 53 |
| 3320 Peck St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 980 (+9%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $112 | 53 |
| 3315 8th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+4%) | 10mo | $58,000 | $62 | 50 |
| 2513 Hoyt St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+8%) | 8mo | $67,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 2513 5th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+9%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $51 | 47 |
| 375 W Maplewood Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 984 (+9%) | 2mo | $105,894 | $108 | 44 |
| 2512 Wood St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (+15%) | 10mo | $48,000 | $47 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,939
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $28,165
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49444
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,360/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $355 | +0% $323 | +5% $290 | +10% $258 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $268 | +0% $323 | +5% $377 | +10% $431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $381 | -0.5pp $352 | base $323 | +0.5pp $293 | +1.0pp $263 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3041 Lemuel St Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3223 Bailey St Norton Shores, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,319 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending 983-char remark
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
-
2026-04-23status Pending 983-char remark
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
-
2026-04-23status Pending
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
-
2026-03-14price $114,900 983-char remark
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
-
2026-03-14price $114,900 983-char remark
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
-
2026-03-14price $114,900
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
-
2026-03-06$119,900 Active 983-char remark
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
-
2026-03-06$119,900 Active 983-char remark
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
-
2026-03-06$119,900 Active
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This home offers 2 bedrooms with potential for additional living space, including a convenient main-floor bedroom. Nearly everything has been refreshed, giving the home a clean, modern feel throughout. Updates include new flooring, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom, making the home feel bright and inviting from the moment you walk in. The layout features a spacious living area that flows nicely into the dining space and a bright front sunroom, perfect for a sitting area or nook. Upstairs you'll find an additional bedroom and flex space that could easily serve as a home office, playroom, or bonus room. The basement includes an additional non conforming room, offering great potential for a workout space, hobby room, or extra storage. With its fresh updates, flexible layout, and move-in ready condition, this is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing!
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2025-04-16historical
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2025-04-16historical
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2025-04-10price $20,000
-
2025-04-10price $20,000
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2025-04-07$29,000 Active
-
2025-04-07$29,000 Active
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2014-09-25historical
-
2014-09-15historical
-
2009-07-29historical
-
2009-01-29$10,000
-
2009-01-29$10,000
-
2008-07-16historical
-
2008-07-16historical
-
2008-07-16historical
-
2008-04-24$11,900
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2008-04-24$14,000
-
2008-04-24$11,900
-
2008-04-24$14,000
-
2006-09-20soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,565 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$205/yr (+$17/mo · 15.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,503
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,360
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $2,150
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$516
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Muskegon Heights
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #574
- US rank
- #18269
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muskegon Heights, MI
- County
- Muskegon County · 107,917 people
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,372
- Household income
- $53,054
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 930.0
Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 173,365 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 168,877 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 160,306 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 134,426 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 98,836 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.02%
- Current HPI
- 209.2698
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+155.3% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-23 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $114,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $119,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-06 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-07 Listed $29,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-07 Listed $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-09-25 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-09-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2009-07-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-01-29 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-01-29 Listed $10,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-07-16 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-07-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-07-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-04-24 Listed $14,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-04-24 Listed $11,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-04-24 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-04-24 Listed $11,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2006-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,360 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…