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33282 N Main St
B Composite 72.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,500

33282 N Main St · Townville, PA 16360
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,184 sqft · SingleFamily · 26 Days on market
0.44 ac lot Est $94k · 6% over ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the community of Townville. This home has unique characteristics and is welcoming new owners. Old-style workmanship, along with some modern upgrades and a solid structure add appeal which makes this a great starter home or a decent property if relocation is needed. The garage has plenty of storage space and is easily accessible from the private driveway. With the nearby area amenities and conveniently located between Meadville and Titusville, this just may be the place to call home. Schedule a showing as this is priced to sell.

Key facts

  • Modern upgrades
  • Private driveway
  • Solid structure

Tags

OLD-STYLE WORKMANSHIPMODERN UPGRADESSOLID STRUCTUREPLENTY OF STORAGE SPACEPRIVATE DRIVEWAYNEARBY AREA AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,010 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, commute B+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Penncrest SD (rural): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #348 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $98,007 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.38%
Cash-on-cash
18.18%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,912
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
33282 N Main St 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,184 (0%) 1mo $93,000 $43 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$44,223
Equity at exit
$50,440
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
5.07×
Total profit
$113,438
Equity at exit
$82,492

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16360

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,367 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,136/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $833
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $478 -5% $450 +0% $422 +5% $394 +10% $366
Rent -10% $314 -5% $368 +0% $422 +5% $476 +10% $530
Rate -1.0pp $472 -0.5pp $447 base $422 +0.5pp $396 +1.0pp $370

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    price $99,500 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Here is a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the community of Townville. This home has unique characteristics and is welcoming new owners. Old-style workmanship, along with some modern upgrades and a solid structure add appeal which makes this a great starter home or a decent property if relocation is needed. The garage has plenty of storage space and is easily accessible from the private driveway. With the nearby area amenities and conveniently located between Meadville and Titusville, this just may be the place to call home. Schedule a showing as this is priced to sell.

  3. 2026-04-21
    price $99,500
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Here is a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the community of Townville. This home has unique characteristics and is welcoming new owners. Old-style workmanship, along with some modern upgrades and a solid structure add appeal which makes this a great starter home or a decent property if relocation is needed. The garage has plenty of storage space and is easily accessible from the private driveway. With the nearby area amenities and conveniently located between Meadville and Titusville, this just may be the place to call home. Schedule a showing as this is priced to sell.

  4. 2026-04-09
    price $105,000 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Here is a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the community of Townville. This home has unique characteristics and is welcoming new owners. Old-style workmanship, along with some modern upgrades and a solid structure add appeal which makes this a great starter home or a decent property if relocation is needed. The garage has plenty of storage space and is easily accessible from the private driveway. With the nearby area amenities and conveniently located between Meadville and Titusville, this just may be the place to call home. Schedule a showing as this is priced to sell.

  5. 2026-04-09
    price $105,000
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Here is a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the community of Townville. This home has unique characteristics and is welcoming new owners. Old-style workmanship, along with some modern upgrades and a solid structure add appeal which makes this a great starter home or a decent property if relocation is needed. The garage has plenty of storage space and is easily accessible from the private driveway. With the nearby area amenities and conveniently located between Meadville and Titusville, this just may be the place to call home. Schedule a showing as this is priced to sell.

  6. 2026-04-01
    listed $120,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Here is a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the community of Townville. This home has unique characteristics and is welcoming new owners. Old-style workmanship, along with some modern upgrades and a solid structure add appeal which makes this a great starter home or a decent property if relocation is needed. The garage has plenty of storage space and is easily accessible from the private driveway. With the nearby area amenities and conveniently located between Meadville and Titusville, this just may be the place to call home. Schedule a showing as this is priced to sell.

  7. 2026-04-01
    listed $120,000 Active 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Here is a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the community of Townville. This home has unique characteristics and is welcoming new owners. Old-style workmanship, along with some modern upgrades and a solid structure add appeal which makes this a great starter home or a decent property if relocation is needed. The garage has plenty of storage space and is easily accessible from the private driveway. With the nearby area amenities and conveniently located between Meadville and Titusville, this just may be the place to call home. Schedule a showing as this is priced to sell.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,136 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,354 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$218/yr (+$18/mo · 19.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,404
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$1,136
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,312
− Management
−$1,312
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$3,677
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$883
After-tax cash flow
$4,181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penncrest SD
NCES district ID
4218740
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$47,927
Composite
34.64/100
National rank
#5146
State rank
#348 of 539 in PA

Livability — Townville

Score
67/100
State rank
#1010
US rank
#11159

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Townville, PA
Population (ZIP)
1,328

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,399 people
By 2030
77,977 · -4.2%
By 2040
70,659 · -13.2%
By 2050
63,841 · -21.6%
By 2075
50,198 · -38.3%
By 2100
37,898 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.00%
Current HPI
197.8758
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending GEBOR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $99,500 AVBREALTORS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $99,500 GEBOR
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $105,000 AVBREALTORS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $105,000 GEBOR
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $120,000 AVBREALTORS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $120,000 GEBOR

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,136 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…