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1316 Axtell St
D Composite 40.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1316 Axtell St · Clovis, NM 88101
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · Other · 7 Days on market
Built 1946 3,506 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming two-story home, built in 1946, has been beautifully remodeled while preserving its classic character. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a dining room, and a utility room, this home offers both comfort and functionality. Fresh interior paint, refinished original hardwood floors, and new energy-efficient windows create a bright and inviting atmosphere. The home features new heating and cooling split units for year-round comfort, along with an updated kitchen boasting brand-new cabinets, stove, and dishwasher. Enjoy outdoor living on the new covered front porch and back deck, both featuring attractive low-maintenance wood-look composite decking. Combining timeless charm with mod

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • Updated kitchen
  • Back deck

Tags

REMODELEDORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSENERGY-EFFICIENT WINDOWSUPDATED KITCHENNEW COVERED FRONT PORCHBACK DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Flat and shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard (block, chain link, wood)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-79/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (0.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (13.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,258 (13.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-19,207
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-3,913
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,173 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$-7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $134,043
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $87 -5% $40 +0% $-7 +5% $-53 +10% $-100
Rent -10% $-99 -5% $-53 +0% $-7 +5% $40 +10% $86
Rate -1.0pp $61 -0.5pp $28 base $-7 +0.5pp $-42 +1.0pp $-77

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
401 E 5th St Unit 5 Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 44d 1 0.65mi
109 State Ave Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 816 $2,000 $2.45 44d 1 0.67mi
2100 Mitchell St Unit 14 Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 743 $750 $1.01 44d 1 0.71mi
2517 Ross St Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 991 $950 $0.96 44d 1 0.85mi
3205 N Main St Unit 301 Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1017 $1,350 $1.33 44d 1 1.34mi
2112 Fred Daugherty Ave Apt C Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 44d 1 1.39mi
1500 Echols Ave Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $948 $1.04 44d 5 1.46mi
1808 Debra St Clovis, NM 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,400 $0.99 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,071
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,126
− Management
−$1,126
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$2,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$569
After-tax cash flow
$489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, NM
County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $135,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $270 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…