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35 Chase St
B Composite 70.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

35 Chase St · Auburn, NY 13021
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,318 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1900 5,159 sqft lot $47/sqft · 38% below area Est $177k · 38% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 5,159 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 54 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Total 6 rooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Varies by room
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Other interior features (see remarks); Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,603 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.44%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,902
List price
$109,900
Delta
-37.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Cottage St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,130 (-8%) 16mo $155,000 $73 51
138 Curtis Pl 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,570 (+11%) 10mo $209,900 $82 46
7 Boston Ave 0.60mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,026 (-13%) 14mo $130,000 $64 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$948
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$25,191
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13021

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,446 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,725/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$293

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,075
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
78 Chedell Pl Auburn, NY 2.0 1.0 2096 $1,100 $0.52 43d 1 1.22mi
5 Sheridan St Auburn, NY 4.0 2.0 1788 $1,995 $1.12 43d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $109,900 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,900 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,900 Active 35 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    price $109,900 187-char remark
  18. 2026-04-26
    listed $119,900 Active 187-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,725 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,725 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,354
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$2,725
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,388
− Management
−$1,388
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$1,950
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$468
After-tax cash flow
$3,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn City School District
NCES district ID
3603480
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,567
Composite
29.71/100
National rank
#6452
State rank
#558 of 590 in NY

Livability — Auburn

Score
74/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#4814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, NY
County
Cayuga County · 37,247 people
City population
37,247
Metro
Auburn, NY
Population (ZIP)
37,247
Household income
$60,712
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1449.0

Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
74,820 people
By 2030
72,402 · -3.2%
By 2040
66,917 · -10.6%
By 2050
61,007 · -18.5%
By 2075
48,047 · -35.8%
By 2100
34,512 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga

2024 margin
R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.53%
Current HPI
338.5537
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $109,900 IBRMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $119,900 IBRMLS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,725 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…