108 Hines St · Diboll, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS — DON'T MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY! Spacious property offering over 2,000 square feet, perfect for a full renovation or investment project. Utilities are currently off. Three bedrooms downstairs and one bedroom upstairs. * * Enter with Realtor Only * * Cash Offers Only. Property is being SOLD AS IS with no repairs.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1935
- Listed 107 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $732 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#708 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Diboll ISD (town): math 45% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #394 of 826 in TX (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: H G Temple El (314 students, 74% FRL); Diboll J H (math 49% / reading 29%, grade F, #690 of 1,662 statewide, top 42%, 349 students, 71% FRL); Diboll H S (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 521 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Angelina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.09%
- DSCR
- 3.41
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,816
- List price
- $58,000
- Delta
- -63.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 and 303 1/2 N Hines St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,889 (-7%) | 18mo | $199,000 | $105 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $37,222
- Equity at exit
- $8,648
- IRR
- 57.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.69×
- Total profit
- $92,435
- Equity at exit
- $5,015
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75941
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,384 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $392/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $732
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $765 | -5% $748 | +0% $732 | +5% $716 | +10% $699 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $623 | -5% $677 | +0% $732 | +5% $787 | +10% $841 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $761 | -0.5pp $747 | base $732 | +0.5pp $717 | +1.0pp $702 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $58,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $58,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $58,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $58,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $58,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $58,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $58,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $58,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $60,000 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
INVESTORS — DON'T MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY! Spacious property offering over 2,000 square feet, perfect for a full renovation or investment project. Utilities are currently off. Three bedrooms downstairs and one bedroom upstairs. * * Enter with Realtor Only * * Cash Offers Only. Property is being SOLD AS IS with no repairs.
-
2025-12-02$63,500 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
INVESTORS — DON'T MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY! Spacious property offering over 2,000 square feet, perfect for a full renovation or investment project. Utilities are currently off. Three bedrooms downstairs and one bedroom upstairs. * * Enter with Realtor Only * * Cash Offers Only. Property is being SOLD AS IS with no repairs.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $392 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,061 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- +$669/yr (+$56/mo · 170.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$392
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,328
- − Management
- −$1,328
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $8,328
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,999
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Diboll ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817040
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,667
- Composite
- 34.67/100
- National rank
- #5142
- State rank
- #394 of 826 in TX
Livability — Diboll
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #708
- US rank
- #13209
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Diboll, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,712
Population outlook (Angelina County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,174 people
- By 2030
- 90,697 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 91,291 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 91,168 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 88,961 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 80,590 · -10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 27% Black 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Angelina
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+43.9 2008: R+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.36%
- Current HPI
- 200.1079
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $60,000 Deep East Texas MLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $63,500 Deep East Texas MLS
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $392 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…