Belmont (Cool Springs) Plan · Bryant, AR 72022

$75,995

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,193 sqft · Manufactured · 123 Days on market

$465/mo HOA · 25% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

The Belmont offers a smart, spacious layout designed for comfortable everyday living. This thoughtfully designed home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, providing plenty of room for family and guests. At the heart of the home, you'll find a beautiful, well-appointed kitchen that flows seamlessly into an expansive living area with extended length-perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or creating flexible spaces to fit your lifestyle. With its open design and generous proportions, the Belmont delivers both functionality and style in a home that truly feels inviting.

Key facts

• Listed 122 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: Bryant, AR 72022
• Financial info: List price $75,995
• HOA & community: Association fee of $465

Exterior

• Home design: Belmont (Cool Springs) plan; New construction plan
• Construction: Living area approximately 1,193; Built as part of a plan (plan name: Belmont (Cool Springs))

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Open living area

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
• Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 3.9% in Bryant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#16 in AR, #4,487 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Bryant School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 238 in AR (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 446 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Saline County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $66,875 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.41% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 25.87%
• DSCR: 2.15
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.81×
• Total profit: $17,219
• Equity at exit: $11,331

10-year hold

• IRR: 28.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.53×
• Total profit: $53,893
• Equity at exit: $6,571

Cash invested: $21,279 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72022

• Home prices YoY: -16.5%
• Active inventory: 97
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,834 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$399
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$95 /mo · $1,140/yr
• Insurance: −$32
• HOA: −$465
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$385
• Net cashflow: $459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,253

Max offer price $75,995

Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,999
• Closing costs: $2,280
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3420 Garden Club Dr Bryant, AR	3.0	2.0	1497	$1,950	$1.30	14d	1	0.26mi
1810 Melba Cir Unit 2 Bryant, AR	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,395	$1.16	14d	1	1.24mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $465 · $5,580/yr

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $75,995 Active 123 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $75,995 Active 122 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $75,995 Active 121 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,995 Active 120 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $75,995 Active 118 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,995 Active 117 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $75,995 Active 115 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,995 Active 114 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $75,995 Active 113 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,995 Active 112 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,995 Active 109 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,995 Active 108 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,995 Active 107 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,995 Active 106 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,995 Active 105 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,995 Active 104 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,010
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,257
• − Property taxes: −$1,140
• − Insurance: −$380
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,761
• − Management: −$1,761
• − HOA: −$5,580
• − Depreciation: −$2,211
• Taxable income: $4,921
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,181
• After-tax cash flow: $4,324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bryant School District
• NCES district ID: 0503690
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $57,578
• Composite: 42.28/100
• National rank: #3266
• State rank: #16 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bryant

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #16
• US rank: #4487

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bryant, AR
• City population: 18,350
• Population (ZIP): 18,350

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 140,141 people
• By 2030: 151,233 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 173,100 · +23.5%
• By 2050: 194,368 · +38.7%
• By 2075: 245,295 · +75.0%
• By 2100: 279,117 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+40.1) · D 28.8% · R 69.0% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.8pp no change · 2008: -41.0pp · 2024: -40.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+40.1 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+41.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -42.32%
• Current HPI: 213.5119
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B