1517 Griggs St · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two bedroom and two full bath single family home.
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Recessed lighting
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing/funding; Listing is Active Under Contract
- Financial info: Listing eligible for Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing; Second mortgage: none
- HOA & community: No HOA / association
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No covered or carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Curbs
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Built in 1948; Subdivision: Biggers Sub
- Construction: Siding exterior; Shingle roof; Year built 1948
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Fenced yard (back yard, front yard, wood, chain link, block, barbed wire); Cleared lot with few trees; Large backyard with grass
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level, approx. 12 x 10)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s); Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Cable TV available; Decorative lighting; Granite counters; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; One level
- Laundry & utility: High-speed internet available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 6.7% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Thomas El (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 414 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 57% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Abilene ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+33.5%/yr); 370 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.38%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $233,233
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -24.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1517 Griggs St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,128 (0%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $155 | 100 |
| 1831 Bandolero Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+11%) | 2mo | $247,000 | $198 | 63 |
| 434 Waterloo Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,217 (+8%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $193 | 62 |
| 343 Waterloo | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+8%) | 2mo | $234,900 | $192 | 62 |
| 411 Waterloo | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+8%) | 3mo | $234,900 | $192 | 62 |
| 399 Waterloo | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+8%) | 3mo | $234,900 | $192 | 62 |
| 349 Waterloo | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+8%) | 2mo | $234,900 | $192 | 61 |
| 405 Waterloo | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+8%) | 3mo | $234,900 | $192 | 61 |
| 417 Waterloo Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+8%) | 4mo | $234,900 | $192 | 61 |
| 423 Waterloo Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+8%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $192 | 61 |
| 1829 Sweetwater Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,257 (+11%) | 2mo | $252,000 | $200 | 60 |
| 400 Gunsight Rdg | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (+14%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $193 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $55,517
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 36.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.21×
- Total profit
- $206,130
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 33.5%
- Active inventory
- 370
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,880 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,491/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$605
- Net cashflow
- $1,077
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1709 Bandolero Rd Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $4,500 | $3.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1366 Locust St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,804 | $2.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1368 Locust St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $2,045 | $2.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 801 S 17th St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1320 Oak St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $2,060 | $2.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1318 Oak St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,814 | $2.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1312 Oak St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,814 | $2.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1097 Lytle Creek Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,895 | $1.99 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1649 Palm St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $2,500 | $3.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1651 Palm St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $2,500 | $3.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 704-char remark
-
2026-05-09historical Active Option Contract 704-char remark
-
2026-05-06$175,000 Active 704-char remark
-
2025-12-30soldstatus
-
2025-09-22soldstatus
-
2025-09-18soldstatus Closed 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Two bedroom and two full bath single family home.
-
2025-08-22status Pending 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Two bedroom and two full bath single family home.
-
2025-08-15price $69,900 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Two bedroom and two full bath single family home.
-
2025-08-03price $74,900 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Two bedroom and two full bath single family home.
-
2025-07-14price $79,900 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Two bedroom and two full bath single family home.
-
2025-07-05price $89,900 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Two bedroom and two full bath single family home.
-
2025-06-16$99,900 Active 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Two bedroom and two full bath single family home.
-
2022-10-28soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Many extras for the price, come take a look. Well cared for 2 bedroom and 2 bath home plus a bonus room. The bonus room could be used for a living area, office, or bedroom. Put your touches on this cute home. A workshop is in the backyard with electric. The seller also owns the vacant lot north of the house. The vacant lot is listed separately. Buyer to verify measurements and schools.
-
2022-10-28soldstatus
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Many extras for the price, come take a look. Well cared for 2 bedroom and 2 bath home plus a bonus room. The bonus room could be used for a living area, office, or bedroom. Put your touches on this cute home. A workshop is in the backyard with electric. The seller also owns the vacant lot north of the house. The vacant lot is listed separately. Buyer to verify measurements and schools.
-
2022-10-06status Pending
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Many extras for the price, come take a look. Well cared for 2 bedroom and 2 bath home plus a bonus room. The bonus room could be used for a living area, office, or bedroom. Put your touches on this cute home. A workshop is in the backyard with electric. The seller also owns the vacant lot north of the house. The vacant lot is listed separately. Buyer to verify measurements and schools.
-
2022-09-27price $110,250
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Many extras for the price, come take a look. Well cared for 2 bedroom and 2 bath home plus a bonus room. The bonus room could be used for a living area, office, or bedroom. Put your touches on this cute home. A workshop is in the backyard with electric. The seller also owns the vacant lot north of the house. The vacant lot is listed separately. Buyer to verify measurements and schools.
-
2022-09-27historical Active Option Contract
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Many extras for the price, come take a look. Well cared for 2 bedroom and 2 bath home plus a bonus room. The bonus room could be used for a living area, office, or bedroom. Put your touches on this cute home. A workshop is in the backyard with electric. The seller also owns the vacant lot north of the house. The vacant lot is listed separately. Buyer to verify measurements and schools.
-
2022-09-08price $108,000
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Many extras for the price, come take a look. Well cared for 2 bedroom and 2 bath home plus a bonus room. The bonus room could be used for a living area, office, or bedroom. Put your touches on this cute home. A workshop is in the backyard with electric. The seller also owns the vacant lot north of the house. The vacant lot is listed separately. Buyer to verify measurements and schools.
-
2022-08-16price $135,000
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Many extras for the price, come take a look. Well cared for 2 bedroom and 2 bath home plus a bonus room. The bonus room could be used for a living area, office, or bedroom. Put your touches on this cute home. A workshop is in the backyard with electric. The seller also owns the vacant lot north of the house. The vacant lot is listed separately. Buyer to verify measurements and schools.
-
2022-08-01$145,000 Active
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Many extras for the price, come take a look. Well cared for 2 bedroom and 2 bath home plus a bonus room. The bonus room could be used for a living area, office, or bedroom. Put your touches on this cute home. A workshop is in the backyard with electric. The seller also owns the vacant lot north of the house. The vacant lot is listed separately. Buyer to verify measurements and schools.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,491 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- +$711/yr (+$59/mo · 28.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,566
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,491
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,765
- − Management
- −$2,765
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $10,775
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,586
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,425
- Household income
- $89,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 189.3098
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 33.46%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+20.7% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-09-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-09-18 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2025-08-22 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $69,900 NTREIS
- 2025-08-03 Price Changed $74,900 NTREIS
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $79,900 NTREIS
- 2025-07-05 Price Changed $89,900 NTREIS
- 2025-06-16 Listed $99,900 NTREIS
- 2022-10-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-10-06 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-09-27 Price Changed $110,250 NTREIS
- 2022-09-27 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2022-09-08 Price Changed $108,000 NTREIS
- 2022-08-16 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2022-08-01 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+16.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,491 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…