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1021 Sentinela Blvd
C Composite 56.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0

$289,888

1021 Sentinela Blvd · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,666 sqft · SingleFamily · 164 Days on market
Built 2025 Est $347k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Quail Ridge floor plan. A spacious single-level home that combines functionality with fresh, modern design. This open-concept floor plan brings together the kitchen, dining, and living areas and provides a seamless flow. The kitchen features white shaker cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a peninsula with seating. The private owner's suite ncludes a walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom with dual sinks. Three additional bedrooms provide flexible space for whatever fits your needs with a second full bathroom conveniently located nearby. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, offering a comfortable place to relax. Designed for simplicity

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Granite countertops
  • Ensuite bathroom

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANWHITE SHAKER CABINETSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWALK-IN CLOSETENSUITE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $289,888

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family property
  • Exterior features: Living area of 1,666

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Spec home — QUAIL RIDGE plan; Active listing

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-116/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (0.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (12.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $252k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $252,362 (12.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.14%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$346,528
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
112 Jefferson Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,704 (+2%) 12mo $369,000 $217 55
1466 Archer St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,747 (+5%) 6mo $295,000 $169 51
17 Wellington Ave 0.49mi 4/3.0 1,824 (+10%) 8mo $380,000 $208 51
122 Wellington Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,729 (+4%) 9mo $319,900 $185 47
210 Aurora Ave S 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-8%) 10mo $320,000 $208 40
104 Wellington Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,856 (+11%) 23mo $385,000 $207 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$149,906
Equity at exit
$261,154
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
6.28×
Total profit
$428,766
Equity at exit
$563,189

Cash invested: $81,169 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33974

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
2460
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,524 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax est. 1.5%
$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$530
Net cashflow
$-10

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,536
Max offer price $288,486
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $90 +0% $-10 +5% $-110 +10% $-210
Rent -10% $-209 -5% $-109 +0% $-10 +5% $90 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $136 -0.5pp $64 base $-10 +0.5pp $-85 +1.0pp $-161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,472
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
912 Anthony St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1548 $1,890 $1.22 17d 1 0.55mi
119 Wellington Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 1822 $3,200 $1.76 3d 1 0.63mi
101 Edward Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1531 $3,200 $2.09 24d 1 0.65mi
940 Belmont St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1838 $2,850 $1.55 24d 1 0.65mi
232 Fowler Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,664 $1.68 24d 1 0.82mi
18 Scott Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 1822 $3,200 $1.76 3d 1 0.84mi
1440 Graham Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1767 $2,300 $1.30 24d 1 0.90mi
311 Inman St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1604 $2,300 $1.43 24d 1 1.05mi
129 Wanatah Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1798 $1,911 $1.06 4d 1 1.10mi
1122 Randolph St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1550 $2,100 $1.35 24d 1 1.11mi
815 Porter St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1659 $1,800 $1.08 24d 1 1.14mi
444 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $1,750 $1.26 22d 1 1.27mi
426 Hamilton Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1354 $1,800 $1.33 15d 1 1.29mi
1406 Ford Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1662 $2,100 $1.26 24d 1 1.30mi
219 Beckley Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1548 $1,890 $1.22 17d 1 1.32mi
503 Jackson Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1620 $2,700 $1.67 15d 1 1.36mi
312 Lenz Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 2208 $2,500 $1.13 24d 1 1.38mi
327 Lester Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1577 $2,195 $1.39 2d 1 1.44mi
230 E Malden Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,875 $1.02 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,888 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,888 Active 163 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,283
− Mortgage interest
−$16,238
− Property taxes
−$4,348
− Insurance
−$1,449
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,423
− Management
−$2,423
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable loss
−$5,031
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,207
After-tax cash flow
$1,091/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,927
Household income
$72,192
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.53%
Current HPI
303.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.68%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…