1021 Sentinela Blvd · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
$289,888
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the Quail Ridge floor plan. A spacious single-level home that combines functionality with fresh, modern design. This open-concept floor plan brings together the kitchen, dining, and living areas and provides a seamless flow. The kitchen features white shaker cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a peninsula with seating. The private owner's suite ncludes a walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom with dual sinks. Three additional bedrooms provide flexible space for whatever fits your needs with a second full bathroom conveniently located nearby. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, offering a comfortable place to relax. Designed for simplicity
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Granite countertops
- Ensuite bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $289,888
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Home design: Single-family property
- Exterior features: Living area of 1,666
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec home — QUAIL RIDGE plan; Active listing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-116/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (0.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.14%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $346,528
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Jefferson Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (+2%) | 12mo | $369,000 | $217 | 55 |
| 1466 Archer St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,747 (+5%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $169 | 51 |
| 17 Wellington Ave | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 | 1,824 (+10%) | 8mo | $380,000 | $208 | 51 |
| 122 Wellington Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,729 (+4%) | 9mo | $319,900 | $185 | 47 |
| 210 Aurora Ave S | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-8%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $208 | 40 |
| 104 Wellington Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,856 (+11%) | 23mo | $385,000 | $207 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $149,906
- Equity at exit
- $261,154
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.28×
- Total profit
- $428,766
- Equity at exit
- $563,189
Cash invested: $81,169 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33974
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Rents YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 2460
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,524 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $-10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $191 | -5% $90 | +0% $-10 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-209 | -5% $-109 | +0% $-10 | +5% $90 | +10% $190 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $136 | -0.5pp $64 | base $-10 | +0.5pp $-85 | +1.0pp $-161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,472
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 912 Anthony St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $1,890 | $1.22 | 17d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 119 Wellington Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1822 | $3,200 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 101 Edward Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1531 | $3,200 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 940 Belmont St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,850 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 232 Fowler Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $2,664 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 18 Scott Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1822 | $3,200 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1440 Graham Cir Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1767 | $2,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 311 Inman St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,300 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 129 Wanatah Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $1,911 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1122 Randolph St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,100 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 815 Porter St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $1,800 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 444 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 426 Hamilton Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1406 Ford Cir Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1662 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 219 Beckley Dr Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $1,890 | $1.22 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 503 Jackson Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,700 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 312 Lenz Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2208 | $2,500 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 327 Lester Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $2,195 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 230 E Malden Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $1,875 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,888 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,888 Active 163 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,238
- − Property taxes
- −$4,348
- − Insurance
- −$1,449
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,423
- − Management
- −$2,423
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$5,031
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,207
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,091/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,927
- Household income
- $72,192
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 434.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.53%
- Current HPI
- 303.3399
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.68%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…