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242 Pecan Ter #242
B Composite 70.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$345,000

242 Pecan Ter #242 · Mount Pocono, PA 18466
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,376 sqft · SingleFamily · 13 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 0.25 ac lot Est $482k · 28% under $143/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

UNDER CONSTRUCTION - The Roxbury Building in progress. Estimated completion time - End of July / Beginning of August. 12 POINT INSPECTION! 1 YEAR BUILDER'S WARRANTY! Start FRESH and be the first one to own this beautiful newly constructed home! Customization still available! Must hurry! This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Colonial-style home offers great potential and inviting living spaces throughout. The owner's suite includes a walk-in closet and a private bathroom featuring a double-sink vanity, separate shower, and spa-style tub. The home features ample closet space, a spacious open-concept kitchen with an island and breakfast nook, a dining room, and sliding doors that le

Key facts

  • Kitchen
  • Lake ice skating
  • Paddleboat rental

Tags

KITCHENPADDLEBOAT RENTALMINIATURE GOLFLAKE ICE SKATINGPLAY GROUNDS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions available for property access
  • Financial info: Association fee is billed annually
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with amenities including security, clubhouse, playground, golf course, tennis courts, basketball court and pool; Annual association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); On-site open parking (2 spaces); Driveway; garage faces front; private
  • Security: Community security (HOA-provided)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Propane
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); No common walls; New construction
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Sliding doors; Shingle roof; Lot in residential subdivision (A Pocono Country Place); Approximately 0.25-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave; Eat-in kitchen with island
  • Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s)
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Double vanity; Soaking tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Forced air; Floor furnace; Propane heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen with kitchen island and laminate counters; Double vanity; Soaking tub; Walk-in closet(s); Natural woodwork; Low emissivity windows with screens; Unfurnished; Living room gas/propane fireplace with insert
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Crawl space basement with sump pump

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $345k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $345k).
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $345,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.08%
Cash-on-cash
6.39%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$482,328
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Applewood Dr 0.26mi 4/2.5 2,300 (-3%) 2mo $306,000 $133 81
718 Route 314 0.64mi 4/2.5 2,392 (+1%) 7mo $606,529 $254 63
728 Route 314 #1 0.64mi 4/2.5 2,392 (+1%) 12mo $499,900 $209 59
5132 Pocono Park Ln 0.19mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,692 (+13%) 9mo $500,000 $186 56
6155 Lakeview Ln 0.35mi 4/2.5 2,635 (+11%) 19mo $534,500 $203 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$58,668
Equity at exit
$142,785
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$184,006
Equity at exit
$210,895

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax est. 1.5%
$431 /mo · $5,175/yr
Insurance
$144
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$143
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$808
Net cashflow
$448

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,283
Max offer price $345,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,250
Closing costs
$10,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5132 Pocono Park Ln Swiftwater, PA 3.0 2.5 2692 $3,850 $1.43 43d 1 0.18mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$143 · $1,716/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $345,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $345,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $345,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $345,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $345,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $345,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $345,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $345,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $345,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $345,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $345,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,200
− Mortgage interest
−$19,325
− Property taxes
−$5,175
− Insurance
−$2,522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,696
− Management
−$3,696
− HOA
−$1,716
− Depreciation
−$10,036
Taxable income
$33
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8
After-tax cash flow
$5,366/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and has the potential to be further enhanced with some painting and landscaping.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Painting can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Landscaping can improve the curb appeal and add value to the home, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Painting can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Landscaping can improve the curb appeal and add value to the home, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Price Changed $345,000 PMAR
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $34,500 PMAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…