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15237 Carlisle St
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

15237 Carlisle St · Detroit, MI 48205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,147 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1940 4,356 sqft lot Est $86k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom bungalow offers 3-full bathrooms, (one on each level), spacious living & dining rooms, 2-kitchens on the main-floor & finished basement, as well. Cozy fireplace. 1-car garage within a fenced-in yard w/ ample space for the fur babies. Handyman-special to add your own touch cosmetically. Good fit for first-time home buyers or investors. Property being sold as - is. Close proximity to major roads I-94, I-75, M-3, & M-102.All measurements to be verified by buyer. I. D. R. B. I. G BATVIA

Key facts

  • 2 kitchens
  • Finished basement
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

2 KITCHENSFINISHED BASEMENTCOZY FIREPLACEFENCED IN YARDCLOSE PROXIMITY TO MAJOR ROADS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; One garage space
  • Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available; Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1940
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt/composition shingle roof; Built in 1940
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (11 x 13) with carpet; Bedroom 2 (8 x 12) with carpet
  • Flooring: Carpet in primary bedroom and bedroom 2; Wood flooring in living room, dining room, kitchen, and loft
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Bathroom with tub (8 x 4); Bathroom with shower (7 x 5); Full bathroom with shower (4 x 5)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling available
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace; Screens; Insulated windows; Full Michigan-style basement; Seven total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $85k implies a 270% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.90%
Cash-on-cash
23.61%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,025
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15275 Eastburn St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-4%) 2mo $56,000 $51 80
15011 Bringard Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,208 (+5%) 2mo $125,000 $103 80
14910 Fairmount Dr 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,116 (-3%) 1mo $15,000 $13 76
15644 Carlisle St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,055 (-8%) 0mo $129,900 $123 74
14788 Rossini Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,099 (-4%) 1mo $82,000 $75 70
16267 Edmore Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-4%) 1mo $122,500 $111 61
14078 Bringard Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,110 (-3%) 2mo $76,000 $68 58
16260 Bringard Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-10%) 0mo $80,000 $77 52
19953 Regent Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,038 (-10%) 2mo $55,000 $53 51
14119 Edmore Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,278 (+11%) 2mo $70,000 $55 48
14068 Carlisle St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-11%) 2mo $55,000 $54 47
16291 Fairmount Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 977 (-15%) 2mo $112,000 $115 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$13,878
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$41,879
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,319 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $726
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15503 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1285 $1,100 $0.86 43d 1 0.21mi
15663 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 803 $1,050 $1.31 14d 1 0.27mi
14134 Collingham Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 43d 1 0.64mi
16242 Bringard Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 4d 1 0.66mi
14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,300 $1.27 24d 1 0.70mi
16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 24d 1 0.71mi
16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 14d 1 0.73mi
15604 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,000 $0.83 43d 1 0.79mi
16225 Manning St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 43d 1 0.82mi
14504 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,175 $0.98 24d 1 0.87mi
16446 E State Fair St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 24d 1 0.89mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 17d 1 0.94mi
13693 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1269 $1,550 $1.22 11d 1 0.96mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 43d 1 0.96mi
14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.98mi
15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 17d 1 0.98mi
16031 E 7 Mile Rd #5 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1204 $1,200 $1.00 2d 1 1.03mi
16212 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 12d 1 1.07mi
20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 1.09mi
13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 24d 1 1.12mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 17d 1 1.14mi
18530 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.5 1396 $1,375 $0.98 17d 1 1.17mi
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 11d 1 1.18mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 17d 1 1.23mi
22030 Cushing Ave Eastpointe, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 4d 1 1.23mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 17d 1 1.29mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 17d 1 1.37mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 43d 1 1.40mi
12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 24d 1 1.42mi
13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 24d 1 1.42mi
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 916 $1,500 $1.64 17d 1 1.45mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 24d 1 1.45mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-20
    listed $85,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    This 2-bedroom bungalow offers 3-full bathrooms, (one on each level), spacious living & dining rooms, 2-kitchens on the main-floor & finished basement, as well. Cozy fireplace. 1-car garage within a fenced-in yard w/ ample space for the fur babies. Handyman-special to add your own touch cosmetically. Good fit for first-time home buyers or investors. Property being sold as - is. Close proximity to major roads I-94, I-75, M-3, & M-102.All measurements to be verified by buyer. I. D. R. B. I. G BATVIA

  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $85,000 Active 520-char remark
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    This 2-bedroom bungalow offers 3-full bathrooms, (one on each level), spacious living & dining rooms, 2-kitchens on the main-floor & finished basement, as well. Cozy fireplace. 1-car garage within a fenced-in yard w/ ample space for the fur babies. Handyman-special to add your own touch cosmetically. Good fit for first-time home buyers or investors. Property being sold as - is. Close proximity to major roads I-94, I-75, M-3, & M-102.All measurements to be verified by buyer. I. D. R. B. I. G BATVIA

  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $85,000 Active 520-char remark
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    This 2-bedroom bungalow offers 3-full bathrooms, (one on each level), spacious living & dining rooms, 2-kitchens on the main-floor & finished basement, as well. Cozy fireplace. 1-car garage within a fenced-in yard w/ ample space for the fur babies. Handyman-special to add your own touch cosmetically. Good fit for first-time home buyers or investors. Property being sold as - is. Close proximity to major roads I-94, I-75, M-3, & M-102.All measurements to be verified by buyer. I. D. R. B. I. G BATVIA

  17. 1993-01-27
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,210 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$99/yr (+$8/mo · 8.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,828
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,112
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,266
− Management
−$1,266
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$4,525
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,086
After-tax cash flow
$4,532/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+269.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $85,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1993-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,112 · -55.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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