2015 Erving Cir #201 · Ocoee, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on the market. The buyers changed their mind on this transaction before inspections. Great location for this nice condo in a Gated community of Bordeaux. Pool, Fitness, Playground and next to West Oaks Mall! Convenient to hospital, 408, turnpike, restaurants, schools and theme parks. Bordeaux is a quite neighborhood offering a wonderful lifestyle with amazing amenities. Designer residences with oversized windows, balconies & patios frame picture-perfect views of the outdoor landscaping. Easy access to major thoroughfares & shopping, dining, entertainment. Come and see this good investment opportunity before it's gone! New microwave and new AC unit.
Key facts
- Open living spaces
- Walk-in closet
- Inside laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community amenities: Clubhouse, Community mailbox, Fitness center, Playground, Pool; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Total monthly fees shown as $316; total annual fees $3,792
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee $316 (includes pool, maintenance structure, grounds maintenance, recreational facilities, trash, other); Association required; Association name listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; Faces west; 3-story building; Unit on 2nd floor; Entry level: One
- Construction: Shingle roof; Other construction materials; Slab foundation; Built as part of a multi-unit building (Building #5)
- Exterior features: Balcony; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.6% in Ocoee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#602 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.28%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-18,672
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-16,994
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34761
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,851 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$316
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $155
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 Erving Cir Ocoee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 24d | 2 | 0.01mi |
| 1995 Erving Cir #307 Ocoee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 11d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2025 Erving Cir Ocoee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,725 | $1.77 | 2d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 2025 Erving Cir #207 Ocoee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,800 | $1.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1101 Vintage Village Ln Ocoee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,725 | $1.57 | 3d | 2 | 0.15mi |
| 1024 Vizcaya Lake Rd Ocoee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 776 | $1,803 | $2.32 | 2d | 27 | 0.41mi |
| 9426 Lake Lotta Cir Gotha, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1112 | $1,975 | $1.78 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 204 Hawthorne Groves Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1126 | $1,738 | $1.54 | 2d | 32 | 0.78mi |
| 1275 Woodman Way Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 891 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 7d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1109 Woodman Way Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8008 Balasands Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1091 | $1,870 | $1.71 | 1d | 11 | 1.05mi |
| 247 Grove St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $2,250 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 247 Grove St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $2,250 | $2.02 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7376 Balboa Dr #7376 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7364 Balboa Dr #7364 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7320 Balboa Dr #7320 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3100 Old Winter Garden Rd Ocoee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,684 | $1.90 | 2d | 13 | 1.50mi |
| 219 Ashbourne Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,205 | $2.04 | 7d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $316 · $3,792/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $155,000 Pending 62 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-05-08status Active
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2026-03-20status Pending
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2026-03-01price $155,000
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2026-02-09$160,000 Active
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2021-08-12soldstatus $141,000
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2021-08-05soldstatus $141,000 Closed 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Back on the market. The buyers changed their mind on this transaction before inspections. Great location for this nice condo in a Gated community of Bordeaux. Pool, Fitness, Playground and next to West Oaks Mall! Convenient to hospital, 408, turnpike, restaurants, schools and theme parks. Bordeaux is a quite neighborhood offering a wonderful lifestyle with amazing amenities. Designer residences with oversized windows, balconies & patios frame picture-perfect views of the outdoor landscaping. Easy access to major thoroughfares & shopping, dining, entertainment. Come and see this good investment opportunity before it's gone! New microwave and new AC unit.
-
2021-06-08status Pending 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Back on the market. The buyers changed their mind on this transaction before inspections. Great location for this nice condo in a Gated community of Bordeaux. Pool, Fitness, Playground and next to West Oaks Mall! Convenient to hospital, 408, turnpike, restaurants, schools and theme parks. Bordeaux is a quite neighborhood offering a wonderful lifestyle with amazing amenities. Designer residences with oversized windows, balconies & patios frame picture-perfect views of the outdoor landscaping. Easy access to major thoroughfares & shopping, dining, entertainment. Come and see this good investment opportunity before it's gone! New microwave and new AC unit.
-
2021-05-25price $139,900 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Back on the market. The buyers changed their mind on this transaction before inspections. Great location for this nice condo in a Gated community of Bordeaux. Pool, Fitness, Playground and next to West Oaks Mall! Convenient to hospital, 408, turnpike, restaurants, schools and theme parks. Bordeaux is a quite neighborhood offering a wonderful lifestyle with amazing amenities. Designer residences with oversized windows, balconies & patios frame picture-perfect views of the outdoor landscaping. Easy access to major thoroughfares & shopping, dining, entertainment. Come and see this good investment opportunity before it's gone! New microwave and new AC unit.
-
2021-05-05status Active 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Back on the market. The buyers changed their mind on this transaction before inspections. Great location for this nice condo in a Gated community of Bordeaux. Pool, Fitness, Playground and next to West Oaks Mall! Convenient to hospital, 408, turnpike, restaurants, schools and theme parks. Bordeaux is a quite neighborhood offering a wonderful lifestyle with amazing amenities. Designer residences with oversized windows, balconies & patios frame picture-perfect views of the outdoor landscaping. Easy access to major thoroughfares & shopping, dining, entertainment. Come and see this good investment opportunity before it's gone! New microwave and new AC unit.
-
2021-04-30status Pending 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Back on the market. The buyers changed their mind on this transaction before inspections. Great location for this nice condo in a Gated community of Bordeaux. Pool, Fitness, Playground and next to West Oaks Mall! Convenient to hospital, 408, turnpike, restaurants, schools and theme parks. Bordeaux is a quite neighborhood offering a wonderful lifestyle with amazing amenities. Designer residences with oversized windows, balconies & patios frame picture-perfect views of the outdoor landscaping. Easy access to major thoroughfares & shopping, dining, entertainment. Come and see this good investment opportunity before it's gone! New microwave and new AC unit.
-
2021-04-24$145,000 Active 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Back on the market. The buyers changed their mind on this transaction before inspections. Great location for this nice condo in a Gated community of Bordeaux. Pool, Fitness, Playground and next to West Oaks Mall! Convenient to hospital, 408, turnpike, restaurants, schools and theme parks. Bordeaux is a quite neighborhood offering a wonderful lifestyle with amazing amenities. Designer residences with oversized windows, balconies & patios frame picture-perfect views of the outdoor landscaping. Easy access to major thoroughfares & shopping, dining, entertainment. Come and see this good investment opportunity before it's gone! New microwave and new AC unit.
-
2006-02-03soldstatus $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,209
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,368
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,777
- − Management
- −$1,777
- − HOA
- −$3,792
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$471
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$113
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,969/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocoee
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #602
- US rank
- #11554
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocoee, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 47,327
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,327
- Household income
- $96,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1197.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 19% Two or more races 13% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.83%
- Current HPI
- 290.5598
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.04%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+14.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Listed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $141,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-05 Sold (MLS) $141,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-25 Price Changed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-05 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-30 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-24 Listed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,368 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…