Duplex
648 650 Creuset Ave S · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss out on great investment opportunity. Duplex in Lehigh Acres close to town. Seller requests borrowers contact Chase Loan Office Joshua Shoemaker (803) 547-5122. Seller will credit buyer up to 3% of sales price towards closing costs if negotiated in final signed counter offer.
Key facts
- Zoned rm-2
- No hoa
- 0.32 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $506/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $320k).
- Recommended offer: $301k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,899/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 434% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $320k implies a 765% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.56%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $227,243
- Equity at exit
- $288,191
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.68×
- Total profit
- $597,975
- Equity at exit
- $621,495
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33974
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Rents YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 2460
- Price-to-rent
- 13.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,899 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$819
- Net cashflow
- $1,012
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,900 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,950 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,950 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,899 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11613 Savanna Lakes Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2451 | $2,700 | $1.10 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 19972 Green Pasture Rd Lehigh Acres, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2959 | $3,000 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 11902 Savanna Lakes Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3041 | $2,750 | $0.90 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 11634 Savanna Lakes Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2451 | $2,650 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 19525 Fairhill Ct Lehigh Acres, FL | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2463 | $2,499 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-17status $319,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-02-03$319,900 Active
-
2026-02-03historical
-
2026-02-01$319,900 Active
-
2015-03-02price $36,700 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
Don't miss out on great investment opportunity. Duplex in Lehigh Acres close to town. Seller requests borrowers contact Chase Loan Office Joshua Shoemaker (803) 547-5122. Seller will credit buyer up to 3% of sales price towards closing costs if negotiated in final signed counter offer.
-
2010-07-19soldstatus $37,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
Don't miss out on great investment opportunity. Duplex in Lehigh Acres close to town. Seller requests borrowers contact Chase Loan Office Joshua Shoemaker (803) 547-5122. Seller will credit buyer up to 3% of sales price towards closing costs if negotiated in final signed counter offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,085 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,085 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$3,085
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,743
- − Management
- −$3,743
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable income
- $7,392
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,774
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,927
- Household income
- $72,192
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 434.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.53%
- Current HPI
- 303.3399
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.68%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+764.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $319,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $319,900 FORTMLS
- 2015-03-02 Price Changed $36,700 FORTMLS
- 2010-07-19 Sold (MLS) $37,000 FORTMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2022): $3,085 · +15.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…