6008 Conneaut Light Dr · Vermilion, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome Home to Vermilion! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and functionality. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood, you'll love the inviting curb appeal, oversized lot, and spacious backyard complete with mature landscaping, a storage shed, fire pit, and plenty of room for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or play. Inside, the bright and welcoming floor plan features a spacious living room, a well-appointed kitchen with abundant cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and a center island perfect for gathering. The adjacent dining area provides a seamless flow for everyday living and hosting guests. The fir
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Storage shed
- Fire pit
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached paved garage with 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot approximately 0.32 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Full basement with sump pump
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($51k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $360k).
- Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 5.0% in Vermilion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#96 in OH, #1,481 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Vermilion Local (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #316 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,362/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $137k; list at $360k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.09%
- DSCR
- 3.27
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $320,544
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6012 Conneaut Light Dr | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,508 (-0%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $249 | 87 |
| 6028 Conneaut Lgt | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,437 (-5%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $254 | 85 |
| 6113 Edson St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (-9%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $188 | 73 |
| 1099 Jackson St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (-10%) | 3mo | $158,000 | $115 | 70 |
| 5573 Martin | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+2%) | 0mo | $329,900 | $213 | 68 |
| 978 State St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-5%) | 12mo | $305,000 | $212 | 58 |
| 5524 Hartford Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (+3%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 5572 South St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,618 (+7%) | 8mo | $347,000 | $214 | 53 |
| 1033 Oakwood Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,330 (-12%) | 19mo | $204,000 | $153 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $214,865
- Equity at exit
- $53,632
- IRR
- 54.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.35×
- Total profit
- $538,890
- Equity at exit
- $31,100
Cash invested: $100,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44089
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,362 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,886
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,756
- Net cashflow
- $4,288
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,492 | -5% $4,390 | +0% $4,288 | +5% $4,187 | +10% $4,085 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,628 | -5% $3,958 | +0% $4,288 | +5% $4,619 | +10% $4,949 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,470 | -0.5pp $4,380 | base $4,288 | +0.5pp $4,195 | +1.0pp $4,100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,925
- Closing costs
- $10,791
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5012 Hollyview Dr Unit 1496126P Vermilion, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1679 | $8,362 | $4.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $359,700 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $359,700 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $359,700 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $359,700 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $359,700 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $359,700 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $359,700 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$359,700 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,377 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,494 · $375/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,117/yr (+$93/mo · 33.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $100,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,149
- − Property taxes
- −$3,377
- − Insurance
- −$1,798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,028
- − Management
- −$8,028
- − Depreciation
- −$10,464
- Taxable income
- $48,501
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$11,640
- After-tax cash flow
- $39,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vermilion Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904682
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,091
- Composite
- 49.61/100
- National rank
- #1981
- State rank
- #316 of 656 in OH
Livability — Vermilion
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #1481
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vermilion, OH
- County
- Erie · 78,232 people
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,873
- Household income
- $72,045
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.8
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,204 people
- By 2030
- 71,341 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 66,771 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 62,512 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 56,154 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 49,045 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.76%
- Current HPI
- 206.8223
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+162.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $359,700 FAOR
- 2002-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $136,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,377 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…